Data as of Nov 4, 2026.

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Alternative ETFs

CTA vs RSST: Correlation to the S&P 500

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Over the year to Nov 4, 2026, CTA moved less with the S&P 500 than RSST: correlation −0.14 against +0.85.

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Net assets: $1.3bn on Nov 3, 2026 for Simplify Managed Futures Strategy ETF, and $480m on Jul 31, 2026 for Return Stacked U.S. Stocks & Managed Futures ETF.

At a glance
−0.14
CTA correlation with the S&P 500
+0.85
RSST correlation with the S&P 500
5.3%
CTA down-week capture
164.8%
RSST down-week capture
CTA Fell 5% as much as the S&P 500
Fell 5% as much as the S&P 500CTA in the 26 weeks SPY fell, year to Nov 4, 2026: SPY averaged −1.07%, CTA −0.06%.SPY−1.07%CTA−0.06%Average week when SPY fell: 26 of 52, year to Nov 4, 2026Fell 5% as much as the S&P 500CTA in the 26 weeks SPY fell, year to Nov 4, 2026: SPY averaged −1.07%, CTA −0.06%.SPY−1.07%CTA−0.06%Average week when SPY fell

CTA in the 26 weeks SPY fell, year to Nov 4, 2026: SPY averaged −1.07%, CTA −0.06%.

RSST Fell more than the S&P 500
Fell more than the S&P 500RSST in the 26 weeks SPY fell, year to Nov 4, 2026: SPY averaged −1.07%, RSST −1.76%.SPY−1.07%RSST−1.76%Average week when SPY fell: 26 of 52, year to Nov 4, 2026Fell more than the S&P 500RSST in the 26 weeks SPY fell, year to Nov 4, 2026: SPY averaged −1.07%, RSST −1.76%.SPY−1.07%RSST−1.76%Average week when SPY fell

RSST in the 26 weeks SPY fell, year to Nov 4, 2026: SPY averaged −1.07%, RSST −1.76%.

Pair scorecard

CTA costs 0.13 points a year less; their one-year returns differ by 18.7 points.

CTA vs RSST: Correlation to the S&P 500
MeasureCTARSST
Return
Total return, 1 year+4.6%+23.3%
Against its benchmark
Treasury bills, 52 weeks+3.7%
Cost and size
Expense ratio0.86%0.99%
Net assets, CTA as of Nov 3, 2026 and RSST as of Jul 31, 2026$1.3bn$480m
Holdings
Holdings in commonnot published
Risk
Beta to the S&P 500−0.30: about 0.30% for each 1%+1.45: about 1.45% for each 1%
Its average week when the S&P 500 fellfell 0.06%fell 1.76%
ETFIQ Stock Diversification Score · CTA scores higher How much does it diversify a stock portfolio?
IQ Alternatives Score94.2CTA2.9RSST

How much it diversifies a stock portfolio, ranked against 17 systematic trend alternatives ETFs with a full year. 100 is best. How it is computed

2.9, the lowest in this set 94.2, the highest

One year of weekly moves against the S&P 500, within one strategy; it ignores what the fund returned. All alternatives ETFs ranked by it →

Method

Risk and return

Sep 15, 2023 to Oct 30, 2026 · 163 weekly returns
CTA RSST
Return
Total return edge RSST +35.6% +72.6%
Annualized edge RSST +10.2% +19.0%
Price return edge RSST +11.2% +69.0%
Risk
Volatility edge CTA 17.4% 21.3%
Max drawdown edge CTA −19.0% −26.8%
Risk-adjusted
Sharpe edge RSST 0.39 0.72
Sortino edge RSST 0.57 0.99
Calmar edge RSST 0.54 0.71
Reading

From Sep 2023 to Oct 2026, RSST returned more: +72.6% to +35.6%. CTA swung less: 17.4% to 21.3%. CTA fell less at its worst: −19.0% to −26.8%.

Full scorecard

9 measures, with how each is measured
Open ↓
Risk and return: CTA vs RSST: Correlation to the S&P 500
MeasureCTARSSTEdgeHow it is measured
Return
Total return+35.6%+72.6%RSSTPrice change plus distributions, reinvested.
Annualized+10.2%+19.0%RSSTTotal return as a yearly rate.
Price return+11.2%+69.0%RSSTPrice change alone, distributions left out.
Risk
Volatility17.4%21.3%CTASpread of weekly returns, annualized. Lower is steadier.
Downside deviation11.9%15.4%CTALike volatility, counting only weeks below the Treasury bill rate.
Max drawdown−19.0%−26.8%CTADeepest fall from a high to the low after it.
Risk-adjusted
Sharpe0.390.72RSSTReturn above Treasury bills per unit of volatility.
Sortino0.570.99RSSTReturn above Treasury bills per unit of downside deviation.
Calmar0.540.71RSSTAnnualized return divided by the max drawdown.

