Data as of Nov 4, 2026.

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Alternative ETFs

AHLT vs IMF: Correlation to the S&P 500

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Over the year to Nov 4, 2026, IMF moved less with the S&P 500 than AHLT: correlation +0.38 against +0.47.

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Net assets: $131m on Jul 31, 2026 for AHL Trend ETF, and $304m on Nov 3, 2026 for Invesco Managed Futures Strategy ETF.

At a glance
+0.47
AHLT correlation with the S&P 500
+0.38
IMF correlation with the S&P 500
81.7%
AHLT down-week capture
13.0%
IMF down-week capture
AHLT Fell 82% as much as the S&P 500
Fell 82% as much as the S&P 500AHLT in the 26 weeks SPY fell, year to Nov 4, 2026: SPY averaged −1.07%, AHLT −0.88%.SPY−1.07%AHLT−0.88%Average week when SPY fell: 26 of 52, year to Nov 4, 2026Fell 82% as much as the S&P 500AHLT in the 26 weeks SPY fell, year to Nov 4, 2026: SPY averaged −1.07%, AHLT −0.88%.SPY−1.07%AHLT−0.88%Average week when SPY fell

AHLT in the 26 weeks SPY fell, year to Nov 4, 2026: SPY averaged −1.07%, AHLT −0.88%.

IMF Fell 13% as much as the S&P 500
Fell 13% as much as the S&P 500IMF in the 26 weeks SPY fell, year to Nov 4, 2026: SPY averaged −1.07%, IMF −0.14%.SPY−1.07%IMF−0.14%Average week when SPY fell: 26 of 52, year to Nov 4, 2026Fell 13% as much as the S&P 500IMF in the 26 weeks SPY fell, year to Nov 4, 2026: SPY averaged −1.07%, IMF −0.14%.SPY−1.07%IMF−0.14%Average week when SPY fell

IMF in the 26 weeks SPY fell, year to Nov 4, 2026: SPY averaged −1.07%, IMF −0.14%.

Pair scorecard

IMF costs 0.31 points a year less; their one-year returns differ by 0.8 points.

AHLT vs IMF: Correlation to the S&P 500
MeasureAHLTIMF
Return
Total return, 1 year+19.3%+20.1%
Against its benchmark
Treasury bills, 52 weeks+3.7%
Cost and size
Expense ratio0.96%0.65%
Net assets, AHLT as of Jul 31, 2026 and IMF as of Nov 3, 2026$131m$304m
Holdings
Holdings in commonnot published
Risk
Beta to the S&P 500+0.58: about 0.58% for each 1%+0.24: about 0.24% for each 1%
Its average week when the S&P 500 fellfell 0.88%fell 0.14%
ETFIQ Stock Diversification Score · IMF scores higher How much does it diversify a stock portfolio?
IQ Alternatives Score41.2AHLT70.6IMF

How much it diversifies a stock portfolio, ranked against 17 systematic trend alternatives ETFs with a full year. 100 is best. How it is computed

2.9, the lowest in this set 94.2, the highest

One year of weekly moves against the S&P 500, within one strategy; it ignores what the fund returned. All alternatives ETFs ranked by it →

Method

Risk and return

Mar 28, 2025 to Oct 30, 2026 · 83 weekly returns
AHLT IMF
Return
Total return edge AHLT +29.8% +8.0%
Annualized edge AHLT +17.7% +4.9%
Price return edge AHLT +27.6% +6.9%
Risk
Volatility edge IMF 14.6% 9.2%
Max drawdown edge AHLT −9.5% −13.3%
Risk-adjusted
Sharpe edge AHLT 0.92 0.14
Sortino edge AHLT 1.30 0.17
Calmar edge AHLT 1.87 0.37
Reading

From Mar 2025 to Oct 2026, AHLT returned more: +29.8% to +8.0%. IMF swung less: 9.2% to 14.6%. AHLT fell less at its worst: −9.5% to −13.3%.

Full scorecard

9 measures, with how each is measured
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Risk and return: AHLT vs IMF: Correlation to the S&P 500
MeasureAHLTIMFEdgeHow it is measured
Return
Total return+29.8%+8.0%AHLTPrice change plus distributions, reinvested.
Annualized+17.7%+4.9%AHLTTotal return as a yearly rate.
Price return+27.6%+6.9%AHLTPrice change alone, distributions left out.
Risk
Volatility14.6%9.2%IMFSpread of weekly returns, annualized. Lower is steadier.
Downside deviation10.4%7.6%IMFLike volatility, counting only weeks below the Treasury bill rate.
Max drawdown−9.5%−13.3%AHLTDeepest fall from a high to the low after it.
Risk-adjusted
Sharpe0.920.14AHLTReturn above Treasury bills per unit of volatility.
Sortino1.300.17AHLTReturn above Treasury bills per unit of downside deviation.
Calmar1.870.37AHLTAnnualized return divided by the max drawdown.

