Which came closer to its stated multiple, MSTP or SMST?

Over the window to Sep 30, 2026, MSTP finished 9.7 points from what its multiple implies and SMST finished 47.9 points from its own, so MSTP came closer. Neither figure predicts the next window: it depends on how much the underlying moves about.

Are MSTP and SMST levered on the same thing?

Yes. Both are levered on Strategy, MSTP at +2 times and SMST at -2 times the daily move.

Which one decays faster, MSTP or SMST?

Decay follows how much the underlying moves about. Over this window MSTP’s moved at 83% annualized and SMST’s at 83%, so MSTP has the rougher ride and, at the same multiple, loses more to compounding.

Can I hold MSTP or SMST for a year?

Both reset every day, so the multiple in the name applies to a single day and the daily results compound. Over a year the total is not the multiple times the year’s move, and in a market that falls and comes back it is reliably less. ETFIQ makes no recommendation either way.

Which is cheaper, MSTP or SMST?

MSTP charges 1.50% a year and SMST charges 1.38%, so SMST is cheaper. Fees come from each fund's prospectus.

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MSTP vs SMST: which held to its multiple?

Over three months against its own daily promise, MSTP finished 11.9 points short and SMST 0.8 points short. GraniteShares 2x Long MSTR Daily ETF and Defiance Daily Target 2X Short MSTR ETF.

+118.2%

MSTP returned, 3 months

−80.0%

SMST returned, 3 months

−9.7 pts

MSTP from its stated multiple

+47.9 pts

SMST from its stated multiple

MSTP · 3 months to Sep 30, 20269.7 pts short of its stated multiple

MSTP returned +118.2% while 2 times MSTR's move would have been +127.9%

SMST · 3 months to Sep 30, 202647.9 pts ahead of its stated multiple

SMST returned −80.0% while −2 times MSTR's move would have been −127.9%

ETFIQ Decay Resistance Score · SMST scores higherDid it keep up with its own daily multiple, compounded day by day?

MSTP among the 470 leveraged ETFs, long, over three months

MSTP 1.6

0.1, the lowest in this set99.9, the highest

SMST among the 125 inverse ETFs over three months

SMST 10

0.4, the lowest in this set99.6, the highest

A percentile among the 470 leveraged ETFs, long, over three months. SMST is a percentile among the 125 inverse ETFs over three months, a different set, so the two marks are not on one scale. It is a position in a set, not a rating, and neither end of it is a recommendation. All leveraged ETFs ranked by it → How it is computed →

Performance, window by window

	Total return		Multiple would give		Difference
Window	MSTP	SMST	MSTP	SMST	MSTP	SMST
1 month	+21.7%	−44.0%	+30.3%	−30.3%	−8.6 pts	−13.7 pts
3 months	+118.2%	−80.0%	+127.9%	−127.9%	−9.7 pts	+47.9 pts
6 months	+0.7%	−80.1%	+49.4%	−49.4%	−48.7 pts	−30.7 pts
1 year	−90.4%	−54.1%	−105.0%	+105.0%	+14.6 pts	−159.1 pts
Since launch MSTP Jun 2025 · SMST Aug 2024	−94.3%	−99.3%	−121.7%	−16.5%	+27.4 pts	−82.8 pts

MSTP and SMST over each window. Every figure is an ETFIQ calculation with distributions reinvested. Source: ETFIQ. Open the live comparison on ETFIQ →

On the same fields

MSTP

GraniteShares 2x Long MSTR Daily ETF · Aims to return twice the daily move of Strategy (MSTR)

SMST

Defiance Daily Target 2X Short MSTR ETF · Aims to return twice the opposite of the daily move of Strategy (MSTR)

Issuer GraniteShares Defiance

Sets out to return +2x -2x

Underlying asset MSTR MSTR

Segment company company

Fund returned, 3 months or since launch +118.2% −80.0%

Underlying returned, over that window +63.9% +63.9%

What the stated multiple implies, over that window +127.9% −127.9%

Difference from stated, over that window −9.7 pts +47.9 pts

Fund returned, 1 year or since launch −90.4% −54.1%

Difference from stated, over that window +14.6 pts −159.1 pts

Underlying volatility 83% 83%

Difference over the days both have traded −9.7 pts +47.9 pts

Expense ratio 1.50% 1.38%

Launched Jun 10, 2025 Aug 21, 2024

Net assets $16m $32m

MSTP and SMST on the same fields, as of Sep 30, 2026. Source: ETFIQ.

