Data as of .
CTA vs TFPN: which moved less with stocks?
Over the year to Sep 18, 2026, CTA moved less with the S&P 500 than TFPN: correlation −0.26 against +0.46.
ETFIQ Diversifier Score: CTA scores higher
How much does it diversify a stock portfolio?
A percentile among the 63 alternatives ETFs with a full year. It is a position in a set, not a rating, and neither end of it is a recommendation. All alternatives ETFs ranked by it · How it is computed
One strategy, two funds
CTA and TFPN both run a managed futures strategy. Over the same 52 weeks to Sep 18, 2026, CTA’s weekly returns had a correlation of −0.26 with the S&P 500 and TFPN’s +0.46. In the 22 weeks the index fell, by 1.24% a week on average, CTA averaged +0.97% and TFPN −0.32%. Over the same weeks, CTA finished 10.1 percentage points ahead of cash and TFPN finished 18.9 points ahead of cash.
Performance, window by window
| Window | Total return | vs the S&P 500 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CTA | TFPN | CTA | TFPN | |
| 3 months | +11.3% | −6.7% | +9.0 pts | −9.0 pts |
| 6 months | +1.2% | +10.2% | −16.9 pts | −7.8 pts |
| 1 year | +13.8% | +24.3% | −2.8 pts | +7.8 pts |
| 3 years | +31.9% | +23.5% | −46.5 pts | −54.9 pts |
| Since launch | +52.5% | +23.2% | −42.5 pts | −54.5 pts |
| CTA Simplify Managed Futures Strategy ETF Managed futures fund: follows price trends in futures on stocks, bonds, currencies and commodities, and can bet on falls as well as rises | TFPN Blueprint Chesapeake Multi-Asset Trend ETF Managed futures fund: follows price trends in futures on stocks, bonds, currencies and commodities, and can bet on falls as well as rises | |
|---|---|---|
| Issuer | Simplify | Blueprint |
| Strategy | Managed futures | Managed futures |
| Correlation with the S&P 500 | −0.26 | +0.46 |
| Beta to the S&P 500 | −0.47 | +0.49 |
| Down-week capture | −78.5% | 25.7% |
| Average week when the S&P 500 fell | +0.97% | −0.32% |
| The S&P 500 in those weeks | −1.24% | −1.24% |
| Total return, same 52 weeks | +13.7% | +22.5% |
| Against T-bills, percentage points | +10.1 pts | +18.9 pts |
| Expense ratio | 0.75% | 1.96% |
| Listed | Mar 8, 2022 | Jul 12, 2023 |
| Net assets | $1.5bn | $170m |
CTA in plain words
CTA is a managed futures fund. ETFIQ measures what every alternatives fund is sold on: whether it moves differently from the stock market. Over the year to Sep 18, 2026, its weekly returns had a correlation of −0.26 with the S&P 500’s and a beta of −0.47, so for each 1% the index moved it moved about 0.47% the other way. The S&P 500 fell in 22 of those 52 weeks, by 1.24% on average. In the same weeks CTA rose 0.97% on average, a down-week capture of −78.5%. Over the same 52 weeks CTA returned +13.7% and a Treasury bill fund +3.6%, so it finished 10.1 percentage points ahead of cash.
TFPN in plain words
TFPN is a managed futures fund. Over the year to Sep 18, 2026, its weekly returns had a correlation of +0.46 with the S&P 500’s and a beta of +0.49, so for each 1% the index moved it moved about 0.49% the same way. In the same weeks TFPN fell 0.32% on average, a down-week capture of 25.7%. Over the same 52 weeks TFPN returned +22.5% and a Treasury bill fund +3.6%, so it finished 18.9 percentage points ahead of cash.
Questions people ask
- Which moved less with the S&P 500, CTA or TFPN?
- Over the 52 weeks to Sep 18, 2026, CTA’s weekly returns had a correlation of −0.26 with the S&P 500 and TFPN’s +0.46, so CTA moved less with the index.
- Which did better when the S&P 500 fell, CTA or TFPN?
- In the 22 weeks the S&P 500 fell, by 1.24% a week on average, CTA averaged +0.97% and TFPN −0.32%, so CTA returned more in those weeks.
- Which earned more than cash, CTA or TFPN?
- Over the same weeks, CTA finished 10.1 percentage points ahead of cash and TFPN finished 18.9 percentage points ahead of cash. Cash here is BIL, a fund of Treasury bills.
- Which is cheaper, CTA or TFPN?
- CTA charges 0.75% a year and TFPN charges 1.96%, so CTA is cheaper. Fees come from each fund's prospectus.
Other comparisons
Where these figures came from
ETFIQ links to the documents behind every figure. It is not affiliated with any issuer, and a link is not an endorsement.
Cite this page. ETFIQ, CTA against TFPN, data as of Sep 18, 2026. https://etfiq.com/compare/alternatives/cta-vs-tfpn Free to use with attribution; the underlying files are at Open data.