Data as of Nov 4, 2026.

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Alternative ETFs

AHLT vs MFUT: Correlation to the S&P 500

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Over the year to Nov 4, 2026, AHLT moved less with the S&P 500 than MFUT: correlation +0.47 against +0.54.

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Net assets: $131m on Jul 31, 2026 for AHL Trend ETF, and $39m on Jun 30, 2026 for Cambria Chesapeake Pure Trend ETF.

At a glance
+0.47
AHLT correlation with the S&P 500
+0.54
MFUT correlation with the S&P 500
81.7%
AHLT down-week capture
89.9%
MFUT down-week capture
AHLT Fell 82% as much as the S&P 500
Fell 82% as much as the S&P 500AHLT in the 26 weeks SPY fell, year to Nov 4, 2026: SPY averaged −1.07%, AHLT −0.88%.SPY−1.07%AHLT−0.88%Average week when SPY fell: 26 of 52, year to Nov 4, 2026Fell 82% as much as the S&P 500AHLT in the 26 weeks SPY fell, year to Nov 4, 2026: SPY averaged −1.07%, AHLT −0.88%.SPY−1.07%AHLT−0.88%Average week when SPY fell

AHLT in the 26 weeks SPY fell, year to Nov 4, 2026: SPY averaged −1.07%, AHLT −0.88%.

MFUT Fell 90% as much as the S&P 500
Fell 90% as much as the S&P 500MFUT in the 26 weeks SPY fell, year to Nov 4, 2026: SPY averaged −1.07%, MFUT −0.96%.SPY−1.07%MFUT−0.96%Average week when SPY fell: 26 of 52, year to Nov 4, 2026Fell 90% as much as the S&P 500MFUT in the 26 weeks SPY fell, year to Nov 4, 2026: SPY averaged −1.07%, MFUT −0.96%.SPY−1.07%MFUT−0.96%Average week when SPY fell

MFUT in the 26 weeks SPY fell, year to Nov 4, 2026: SPY averaged −1.07%, MFUT −0.96%.

Pair scorecard

MFUT costs 0.07 points a year less; their one-year returns differ by 3.5 points.

AHLT vs MFUT: Correlation to the S&P 500
MeasureAHLTMFUT
Return
Total return, 1 year+19.3%+22.8%
Against its benchmark
Treasury bills, 52 weeks+3.7%
Cost and size
Expense ratio0.96%0.89%
Net assets, AHLT as of Jul 31, 2026 and MFUT as of Jun 30, 2026$131m$39m
Holdings
Holdings in commonnot published
Risk
Beta to the S&P 500+0.58: about 0.58% for each 1%+0.74: about 0.74% for each 1%
Its average week when the S&P 500 fellfell 0.88%fell 0.96%
ETFIQ Stock Diversification Score · AHLT scores higher How much does it diversify a stock portfolio?
IQ Alternatives Score41.2AHLT29.4MFUT

How much it diversifies a stock portfolio, ranked against 17 systematic trend alternatives ETFs with a full year. 100 is best. How it is computed

2.9, the lowest in this set 94.2, the highest

One year of weekly moves against the S&P 500, within one strategy; it ignores what the fund returned. All alternatives ETFs ranked by it →

Method

Risk and return

Jun 7, 2024 to Oct 30, 2026 · 125 weekly returns
AHLT MFUT
Return
Total return edge AHLT +20.7% −0.6%
Annualized edge AHLT +8.2% −0.3%
Price return edge AHLT +18.7% −1.0%
Risk
Volatility edge MFUT 14.9% 11.7%
Max drawdown edge AHLT −18.1% −27.6%
Risk-adjusted
Sharpe edge AHLT 0.32 −0.33
Sortino edge AHLT 0.43 −0.42
Calmar edge AHLT 0.45 −0.01
Reading

From Jun 2024 to Oct 2026, AHLT returned more: +20.7% to −0.6%. MFUT swung less: 11.7% to 14.9%. AHLT fell less at its worst: −18.1% to −27.6%.

Full scorecard

9 measures, with how each is measured
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Risk and return: AHLT vs MFUT: Correlation to the S&P 500
MeasureAHLTMFUTEdgeHow it is measured
Return
Total return+20.7%−0.6%AHLTPrice change plus distributions, reinvested.
Annualized+8.2%−0.3%AHLTTotal return as a yearly rate.
Price return+18.7%−1.0%AHLTPrice change alone, distributions left out.
Risk
Volatility14.9%11.7%MFUTSpread of weekly returns, annualized. Lower is steadier.
Downside deviation11.1%8.9%MFUTLike volatility, counting only weeks below the Treasury bill rate.
Max drawdown−18.1%−27.6%AHLTDeepest fall from a high to the low after it.
Risk-adjusted
Sharpe0.32−0.33AHLTReturn above Treasury bills per unit of volatility.
Sortino0.43−0.42AHLTReturn above Treasury bills per unit of downside deviation.
Calmar0.45−0.01AHLTAnnualized return divided by the max drawdown.