Computed by ETFIQ from Tiingo daily prices and ETFIQ's distribution records, 163 weekly returns. Cash rate: the 13-week Treasury bill.

Window by window

Window by window: CTA vs RSST: Correlation to the S&P 500
Total returnvs its benchmark
WindowCTARSSTCTARSST
3 months+6.2%+0.9%not measured+1.0 pts vs VOO
6 months−10.8%+3.0%not measured−2.0 pts vs VOO
1 year+4.6%+23.3%not measured+8.5 pts vs VOO
3 years+22.3%+80.1%not measured−3.2 pts vs VOO
Since launchNot the same days: CTA Mar 2022 · RSST Sep 2023+37.8%+71.0%not measured−8.2 pts vs VOO

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Side by side

CTA Simplify Managed Futures Strategy ETF · Managed futures fund: follows price trends in futures on stocks, bonds, currencies and commodities, and can bet on falls as well as rises RSST Return Stacked U.S. Stocks & Managed Futures ETF · Managed futures fund: follows price trends in futures on stocks, bonds, currencies and commodities, and can bet on falls as well as rises
Strategy Managed futures Managed futures
Correlation with the S&P 500 −0.14 +0.85
Beta to the S&P 500 −0.30 +1.45
Down-week capture 5.3% 164.8%
Average week when the S&P 500 fell −0.06% −1.76%
The S&P 500 in those weeks −1.07% −1.07%
Total return, same 52 weeks +3.6% +22.5%
Against T-bills, percentage points 0.0 pts +18.9 pts
Expense ratio 0.86% 0.99%
First traded Mar 8, 2022 Sep 6, 2023
Net assets, CTA as of Nov 3, 2026 and RSST as of Jul 31, 2026 $1.3bn $480m

As of Nov 4, 2026. Source: ETFIQ.

One strategy, two funds

CTA and RSST both run a managed futures strategy. Over the same 52 weeks to Nov 4, 2026, CTA’s weekly returns had a correlation of −0.14 with the S&P 500 and RSST’s +0.85. In the 26 weeks the index fell, by 1.07% a week on average, CTA averaged −0.06% and RSST −1.76%. Over the same weeks, CTA finished level with cash and RSST finished 18.9 points ahead of cash.

Client brief:

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About each fund
CTA

CTA is a managed futures fund. ETFIQ measures what every alternatives fund is sold on: whether it moves differently from the stock market. Over the year to Nov 4, 2026, its weekly returns had a correlation of −0.14 with the S&P 500’s and a beta of −0.30, so for each 1% the index moved it moved about 0.30% the other way. The S&P 500 fell in 26 of those 52 weeks, by 1.07% on average. In the same weeks CTA fell 0.06% on average, a down-week capture of 5.3%. Over the same 52 weeks CTA returned +3.6% and a Treasury bill fund +3.7%, so it finished level with cash.

RSST

RSST is a managed futures fund. Over the year to Nov 4, 2026, its weekly returns had a correlation of +0.85 with the S&P 500’s and a beta of +1.45, so for each 1% the index moved it moved about 1.45% the same way. In the same weeks RSST fell 1.76% on average, a down-week capture of 164.8%. Over the same 52 weeks RSST returned +22.5% and a Treasury bill fund +3.7%, so it finished 18.9 percentage points ahead of cash.

Questions people ask

Which moved less with the S&P 500, CTA or RSST?
Over the 52 weeks to Nov 4, 2026, CTA’s weekly returns had a correlation of −0.14 with the S&P 500 and RSST’s +0.85, so CTA moved less with the index.
Which did better when the S&P 500 fell, CTA or RSST?
In the 26 weeks the S&P 500 fell, by 1.07% a week on average, CTA averaged −0.06% and RSST −1.76%, so CTA returned more in those weeks.
Which earned more than cash, CTA or RSST?
Over the same weeks, CTA finished level with cash and RSST finished 18.9 percentage points ahead of cash. Cash here is BIL, a fund of Treasury bills.
Which is cheaper, CTA or RSST?
CTA charges 0.86% a year and RSST charges 0.99%, so CTA is cheaper. Fees come from each fund's prospectus.
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ETFIQ, CTA against RSST, data as of Nov 4, 2026. https://etfiq.com/compare/alternatives/cta-vs-rsst

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