Get the weekly note
ETFIQetfiq.com · independent ETF data

Data as of .

AHLT vs CTA: which moved less with stocks?

Over the year to Sep 18, 2026, CTA moved less with the S&P 500 than AHLT: correlation −0.26 against +0.40.

AHL Trend ETF and Simplify Managed Futures Strategy ETF.

+0.40AHLT correlation with the S&P 500
−0.26CTA correlation with the S&P 500
8.0%AHLT down-week capture
−78.5%CTA down-week capture

ETFIQ Diversifier Score: CTA scores higher

How much does it diversify a stock portfolio?

AHLT 60.4CTA 95.34.8, the lowest in this set98.0, the highest

A percentile among the 63 alternatives ETFs with a full year. It is a position in a set, not a rating, and neither end of it is a recommendation. All alternatives ETFs ranked by it · How it is computed

AHLTFell 8% as much as the S&P 500
SPY−1.24%AHLT−0.10%Average week when SPY fell: 22 of 52, year to Sep 18, 2026SPY−1.24%AHLT−0.10%Average week when SPY fell
CTARose when the S&P 500 fell
SPY−1.24%CTA+0.97%Average week when SPY fell: 22 of 52, year to Sep 18, 2026SPY−1.24%CTA+0.97%Average week when SPY fell

One strategy, two funds

AHLT and CTA both run a managed futures strategy. Over the same 52 weeks to Sep 18, 2026, AHLT’s weekly returns had a correlation of +0.40 with the S&P 500 and CTA’s −0.26. In the 22 weeks the index fell, by 1.24% a week on average, AHLT averaged −0.10% and CTA +0.97%. Over the same weeks, AHLT finished 27.9 percentage points ahead of cash and CTA finished 10.1 points ahead of cash.

Performance, window by window

AHLT and CTA over each window. Every figure is an ETFIQ calculation with distributions reinvested. Source: ETFIQ.
WindowTotal returnvs the S&P 500
AHLTCTAAHLTCTA
3 months+4.3%+11.3%+2.0 pts+9.0 pts
6 months+8.3%+1.2%−9.7 pts−16.9 pts
1 year+32.0%+13.8%+15.4 pts−2.8 pts
3 years+22.5%+31.9%−55.9 pts−46.5 pts
Since launch+27.9%+52.5%−48.1 pts−42.5 pts
Open the live comparison on ETFIQ
AHLT and CTA on the same fields, as of Sep 18, 2026. Source: ETFIQ.
AHLT
AHL Trend ETF
Managed futures fund: follows price trends in futures on stocks, bonds, currencies and commodities, and can bet on falls as well as rises
CTA
Simplify Managed Futures Strategy ETF
Managed futures fund: follows price trends in futures on stocks, bonds, currencies and commodities, and can bet on falls as well as rises
IssuerAmerican BeaconSimplify
StrategyManaged futuresManaged futures
Correlation with the S&P 500+0.40−0.26
Beta to the S&P 500+0.42−0.47
Down-week capture8.0%−78.5%
Average week when the S&P 500 fell−0.10%+0.97%
The S&P 500 in those weeks−1.24%−1.24%
Total return, same 52 weeks+31.6%+13.7%
Against T-bills, percentage points+27.9 pts+10.1 pts
Expense ratio0.96%0.75%
ListedAug 31, 2023Mar 8, 2022
Net assets$50m$1.5bn

AHLT in plain words

AHLT is a managed futures fund. ETFIQ measures what every alternatives fund is sold on: whether it moves differently from the stock market. Over the year to Sep 18, 2026, its weekly returns had a correlation of +0.40 with the S&P 500’s and a beta of +0.42, so for each 1% the index moved it moved about 0.42% the same way. The S&P 500 fell in 22 of those 52 weeks, by 1.24% on average. In the same weeks AHLT fell 0.10% on average, a down-week capture of 8.0%. Over the same 52 weeks AHLT returned +31.6% and a Treasury bill fund +3.6%, so it finished 27.9 percentage points ahead of cash.

CTA in plain words

CTA is a managed futures fund. Over the year to Sep 18, 2026, its weekly returns had a correlation of −0.26 with the S&P 500’s and a beta of −0.47, so for each 1% the index moved it moved about 0.47% the other way. In the same weeks CTA rose 0.97% on average, a down-week capture of −78.5%. Over the same 52 weeks CTA returned +13.7% and a Treasury bill fund +3.6%, so it finished 10.1 percentage points ahead of cash.

Questions people ask

Which moved less with the S&P 500, AHLT or CTA?
Over the 52 weeks to Sep 18, 2026, AHLT’s weekly returns had a correlation of +0.40 with the S&P 500 and CTA’s −0.26, so CTA moved less with the index.
Which did better when the S&P 500 fell, AHLT or CTA?
In the 22 weeks the S&P 500 fell, by 1.24% a week on average, AHLT averaged −0.10% and CTA +0.97%, so CTA returned more in those weeks.
Which earned more than cash, AHLT or CTA?
Over the same weeks, AHLT finished 27.9 percentage points ahead of cash and CTA finished 10.1 percentage points ahead of cash. Cash here is BIL, a fund of Treasury bills.
Which is cheaper, AHLT or CTA?
AHLT charges 0.96% a year and CTA charges 0.75%, so CTA is cheaper. Fees come from each fund's prospectus.

Other comparisons

Where these figures came from

ETFIQ links to the documents behind every figure. It is not affiliated with any issuer, and a link is not an endorsement.

AHLT against CTA, ETFIQ, data as of Sep 18, 2026. Every figure is calculated from a named public source; the method is at etfiq.com/methodology. A comparison is not a recommendation.

Cite this page. ETFIQ, AHLT against CTA, data as of Sep 18, 2026. https://etfiq.com/compare/alternatives/ahlt-vs-cta Free to use with attribution; the underlying files are at Open data.

How every figure is computed · Standards and sources