Computed by ETFIQ from Tiingo daily prices and ETFIQ's distribution records, 125 weekly returns. Cash rate: the 13-week Treasury bill.

Window by window

Window by window: AHLT vs MFUT: Correlation to the S&P 500
Total return
WindowAHLTMFUT
3 months+2.3%−2.0%
6 months+0.3%−1.4%
1 year+19.3%+22.8%
3 years+22.1%–
Since launchNot the same days: AHLT Aug 2023 · MFUT May 2024+22.2%−5.4%

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Side by side

AHLT AHL Trend ETF · Managed futures fund: follows price trends in futures on stocks, bonds, currencies and commodities, and can bet on falls as well as rises MFUT Cambria Chesapeake Pure Trend ETF · Managed futures fund: follows price trends in futures on stocks, bonds, currencies and commodities, and can bet on falls as well as rises
Strategy Managed futures Managed futures
Correlation with the S&P 500 +0.47 +0.54
Beta to the S&P 500 +0.58 +0.74
Down-week capture 81.7% 89.9%
Average week when the S&P 500 fell −0.88% −0.96%
The S&P 500 in those weeks −1.07% −1.07%
Total return, same 52 weeks +18.3% +22.8%
Against T-bills, percentage points +14.7 pts +19.1 pts
Expense ratio 0.96% 0.89%
First traded Aug 31, 2023 May 29, 2024
Net assets, AHLT as of Jul 31, 2026 and MFUT as of Jun 30, 2026 $131m $39m

As of Nov 4, 2026. Source: ETFIQ.

One strategy, two funds

AHLT and MFUT both run a managed futures strategy. Over the same 52 weeks to Nov 4, 2026, AHLT’s weekly returns had a correlation of +0.47 with the S&P 500 and MFUT’s +0.54. In the 26 weeks the index fell, by 1.07% a week on average, AHLT averaged −0.88% and MFUT −0.96%. Over the same weeks, AHLT finished 14.7 percentage points ahead of cash and MFUT finished 19.1 points ahead of cash.

Client brief:

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About each fund
AHLT

AHLT is a managed futures fund. ETFIQ measures what every alternatives fund is sold on: whether it moves differently from the stock market. Over the year to Nov 4, 2026, its weekly returns had a correlation of +0.47 with the S&P 500’s and a beta of +0.58, so for each 1% the index moved it moved about 0.58% the same way. The S&P 500 fell in 26 of those 52 weeks, by 1.07% on average. In the same weeks AHLT fell 0.88% on average, a down-week capture of 81.7%. Over the same 52 weeks AHLT returned +18.3% and a Treasury bill fund +3.7%, so it finished 14.7 percentage points ahead of cash.

MFUT

MFUT is a managed futures fund. Over the year to Nov 4, 2026, its weekly returns had a correlation of +0.54 with the S&P 500’s and a beta of +0.74, so for each 1% the index moved it moved about 0.74% the same way. In the same weeks MFUT fell 0.96% on average, a down-week capture of 89.9%. Over the same 52 weeks MFUT returned +22.8% and a Treasury bill fund +3.7%, so it finished 19.1 percentage points ahead of cash.

Questions people ask

Which moved less with the S&P 500, AHLT or MFUT?
Over the 52 weeks to Nov 4, 2026, AHLT’s weekly returns had a correlation of +0.47 with the S&P 500 and MFUT’s +0.54, so AHLT moved less with the index.
Which did better when the S&P 500 fell, AHLT or MFUT?
In the 26 weeks the S&P 500 fell, by 1.07% a week on average, AHLT averaged −0.88% and MFUT −0.96%, so AHLT returned more in those weeks.
Which earned more than cash, AHLT or MFUT?
Over the same weeks, AHLT finished 14.7 percentage points ahead of cash and MFUT finished 19.1 percentage points ahead of cash. Cash here is BIL, a fund of Treasury bills.
Which is cheaper, AHLT or MFUT?
AHLT charges 0.96% a year and MFUT charges 0.89%, so MFUT is cheaper. Fees come from each fund's prospectus.
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ETFIQ, AHLT against MFUT, data as of Nov 4, 2026. https://etfiq.com/compare/alternatives/ahlt-vs-mfut

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