Data as of Nov 4, 2026.

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Alternative ETFs

KMLM vs TFPN: Correlation to the S&P 500

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Over the year to Nov 4, 2026, KMLM moved less with the S&P 500 than TFPN: correlation −0.12 against +0.75.

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Net assets: $586m on Nov 4, 2026 for KraneShares Mount Lucas Managed Futures Index Strategy ETF, and $170m on Jun 30, 2026 for Blueprint Chesapeake Multi-Asset Trend ETF.

At a glance
−0.12
KMLM correlation with the S&P 500
+0.75
TFPN correlation with the S&P 500
−16.3%
KMLM down-week capture
123.6%
TFPN down-week capture
KMLM Rose when the S&P 500 fell
Rose when the S&P 500 fellKMLM in the 26 weeks SPY fell, year to Nov 4, 2026: SPY averaged −1.07%, KMLM +0.18%.SPY−1.07%KMLM+0.18%Average week when SPY fell: 26 of 52, year to Nov 4, 2026Rose when the S&P 500 fellKMLM in the 26 weeks SPY fell, year to Nov 4, 2026: SPY averaged −1.07%, KMLM +0.18%.SPY−1.07%KMLM+0.18%Average week when SPY fell

KMLM in the 26 weeks SPY fell, year to Nov 4, 2026: SPY averaged −1.07%, KMLM +0.18%.

TFPN Fell more than the S&P 500
Fell more than the S&P 500TFPN in the 26 weeks SPY fell, year to Nov 4, 2026: SPY averaged −1.07%, TFPN −1.32%.SPY−1.07%TFPN−1.32%Average week when SPY fell: 26 of 52, year to Nov 4, 2026Fell more than the S&P 500TFPN in the 26 weeks SPY fell, year to Nov 4, 2026: SPY averaged −1.07%, TFPN −1.32%.SPY−1.07%TFPN−1.32%Average week when SPY fell

TFPN in the 26 weeks SPY fell, year to Nov 4, 2026: SPY averaged −1.07%, TFPN −1.32%.

Pair scorecard

KMLM costs 0.23 points a year less; their one-year returns differ by 2.3 points.

KMLM vs TFPN: Correlation to the S&P 500
MeasureKMLMTFPN
Return
Total return, 1 year+16.5%+14.2%
Against its benchmark
Treasury bills, 52 weeks+3.7%
Cost and size
Expense ratio0.90%1.13%
Net assets, KMLM as of Nov 4, 2026 and TFPN as of Jun 30, 2026$586m$170m
Holdings
Holdings in commonnot published
Risk
Beta to the S&P 500−0.12: about 0.12% for each 1%+1.00: about 1.00% for each 1%
Its average week when the S&P 500 fellrose 0.18%fell 1.32%
ETFIQ Stock Diversification Score · KMLM scores higher How much does it diversify a stock portfolio?
IQ Alternatives Score94.2KMLM11.8TFPN

How much it diversifies a stock portfolio, ranked against 17 systematic trend alternatives ETFs with a full year. 100 is best. How it is computed

2.9, the lowest in this set 94.2, the highest

One year of weekly moves against the S&P 500, within one strategy; it ignores what the fund returned. All alternatives ETFs ranked by it →

Method

Risk and return

Jul 21, 2023 to Oct 30, 2026 · 171 weekly returns
KMLM TFPN
Return
Total return edge TFPN +5.7% +18.9%
Annualized edge TFPN +1.7% +5.4%
Price return edge TFPN −0.2% +16.7%
Risk
Volatility edge TFPN (slight) 11.2% 10.7%
Max drawdown edge TFPN −22.1% −15.4%
Risk-adjusted
Sharpe edge TFPN −0.20 0.12
Sortino edge TFPN −0.26 0.17
Calmar edge TFPN 0.08 0.35
Reading

From Jul 2023 to Oct 2026, TFPN returned more: +18.9% to +5.7%. TFPN swung slightly less: 10.7% to 11.2%. TFPN fell less at its worst: −15.4% to −22.1%.

Full scorecard

9 measures, with how each is measured
Open ↓
Risk and return: KMLM vs TFPN: Correlation to the S&P 500
MeasureKMLMTFPNEdgeHow it is measured
Return
Total return+5.7%+18.9%TFPNPrice change plus distributions, reinvested.
Annualized+1.7%+5.4%TFPNTotal return as a yearly rate.
Price return−0.2%+16.7%TFPNPrice change alone, distributions left out.
Risk
Volatility11.2%10.7%TFPN (slight)Spread of weekly returns, annualized. Lower is steadier.
Downside deviation8.6%7.9%TFPN (slight)Like volatility, counting only weeks below the Treasury bill rate.
Max drawdown−22.1%−15.4%TFPNDeepest fall from a high to the low after it.
Risk-adjusted
Sharpe−0.200.12TFPNReturn above Treasury bills per unit of volatility.
Sortino−0.260.17TFPNReturn above Treasury bills per unit of downside deviation.
Calmar0.080.35TFPNAnnualized return divided by the max drawdown.

