MSTP vs MSTX: which held to its multiple?
Over the days both have traded, MSTP finished 9.7 points from its stated multiple and MSTX 13.6. GraniteShares 2x Long MSTR Daily ETF and Defiance Daily Target 2X Long MSTR ETF.
MSTP returned +118.2% while 2 times MSTR's move would have been +127.9%
MSTX returned +114.3% while 2 times MSTR's move would have been +127.9%
A percentile among the 470 leveraged ETFs, long, over three months. It is a position in a set, not a rating, and neither end of it is a recommendation. All leveraged ETFs ranked by it → How it is computed →
Performance, window by window
| Total return | Multiple would give | Difference | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Window | MSTP | MSTX | MSTP | MSTX | MSTP | MSTX |
| 1 month | +21.7% | +21.3% | +30.3% | +30.3% | −8.6 pts | −9.0 pts |
| 3 months | +118.2% | +114.3% | +127.9% | +127.9% | −9.7 pts | −13.6 pts |
| 6 months | +0.7% | −3.0% | +49.4% | +49.4% | −48.7 pts | −52.4 pts |
| 1 year | −90.4% | −91.5% | −105.0% | −105.0% | +14.6 pts | +13.5 pts |
| Since launch MSTP Jun 2025 · MSTX Aug 2024 | −94.3% | −87.3% | −121.7% | +32.1% | +27.4 pts | −119.4 pts |
MSTP and MSTX over each window. Every figure is an ETFIQ calculation with distributions reinvested. Source: ETFIQ. Open the live comparison on ETFIQ →
On the same fields
MSTP and MSTX on the same fields, as of Sep 30, 2026. Source: ETFIQ.
MSTP in plain words
Three months to Sep 30, 2026: MSTP returned +118.2% where its own daily promise gave +130.0%, 11.9 points short. Read the multiple against the whole window instead and 2 times MSTR's 63.9% implies +127.9%, which makes MSTP look 9.7 points short. 2.2 of that is daily compounding, which happens to any 2 times fund over the same path, and the rest is the fund. MSTP aims to return +2 times MSTR's move each day, then resets. Over one day it does that. Over longer, the daily results compound, so the total is not +2 times the period's move: in a market that falls and comes back it is reliably less, and in a steady run it can be more. MSTR moved at 83% annualized over that window. That is what decides how far the two figures separate: the same fund on a calm underlying and a violent one is a different product.
MSTX in plain words
Three months to Sep 30, 2026: MSTX returned +114.3% where its own daily promise gave +130.0%, 15.7 points short. Read the multiple against the whole window instead and 2 times MSTR's 63.9% implies +127.9%, which makes MSTX look 13.6 points short. MSTX aims to return +2 times MSTR's move each day, then resets.
Questions people ask
- Which came closer to its stated multiple, MSTP or MSTX?
- Over the window to Sep 30, 2026, MSTP finished 9.7 points from what its multiple implies and MSTX finished 13.6 points from its own, so MSTP came closer. Neither figure predicts the next window: it depends on how much the underlying moves about.
- Are MSTP and MSTX levered on the same thing?
- Yes. Both are levered on Strategy, MSTP at +2 times and MSTX at +2 times the daily move.
- Which one decays faster, MSTP or MSTX?
- Decay follows how much the underlying moves about. Over this window MSTP’s moved at 83% annualized and MSTX’s at 83%, so MSTP has the rougher ride and, at the same multiple, loses more to compounding.
- Can I hold MSTP or MSTX for a year?
- Both reset every day, so the multiple in the name applies to a single day and the daily results compound. Over a year the total is not the multiple times the year’s move, and in a market that falls and comes back it is reliably less. ETFIQ makes no recommendation either way.
ETFIQ links to the documents behind every figure. It is not affiliated with any issuer, and a link is not an endorsement. A comparison is not a recommendation.
ETFIQ, MSTP against MSTX, data as of Sep 30, 2026. https://etfiq.com/compare/leverage/mstp-vs-mstx
Free to use with attribution. Every figure is calculated from a named public source; the method is at etfiq.com/methodology.
Cite this page. ETFIQ, MSTP against MSTX, data as of Sep 30, 2026. https://etfiq.com/compare/leverage/mstp-vs-mstx Free to use with attribution; the underlying files are at Open data.
Other forms
- Plain
- ETFIQ, MSTP against MSTX, data as of Sep 30, 2026. https://etfiq.com/compare/leverage/mstp-vs-mstx
- APA
- ETFIQ. (Sep 30, 2026). MSTP against MSTX. Retrieved from https://etfiq.com/compare/leverage/mstp-vs-mstx
- Markdown
- [MSTP against MSTX (ETFIQ, Sep 30, 2026)](https://etfiq.com/compare/leverage/mstp-vs-mstx)