Data as of Nov 4, 2026.

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Alternative ETFs

CTA vs RSBT: Correlation to the S&P 500

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Over the year to Nov 4, 2026, CTA moved less with the S&P 500 than RSBT: correlation −0.14 against +0.52.

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Net assets: $1.3bn on Nov 3, 2026 for Simplify Managed Futures Strategy ETF, and $135m on Jul 31, 2026 for Return Stacked Bonds & Managed Futures ETF.

At a glance
−0.14
CTA correlation with the S&P 500
+0.52
RSBT correlation with the S&P 500
5.3%
CTA down-week capture
74.4%
RSBT down-week capture
CTA Fell 5% as much as the S&P 500
Fell 5% as much as the S&P 500CTA in the 26 weeks SPY fell, year to Nov 4, 2026: SPY averaged −1.07%, CTA −0.06%.SPY−1.07%CTA−0.06%Average week when SPY fell: 26 of 52, year to Nov 4, 2026Fell 5% as much as the S&P 500CTA in the 26 weeks SPY fell, year to Nov 4, 2026: SPY averaged −1.07%, CTA −0.06%.SPY−1.07%CTA−0.06%Average week when SPY fell

CTA in the 26 weeks SPY fell, year to Nov 4, 2026: SPY averaged −1.07%, CTA −0.06%.

RSBT Fell 74% as much as the S&P 500
Fell 74% as much as the S&P 500RSBT in the 26 weeks SPY fell, year to Nov 4, 2026: SPY averaged −1.07%, RSBT −0.80%.SPY−1.07%RSBT−0.80%Average week when SPY fell: 26 of 52, year to Nov 4, 2026Fell 74% as much as the S&P 500RSBT in the 26 weeks SPY fell, year to Nov 4, 2026: SPY averaged −1.07%, RSBT −0.80%.SPY−1.07%RSBT−0.80%Average week when SPY fell

RSBT in the 26 weeks SPY fell, year to Nov 4, 2026: SPY averaged −1.07%, RSBT −0.80%.

Pair scorecard

CTA costs 0.15 points a year less; their one-year returns differ by 3.3 points.

CTA vs RSBT: Correlation to the S&P 500
MeasureCTARSBT
Return
Total return, 1 year+4.6%+7.9%
Against its benchmark
Treasury bills, 52 weeks+3.7%
Cost and size
Expense ratio0.86%1.01%
Net assets, CTA as of Nov 3, 2026 and RSBT as of Jul 31, 2026$1.3bn$135m
Holdings
Holdings in commonnot published
Risk
Beta to the S&P 500−0.30: about 0.30% for each 1%+0.52: about 0.52% for each 1%
Its average week when the S&P 500 fellfell 0.06%fell 0.80%
ETFIQ Stock Diversification Score · CTA scores higher How much does it diversify a stock portfolio?
IQ Alternatives Score94.2CTA38.2RSBT

How much it diversifies a stock portfolio, ranked against 17 systematic trend alternatives ETFs with a full year. 100 is best. How it is computed

2.9, the lowest in this set 94.2, the highest

One year of weekly moves against the S&P 500, within one strategy; it ignores what the fund returned. All alternatives ETFs ranked by it →

Method

Risk and return

Feb 17, 2023 to Oct 30, 2026 · 193 weekly returns
CTA RSBT
Return
Total return edge CTA +38.3% +1.1%
Annualized edge CTA +9.1% +0.3%
Price return edge CTA +12.9% −4.2%
Risk
Volatility edge RSBT 17.6% 11.8%
Max drawdown edge CTA (slight) −19.0% −20.7%
Risk-adjusted
Sharpe edge CTA 0.32 −0.31
Sortino edge CTA 0.45 −0.39
Calmar edge CTA 0.48 0.01
Reading

From Feb 2023 to Oct 2026, CTA returned more: +38.3% to +1.1%. RSBT swung less: 11.8% to 17.6%. CTA fell slightly less at its worst: −19.0% to −20.7%.

Full scorecard

9 measures, with how each is measured
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Risk and return: CTA vs RSBT: Correlation to the S&P 500
MeasureCTARSBTEdgeHow it is measured
Return
Total return+38.3%+1.1%CTAPrice change plus distributions, reinvested.
Annualized+9.1%+0.3%CTATotal return as a yearly rate.
Price return+12.9%−4.2%CTAPrice change alone, distributions left out.
Risk
Volatility17.6%11.8%RSBTSpread of weekly returns, annualized. Lower is steadier.
Downside deviation12.6%9.3%RSBTLike volatility, counting only weeks below the Treasury bill rate.
Max drawdown−19.0%−20.7%CTA (slight)Deepest fall from a high to the low after it.
Risk-adjusted
Sharpe0.32−0.31CTAReturn above Treasury bills per unit of volatility.
Sortino0.45−0.39CTAReturn above Treasury bills per unit of downside deviation.
Calmar0.480.01CTAAnnualized return divided by the max drawdown.

