Data as of Nov 4, 2026.
IMF vs TFPN: Correlation to the S&P 500
Over the year to Nov 4, 2026, IMF moved less with the S&P 500 than TFPN: correlation +0.38 against +0.75.
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Net assets: $304m on Nov 3, 2026 for Invesco Managed Futures Strategy ETF, and $170m on Jun 30, 2026 for Blueprint Chesapeake Multi-Asset Trend ETF.
IMF in the 26 weeks SPY fell, year to Nov 4, 2026: SPY averaged −1.07%, IMF −0.14%.
TFPN in the 26 weeks SPY fell, year to Nov 4, 2026: SPY averaged −1.07%, TFPN −1.32%.
Pair scorecard
IMF costs 0.48 points a year less; their one-year returns differ by 5.9 points.
| Measure | IMF | TFPN |
|---|---|---|
| Return | ||
| Total return, 1 year | +20.1% | +14.2% |
| Against its benchmark | ||
| Treasury bills, 52 weeks | +3.7% | |
| Cost and size | ||
| Expense ratio | 0.65% | 1.13% |
| Net assets, IMF as of Nov 3, 2026 and TFPN as of Jun 30, 2026 | $304m | $170m |
| Holdings | ||
| Holdings in common | not published | |
| Risk | ||
| Beta to the S&P 500 | +0.24: about 0.24% for each 1% | +1.00: about 1.00% for each 1% |
| Its average week when the S&P 500 fell | fell 0.14% | fell 1.32% |
How much it diversifies a stock portfolio, ranked against 17 systematic trend alternatives ETFs with a full year. 100 is best. How it is computed
One year of weekly moves against the S&P 500, within one strategy; it ignores what the fund returned. All alternatives ETFs ranked by it →
Risk and return
Mar 28, 2025 to Oct 30, 2026 · 83 weekly returnsFrom Mar 2025 to Oct 2026, TFPN returned more: +30.5% to +8.0%. IMF swung less: 9.2% to 11.7%. TFPN fell less at its worst: −8.9% to −13.3%.
Full scorecard
9 measures, with how each is measured Open ↓
| Measure | IMF | TFPN | Edge | How it is measured |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Return | ||||
| Total return | +8.0% | +30.5% | TFPN | Price change plus distributions, reinvested. |
| Annualized | +4.9% | +18.1% | TFPN | Total return as a yearly rate. |
| Price return | +6.9% | +30.5% | TFPN | Price change alone, distributions left out. |
| Risk | ||||
| Volatility | 9.2% | 11.7% | IMF | Spread of weekly returns, annualized. Lower is steadier. |
| Downside deviation | 7.6% | 8.2% | IMF (slight) | Like volatility, counting only weeks below the Treasury bill rate. |
| Max drawdown | −13.3% | −8.9% | TFPN | Deepest fall from a high to the low after it. |
| Risk-adjusted | ||||
| Sharpe | 0.14 | 1.14 | TFPN | Return above Treasury bills per unit of volatility. |
| Sortino | 0.17 | 1.65 | TFPN | Return above Treasury bills per unit of downside deviation. |
| Calmar | 0.37 | 2.03 | TFPN | Annualized return divided by the max drawdown. |
Computed by ETFIQ from Tiingo daily prices and ETFIQ's distribution records, 83 weekly returns. Cash rate: the 13-week Treasury bill.
Window by window
| Total return | vs its benchmark | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Window | IMF | TFPN | IMF | TFPN |
| 3 months | +0.4% | −3.4% | not measured | −3.3 pts vs VOO |
| 6 months | 0.0% | −8.5% | not measured | −13.5 pts vs VOO |
| 1 year | +20.1% | +14.2% | not measured | −0.6 pts vs VOO |
| 3 years | – | +18.6% | – | −64.7 pts vs VOO |
| Since launchNot the same days: IMF Mar 2025 · TFPN Jul 2023 | +4.3% | +17.8% | not measured | −61.6 pts vs VOO |
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Side by side
As of Nov 4, 2026. Source: ETFIQ.
One strategy, two funds
IMF and TFPN both run a managed futures strategy. Over the same 52 weeks to Nov 4, 2026, IMF’s weekly returns had a correlation of +0.38 with the S&P 500 and TFPN’s +0.75. In the 26 weeks the index fell, by 1.07% a week on average, IMF averaged −0.14% and TFPN −1.32%. Over the same weeks, IMF finished 15.6 percentage points ahead of cash and TFPN finished 10.8 points ahead of cash.
Client brief:
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IMF
IMF is a managed futures fund. ETFIQ measures what every alternatives fund is sold on: whether it moves differently from the stock market. Over the year to Nov 4, 2026, its weekly returns had a correlation of +0.38 with the S&P 500’s and a beta of +0.24, so for each 1% the index moved it moved about 0.24% the same way. The S&P 500 fell in 26 of those 52 weeks, by 1.07% on average. In the same weeks IMF fell 0.14% on average, a down-week capture of 13.0%. Over the same 52 weeks IMF returned +19.2% and a Treasury bill fund +3.7%, so it finished 15.6 percentage points ahead of cash.
TFPN
TFPN is a managed futures fund. Over the year to Nov 4, 2026, its weekly returns had a correlation of +0.75 with the S&P 500’s and a beta of +1.00, so for each 1% the index moved it moved about 1.00% the same way. In the same weeks TFPN fell 1.32% on average, a down-week capture of 123.6%. Over the same 52 weeks TFPN returned +14.4% and a Treasury bill fund +3.7%, so it finished 10.8 percentage points ahead of cash.
Questions people ask
- Which moved less with the S&P 500, IMF or TFPN?
- Over the 52 weeks to Nov 4, 2026, IMF’s weekly returns had a correlation of +0.38 with the S&P 500 and TFPN’s +0.75, so IMF moved less with the index.
- Which did better when the S&P 500 fell, IMF or TFPN?
- In the 26 weeks the S&P 500 fell, by 1.07% a week on average, IMF averaged −0.14% and TFPN −1.32%, so IMF returned more in those weeks.
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How this is computed
It is a place in a set, not a rating or a recommendation.
Every number is an ETFIQ calculation with distributions reinvested.
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ETFIQ, IMF against TFPN, data as of Nov 4, 2026. https://etfiq.com/compare/alternatives/imf-vs-tfpn
ETFIQ. (Nov 4, 2026). IMF against TFPN. Retrieved from https://etfiq.com/compare/alternatives/imf-vs-tfpn
[IMF against TFPN (ETFIQ, Nov 4, 2026)](https://etfiq.com/compare/alternatives/imf-vs-tfpn)
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