Eye on the Market, Outlook 2026: Smothering Heights
J.P. Morgan's January 2026 outlook says 42 AI-related firms produced 65%-75% of S&P 500 profits, earnings and capex since late 2022.
Papers from issuers, banks, research firms and industry bodies, each summarized in ETFIQ’s words with a link to the firm’s own page, and tested against ETFIQ’s data where it can be.
As of Oct 21, 2026, 33 papers; 8 carry an ETFIQ take with figures of our own.
Filters are links to pages of their own; the chips mark the page you are on. Newest first. 24 per page. "ETFIQ take" marks a paper with figures of ours beside its own.
J.P. Morgan's January 2026 outlook says 42 AI-related firms produced 65%-75% of S&P 500 profits, earnings and capex since late 2022.
Calamos, in its January 2026 investment team outlook, reports that global convertible bond issuance topped $166 billion in 2025, close to a record level.
Bitwise, in its December 2025 outlook, forecasts more than 100 new U.S. crypto-linked ETF launches during 2026, among 10 predictions it calls estimates, not guarantees.
Vanguard's December 2025 outlook expects muted US stock returns over five to 10 years and sets its VEMO portfolio at 60% bonds and 40% stocks.
State Street Investment Management's December 2025 outlook says consensus 2026 capital spending estimates for major hyperscalers have reached $519 billion, up from $314 billion.
State Street Investment Management's December 2025 outlook cites consensus estimates that Magnificent 7 capital spending will reach about $520 billion in 2026, over 30% higher.
Invesco's December 2025 outlook expects stocks to keep rising in 2026, noting global stocks gained 17.5% in 2025 through October on the MSCI World Index.
J.P. Morgan's November 2025 outlook says large US tech companies may spend over $500 billion on capex in 2026, versus $150 billion in 2023.
An October 2025 Investment Company Institute paper says at least 75 asset managers had sought SEC relief to add ETF share classes to existing mutual funds.
Each entry is a summary in ETFIQ’s words and a link to the firm’s own page; ETFIQ does not host the papers. Where a paper makes a claim ETFIQ’s data can test, "The ETFIQ take" states the paper’s figure and ETFIQ’s figure side by side, dated, with links to the fund, desk or research page. A summary that fails a check is held, never published. Method →
ETFIQ is not affiliated with any firm listed; logos identify the source. To add or correct a paper: [email protected].
ETFIQ, Research Library: public ETF research, summarized and tested, as of Oct 21, 2026. https://etfiq.com/research/library/page/2/
ETFIQ is not affiliated with any firm listed here; logos identify the source.