Computed by ETFIQ from Tiingo daily prices and ETFIQ's distribution records, 193 weekly returns. Cash rate: the 13-week Treasury bill.

Window by window

Window by window: CTA vs RSBT: Correlation to the S&P 500
Total return
WindowCTARSBT
3 months+6.2%+1.0%
6 months−10.8%−2.7%
1 year+4.6%+7.9%
3 years+22.3%+15.2%
Since launchNot the same days: CTA Mar 2022 · RSBT Feb 2023+37.8%−0.8%

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Side by side

CTA Simplify Managed Futures Strategy ETF · Managed futures fund: follows price trends in futures on stocks, bonds, currencies and commodities, and can bet on falls as well as rises RSBT Return Stacked Bonds & Managed Futures ETF · Managed futures fund: follows price trends in futures on stocks, bonds, currencies and commodities, and can bet on falls as well as rises
Strategy Managed futures Managed futures
Correlation with the S&P 500 −0.14 +0.52
Beta to the S&P 500 −0.30 +0.52
Down-week capture 5.3% 74.4%
Average week when the S&P 500 fell −0.06% −0.80%
The S&P 500 in those weeks −1.07% −1.07%
Total return, same 52 weeks +3.6% +8.0%
Against T-bills, percentage points 0.0 pts +4.4 pts
Expense ratio 0.86% 1.01%
First traded Mar 8, 2022 Feb 8, 2023
Net assets, CTA as of Nov 3, 2026 and RSBT as of Jul 31, 2026 $1.3bn $135m

As of Nov 4, 2026. Source: ETFIQ.

One strategy, two funds

CTA and RSBT both run a managed futures strategy. Over the same 52 weeks to Nov 4, 2026, CTA’s weekly returns had a correlation of −0.14 with the S&P 500 and RSBT’s +0.52. In the 26 weeks the index fell, by 1.07% a week on average, CTA averaged −0.06% and RSBT −0.80%. Over the same weeks, CTA finished level with cash and RSBT finished 4.4 points ahead of cash.

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About each fund
CTA

CTA is a managed futures fund. ETFIQ measures what every alternatives fund is sold on: whether it moves differently from the stock market. Over the year to Nov 4, 2026, its weekly returns had a correlation of −0.14 with the S&P 500’s and a beta of −0.30, so for each 1% the index moved it moved about 0.30% the other way. The S&P 500 fell in 26 of those 52 weeks, by 1.07% on average. In the same weeks CTA fell 0.06% on average, a down-week capture of 5.3%. Over the same 52 weeks CTA returned +3.6% and a Treasury bill fund +3.7%, so it finished level with cash.

RSBT

RSBT is a managed futures fund. Over the year to Nov 4, 2026, its weekly returns had a correlation of +0.52 with the S&P 500’s and a beta of +0.52, so for each 1% the index moved it moved about 0.52% the same way. In the same weeks RSBT fell 0.80% on average, a down-week capture of 74.4%. Over the same 52 weeks RSBT returned +8.0% and a Treasury bill fund +3.7%, so it finished 4.4 percentage points ahead of cash.

Questions people ask

Which moved less with the S&P 500, CTA or RSBT?
Over the 52 weeks to Nov 4, 2026, CTA’s weekly returns had a correlation of −0.14 with the S&P 500 and RSBT’s +0.52, so CTA moved less with the index.
Which did better when the S&P 500 fell, CTA or RSBT?
In the 26 weeks the S&P 500 fell, by 1.07% a week on average, CTA averaged −0.06% and RSBT −0.80%, so CTA returned more in those weeks.
Which earned more than cash, CTA or RSBT?
Over the same weeks, CTA finished level with cash and RSBT finished 4.4 percentage points ahead of cash. Cash here is BIL, a fund of Treasury bills.
Which is cheaper, CTA or RSBT?
CTA charges 0.86% a year and RSBT charges 1.01%, so CTA is cheaper. Fees come from each fund's prospectus.
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ETFIQ, CTA against RSBT, data as of Nov 4, 2026. https://etfiq.com/compare/alternatives/cta-vs-rsbt

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