MSTC vs SMST: which held to its multiple?

Over three months against its own daily promise, MSTC finished 8.9 points short and SMST 0.8 points short. Corgi MSTR 2x Daily ETF and Defiance Daily Target 2X Short MSTR ETF.

+121.2%
MSTC returned, 3 months
−80.0%
SMST returned, 3 months
−6.7 pts
MSTC from its stated multiple
+47.9 pts
SMST from its stated multiple
MSTC · 3 months to Sep 30, 20266.7 pts short of its stated multiple
6.7 pts short of its stated multipleMSTC returned +121.2% while 2 times MSTR's move would have been +127.9%MSTR +63.9% ×2 implies+127.9%MSTC returned+121.2%6.7 pts short of its stated multipleMSTC returned +121.2% while 2 times MSTR's move would have been +127.9%MSTR +63.9% ×2 implies+127.9%MSTC returned+121.2%

MSTC returned +121.2% while 2 times MSTR's move would have been +127.9%

SMST · 3 months to Sep 30, 202647.9 pts ahead of its stated multiple
47.9 pts ahead of its stated multipleSMST returned −80.0% while −2 times MSTR's move would have been −127.9%MSTR +63.9% ×−2 implies−127.9%SMST returned−80.0%47.9 pts ahead of its stated multipleSMST returned −80.0% while −2 times MSTR's move would have been −127.9%MSTR +63.9% ×−2 implies−127.9%SMST returned−80.0%

SMST returned −80.0% while −2 times MSTR's move would have been −127.9%

ETFIQ Decay Resistance Score · SMST scores higherDid it keep up with its own daily multiple, compounded day by day?

MSTC among the 470 leveraged ETFs, long, over three months

MSTC 3.1
0.1, the lowest in this set99.9, the highest

SMST among the 125 inverse ETFs over three months

SMST 10
0.4, the lowest in this set99.6, the highest

A percentile among the 470 leveraged ETFs, long, over three months. SMST is a percentile among the 125 inverse ETFs over three months, a different set, so the two marks are not on one scale. It is a position in a set, not a rating, and neither end of it is a recommendation. All leveraged ETFs ranked by it → How it is computed →

Performance, window by window

Total returnMultiple would giveDifference
WindowMSTCSMSTMSTCSMSTMSTCSMST
1 month+22.5%−44.0%+30.3%−30.3%−7.8 pts−13.7 pts
3 months+121.2%−80.0%+127.9%−127.9%−6.7 pts+47.9 pts
6 monthsnot published−80.1%not published−49.4%not published−30.7 pts
1 yearnot published−54.1%not published+105.0%not published−159.1 pts
Since launch
MSTC Jun 2026 · SMST Aug 2024
+155.3%−99.3%+152.2%−16.5%+3.1 pts−82.8 pts

MSTC and SMST over each window. Every figure is an ETFIQ calculation with distributions reinvested. Source: ETFIQ. Open the live comparison on ETFIQ →

On the same fields

MSTC
Corgi MSTR 2x Daily ETF · Aims to return twice the daily move of Strategy (MSTR)
SMST
Defiance Daily Target 2X Short MSTR ETF · Aims to return twice the opposite of the daily move of Strategy (MSTR)
Issuer Corgi Defiance
Sets out to return +2x -2x
Underlying asset MSTR MSTR
Segment company company
Fund returned, 3 months or since launch +121.2% −80.0%
Underlying returned, over that window +63.9% +63.9%
What the stated multiple implies, over that window +127.9% −127.9%
Difference from stated, over that window −6.7 pts +47.9 pts
Fund returned, 1 year or since launch +155.3% −54.1%
Difference from stated, over that window +3.1 pts −159.1 pts
Underlying volatility 83% 83%
Difference over the days both have traded −6.7 pts +47.9 pts
Expense ratio 0.45% 1.38%
Launched Jun 30, 2026 Aug 21, 2024
Net assets $1m $32m

MSTC and SMST on the same fields, as of Sep 30, 2026. Source: ETFIQ.

MSTC in plain words

Three months to Sep 30, 2026: MSTC returned +121.2% where its own daily promise gave +130.0%, 8.9 points short. Read the multiple against the whole window instead and 2 times MSTR's 63.9% implies +127.9%, which makes MSTC look 6.7 points short. 2.2 of that is daily compounding, which happens to any 2 times fund over the same path, and the rest is the fund. MSTC aims to return +2 times MSTR's move each day, then resets. Over one day it does that. Over longer, the daily results compound, so the total is not +2 times the period's move: in a market that falls and comes back it is reliably less, and in a steady run it can be more. MSTR moved at 83% annualized over that window. That is what decides how far the two figures separate: the same fund on a calm underlying and a violent one is a different product.

SMST in plain words

Three months to Sep 30, 2026: SMST returned −80.0% where its own daily promise gave −79.2%, 0.8 points short. Read the multiple against the whole window instead and −2 times MSTR's 63.9% implies −127.9%, which makes SMST look 47.9 points over. 48.7 of that is daily compounding, which happens to any −2 times fund over the same path, and the rest is the fund. SMST aims to return -2 times MSTR's move each day, then resets. Over longer, the daily results compound, so the total is not -2 times the period's move: in a market that falls and comes back it is reliably less, and in a steady run it can be more.

Questions people ask

Which came closer to its stated multiple, MSTC or SMST?
Over the window to Sep 30, 2026, MSTC finished 6.7 points from what its multiple implies and SMST finished 47.9 points from its own, so MSTC came closer. Neither figure predicts the next window: it depends on how much the underlying moves about.
Are MSTC and SMST levered on the same thing?
Yes. Both are levered on Strategy, MSTC at +2 times and SMST at -2 times the daily move.
Which one decays faster, MSTC or SMST?
Decay follows how much the underlying moves about. Over this window MSTC’s moved at 83% annualized and SMST’s at 83%, so MSTC has the rougher ride and, at the same multiple, loses more to compounding.
Can I hold MSTC or SMST for a year?
Both reset every day, so the multiple in the name applies to a single day and the daily results compound. Over a year the total is not the multiple times the year’s move, and in a market that falls and comes back it is reliably less. ETFIQ makes no recommendation either way.
Which is cheaper, MSTC or SMST?
MSTC charges 0.45% a year and SMST charges 1.38%, so MSTC is cheaper. Fees come from each fund's prospectus.
Cite this page

ETFIQ, MSTC against SMST, data as of Sep 30, 2026. https://etfiq.com/compare/leverage/mstc-vs-smst

Open data

Free to use with attribution. Every figure is calculated from a named public source; the method is at etfiq.com/methodology.