MSTP in plain words

Three months to Sep 30, 2026: MSTP returned +118.2% where its own daily promise gave +130.0%, 11.9 points short. Read the multiple against the whole window instead and 2 times MSTR's 63.9% implies +127.9%, which makes MSTP look 9.7 points short. 2.2 of that is daily compounding, which happens to any 2 times fund over the same path, and the rest is the fund. MSTP aims to return +2 times MSTR's move each day, then resets. Over one day it does that. Over longer, the daily results compound, so the total is not +2 times the period's move: in a market that falls and comes back it is reliably less, and in a steady run it can be more. MSTR moved at 83% annualized over that window. That is what decides how far the two figures separate: the same fund on a calm underlying and a violent one is a different product.

SMST in plain words

Three months to Sep 30, 2026: SMST returned −80.0% where its own daily promise gave −79.2%, 0.8 points short. Read the multiple against the whole window instead and −2 times MSTR's 63.9% implies −127.9%, which makes SMST look 47.9 points over. 48.7 of that is daily compounding, which happens to any −2 times fund over the same path, and the rest is the fund. SMST aims to return -2 times MSTR's move each day, then resets. Over longer, the daily results compound, so the total is not -2 times the period's move: in a market that falls and comes back it is reliably less, and in a steady run it can be more.

Questions people ask

Which came closer to its stated multiple, MSTP or SMST?: Over the window to Sep 30, 2026, MSTP finished 9.7 points from what its multiple implies and SMST finished 47.9 points from its own, so MSTP came closer. Neither figure predicts the next window: it depends on how much the underlying moves about.
Are MSTP and SMST levered on the same thing?: Yes. Both are levered on Strategy, MSTP at +2 times and SMST at -2 times the daily move.
Which one decays faster, MSTP or SMST?: Decay follows how much the underlying moves about. Over this window MSTP’s moved at 83% annualized and SMST’s at 83%, so MSTP has the rougher ride and, at the same multiple, loses more to compounding.
Can I hold MSTP or SMST for a year?: Both reset every day, so the multiple in the name applies to a single day and the daily results compound. Over a year the total is not the multiple times the year’s move, and in a market that falls and comes back it is reliably less. ETFIQ makes no recommendation either way.
Which is cheaper, MSTP or SMST?: MSTP charges 1.50% a year and SMST charges 1.38%, so SMST is cheaper. Fees come from each fund's prospectus.

Other comparisons

MSTP vs MSTU MSTP vs MSTX MSTP vs MSTZ MSTP vs MSTC SMST vs MSTU SMST vs MSTX SMST vs MSTZ SMST vs MSTC

MSTP on its own →SMST on its own →How every figure is computed →Standards and sources →

Where these figures came from

MSTP filings on SEC EDGAR ↗MSTP prospectus with the expense ratio (SEC) ↗GraniteShares page for MSTP ↗SMST filings on SEC EDGAR ↗SMST prospectus with the expense ratio (SEC) ↗Defiance page for SMST ↗

ETFIQ links to the documents behind every figure. It is not affiliated with any issuer, and a link is not an endorsement. A comparison is not a recommendation.

Cite this page

ETFIQ, MSTP against SMST, data as of Sep 30, 2026. https://etfiq.com/compare/leverage/mstp-vs-smst

Open data

Free to use with attribution. Every figure is calculated from a named public source; the method is at etfiq.com/methodology.