Computed by ETFIQ from Tiingo daily prices and ETFIQ's distribution records, 171 weekly returns. Cash rate: the 13-week Treasury bill.

Window by window

Window by window: KMLM vs TFPN: Correlation to the S&P 500
Total returnvs its benchmark
WindowKMLMTFPNKMLMTFPN
3 months+3.0%−3.4%not measured−3.3 pts vs VOO
6 months+0.6%−8.5%not measured−13.5 pts vs VOO
1 year+16.5%+14.2%not measured−0.6 pts vs VOO
3 years−0.7%+18.6%not measured−64.7 pts vs VOO
Since launchNot the same days: KMLM Dec 2020 · TFPN Jul 2023+49.0%+17.8%not measured−61.6 pts vs VOO

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Side by side

KMLM KraneShares Mount Lucas Managed Futures Index Strategy ETF · Managed futures fund: follows price trends in futures on stocks, bonds, currencies and commodities, and can bet on falls as well as rises TFPN Blueprint Chesapeake Multi-Asset Trend ETF · Managed futures fund: follows price trends in futures on stocks, bonds, currencies and commodities, and can bet on falls as well as rises
Issuer KraneShares Blueprint
Strategy Managed futures Managed futures
Correlation with the S&P 500 −0.12 +0.75
Beta to the S&P 500 −0.12 +1.00
Down-week capture −16.3% 123.6%
Average week when the S&P 500 fell +0.18% −1.32%
The S&P 500 in those weeks −1.07% −1.07%
Total return, same 52 weeks +16.6% +14.4%
Against T-bills, percentage points +12.9 pts +10.8 pts
Expense ratio 0.90% 1.13%
First traded Dec 2, 2020 Jul 12, 2023
Net assets, KMLM as of Nov 4, 2026 and TFPN as of Jun 30, 2026 $586m $170m

As of Nov 4, 2026. Source: ETFIQ.

One strategy, two funds

KMLM and TFPN both run a managed futures strategy. Over the same 52 weeks to Nov 4, 2026, KMLM’s weekly returns had a correlation of −0.12 with the S&P 500 and TFPN’s +0.75. In the 26 weeks the index fell, by 1.07% a week on average, KMLM averaged +0.18% and TFPN −1.32%. Over the same weeks, KMLM finished 12.9 percentage points ahead of cash and TFPN finished 10.8 points ahead of cash.

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About each fund
KMLM

KMLM is a managed futures fund. ETFIQ measures what every alternatives fund is sold on: whether it moves differently from the stock market. Over the year to Nov 4, 2026, its weekly returns had a correlation of −0.12 with the S&P 500’s and a beta of −0.12, so for each 1% the index moved it moved about 0.12% the other way. The S&P 500 fell in 26 of those 52 weeks, by 1.07% on average. In the same weeks KMLM rose 0.18% on average, a down-week capture of −16.3%. Over the same 52 weeks KMLM returned +16.6% and a Treasury bill fund +3.7%, so it finished 12.9 percentage points ahead of cash.

TFPN

TFPN is a managed futures fund. Over the year to Nov 4, 2026, its weekly returns had a correlation of +0.75 with the S&P 500’s and a beta of +1.00, so for each 1% the index moved it moved about 1.00% the same way. In the same weeks TFPN fell 1.32% on average, a down-week capture of 123.6%. Over the same 52 weeks TFPN returned +14.4% and a Treasury bill fund +3.7%, so it finished 10.8 percentage points ahead of cash.

Questions people ask

Which moved less with the S&P 500, KMLM or TFPN?
Over the 52 weeks to Nov 4, 2026, KMLM’s weekly returns had a correlation of −0.12 with the S&P 500 and TFPN’s +0.75, so KMLM moved less with the index.
Which did better when the S&P 500 fell, KMLM or TFPN?
In the 26 weeks the S&P 500 fell, by 1.07% a week on average, KMLM averaged +0.18% and TFPN −1.32%, so KMLM returned more in those weeks.
Which earned more than cash, KMLM or TFPN?
Over the same weeks, KMLM finished 12.9 percentage points ahead of cash and TFPN finished 10.8 percentage points ahead of cash. Cash here is BIL, a fund of Treasury bills.
Which is cheaper, KMLM or TFPN?
KMLM charges 0.90% a year and TFPN charges 1.13%, so KMLM is cheaper. Fees come from each fund's prospectus.
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ETFIQ, KMLM against TFPN, data as of Nov 4, 2026. https://etfiq.com/compare/alternatives/kmlm-vs-tfpn

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