Computed by ETFIQ from Tiingo daily prices and ETFIQ's distribution records, 83 weekly returns. Cash rate: the 13-week Treasury bill.

Window by window

Window by window: AHLT vs IMF: Correlation to the S&P 500
Total return
WindowAHLTIMF
3 months+2.3%+0.4%
6 months+0.3%0.0%
1 year+19.3%+20.1%
3 years+22.1%–
Since launchNot the same days: AHLT Aug 2023 · IMF Mar 2025+22.2%+4.3%

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Side by side

AHLT AHL Trend ETF · Managed futures fund: follows price trends in futures on stocks, bonds, currencies and commodities, and can bet on falls as well as rises IMF Invesco Managed Futures Strategy ETF · Managed futures fund: follows price trends in futures on stocks, bonds, currencies and commodities, and can bet on falls as well as rises
Strategy Managed futures Managed futures
Correlation with the S&P 500 +0.47 +0.38
Beta to the S&P 500 +0.58 +0.24
Down-week capture 81.7% 13.0%
Average week when the S&P 500 fell −0.88% −0.14%
The S&P 500 in those weeks −1.07% −1.07%
Total return, same 52 weeks +18.3% +19.2%
Against T-bills, percentage points +14.7 pts +15.6 pts
Expense ratio 0.96% 0.65%
First traded Aug 31, 2023 Mar 19, 2025
Net assets, AHLT as of Jul 31, 2026 and IMF as of Nov 3, 2026 $131m $304m

As of Nov 4, 2026. Source: ETFIQ.

One strategy, two funds

AHLT and IMF both run a managed futures strategy. Over the same 52 weeks to Nov 4, 2026, AHLT’s weekly returns had a correlation of +0.47 with the S&P 500 and IMF’s +0.38. In the 26 weeks the index fell, by 1.07% a week on average, AHLT averaged −0.88% and IMF −0.14%. Over the same weeks, AHLT finished 14.7 percentage points ahead of cash and IMF finished 15.6 points ahead of cash.

Client brief:

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About each fund
AHLT

AHLT is a managed futures fund. ETFIQ measures what every alternatives fund is sold on: whether it moves differently from the stock market. Over the year to Nov 4, 2026, its weekly returns had a correlation of +0.47 with the S&P 500’s and a beta of +0.58, so for each 1% the index moved it moved about 0.58% the same way. The S&P 500 fell in 26 of those 52 weeks, by 1.07% on average. In the same weeks AHLT fell 0.88% on average, a down-week capture of 81.7%. Over the same 52 weeks AHLT returned +18.3% and a Treasury bill fund +3.7%, so it finished 14.7 percentage points ahead of cash.

IMF

IMF is a managed futures fund. Over the year to Nov 4, 2026, its weekly returns had a correlation of +0.38 with the S&P 500’s and a beta of +0.24, so for each 1% the index moved it moved about 0.24% the same way. In the same weeks IMF fell 0.14% on average, a down-week capture of 13.0%. Over the same 52 weeks IMF returned +19.2% and a Treasury bill fund +3.7%, so it finished 15.6 percentage points ahead of cash.

Questions people ask

Which moved less with the S&P 500, AHLT or IMF?
Over the 52 weeks to Nov 4, 2026, AHLT’s weekly returns had a correlation of +0.47 with the S&P 500 and IMF’s +0.38, so IMF moved less with the index.
Which did better when the S&P 500 fell, AHLT or IMF?
In the 26 weeks the S&P 500 fell, by 1.07% a week on average, AHLT averaged −0.88% and IMF −0.14%, so IMF returned more in those weeks.
Which earned more than cash, AHLT or IMF?
Over the same weeks, AHLT finished 14.7 percentage points ahead of cash and IMF finished 15.6 percentage points ahead of cash. Cash here is BIL, a fund of Treasury bills.
Which is cheaper, AHLT or IMF?
AHLT charges 0.96% a year and IMF charges 0.65%, so IMF is cheaper. Fees come from each fund's prospectus.
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ETFIQ, AHLT against IMF, data as of Nov 4, 2026. https://etfiq.com/compare/alternatives/ahlt-vs-imf

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