Data as of Nov 4, 2026.

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Alternative ETFs

MFUT vs TFPN: Correlation to the S&P 500

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Over the year to Nov 4, 2026, MFUT moved less with the S&P 500 than TFPN: correlation +0.54 against +0.75.

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Net assets on Jun 30, 2026: $39m for Cambria Chesapeake Pure Trend ETF and $170m for Blueprint Chesapeake Multi-Asset Trend ETF.

At a glance
+0.54
MFUT correlation with the S&P 500
+0.75
TFPN correlation with the S&P 500
89.9%
MFUT down-week capture
123.6%
TFPN down-week capture
MFUT Fell 90% as much as the S&P 500
Fell 90% as much as the S&P 500MFUT in the 26 weeks SPY fell, year to Nov 4, 2026: SPY averaged −1.07%, MFUT −0.96%.SPY−1.07%MFUT−0.96%Average week when SPY fell: 26 of 52, year to Nov 4, 2026Fell 90% as much as the S&P 500MFUT in the 26 weeks SPY fell, year to Nov 4, 2026: SPY averaged −1.07%, MFUT −0.96%.SPY−1.07%MFUT−0.96%Average week when SPY fell

MFUT in the 26 weeks SPY fell, year to Nov 4, 2026: SPY averaged −1.07%, MFUT −0.96%.

TFPN Fell more than the S&P 500
Fell more than the S&P 500TFPN in the 26 weeks SPY fell, year to Nov 4, 2026: SPY averaged −1.07%, TFPN −1.32%.SPY−1.07%TFPN−1.32%Average week when SPY fell: 26 of 52, year to Nov 4, 2026Fell more than the S&P 500TFPN in the 26 weeks SPY fell, year to Nov 4, 2026: SPY averaged −1.07%, TFPN −1.32%.SPY−1.07%TFPN−1.32%Average week when SPY fell

TFPN in the 26 weeks SPY fell, year to Nov 4, 2026: SPY averaged −1.07%, TFPN −1.32%.

Pair scorecard

MFUT costs 0.24 points a year less; their one-year returns differ by 8.6 points; TFPN is 4.4 times larger.

MFUT vs TFPN: Correlation to the S&P 500
MeasureMFUTTFPN
Return
Total return, 1 year+22.8%+14.2%
Against its benchmark
Treasury bills, 52 weeks+3.7%
Cost and size
Expense ratio0.89%1.13%
Net assets, as of Jun 30, 2026$39m$170m
Holdings
Holdings in commonnot published
Risk
Beta to the S&P 500+0.74: about 0.74% for each 1%+1.00: about 1.00% for each 1%
Its average week when the S&P 500 fellfell 0.96%fell 1.32%
ETFIQ Stock Diversification Score · MFUT scores higher How much does it diversify a stock portfolio?
IQ Alternatives Score29.4MFUT11.8TFPN

How much it diversifies a stock portfolio, ranked against 17 systematic trend alternatives ETFs with a full year. 100 is best. How it is computed

2.9, the lowest in this set 94.2, the highest

One year of weekly moves against the S&P 500, within one strategy; it ignores what the fund returned. All alternatives ETFs ranked by it →

Method

Risk and return

Jun 7, 2024 to Oct 30, 2026 · 125 weekly returns
MFUT TFPN
Return
Total return edge TFPN −0.6% +17.0%
Annualized edge TFPN −0.3% +6.8%
Price return edge TFPN −1.0% +16.0%
Risk
Volatility edge Tie 11.7% 11.8%
Max drawdown edge TFPN −27.6% −15.2%
Risk-adjusted
Sharpe edge TFPN −0.33 0.26
Sortino edge TFPN −0.42 0.35
Calmar edge TFPN −0.01 0.44
Reading

From Jun 2024 to Oct 2026, TFPN returned more: +17.0% to −0.6%. MFUT and TFPN swung about the same: 11.7% and 11.8%. TFPN fell less at its worst: −15.2% to −27.6%.

Full scorecard

9 measures, with how each is measured
Open ↓
Risk and return: MFUT vs TFPN: Correlation to the S&P 500
MeasureMFUTTFPNEdgeHow it is measured
Return
Total return−0.6%+17.0%TFPNPrice change plus distributions, reinvested.
Annualized−0.3%+6.8%TFPNTotal return as a yearly rate.
Price return−1.0%+16.0%TFPNPrice change alone, distributions left out.
Risk
Volatility11.7%11.8%TieSpread of weekly returns, annualized. Lower is steadier.
Downside deviation8.9%8.7%TFPN (slight)Like volatility, counting only weeks below the Treasury bill rate.
Max drawdown−27.6%−15.2%TFPNDeepest fall from a high to the low after it.
Risk-adjusted
Sharpe−0.330.26TFPNReturn above Treasury bills per unit of volatility.
Sortino−0.420.35TFPNReturn above Treasury bills per unit of downside deviation.
Calmar−0.010.44TFPNAnnualized return divided by the max drawdown.

Computed by ETFIQ from Tiingo daily prices and ETFIQ's distribution records, 125 weekly returns. Cash rate: the 13-week Treasury bill.

Window by window

Window by window: MFUT vs TFPN: Correlation to the S&P 500
Total returnvs its benchmark
WindowMFUTTFPNMFUTTFPN
3 months−2.0%−3.4%not measured−3.3 pts vs VOO
6 months−1.4%−8.5%not measured−13.5 pts vs VOO
1 year+22.8%+14.2%not measured−0.6 pts vs VOO
3 years–+18.6%–−64.7 pts vs VOO
Since launchNot the same days: MFUT May 2024 · TFPN Jul 2023−5.4%+17.8%not measured−61.6 pts vs VOO

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Side by side

MFUT Cambria Chesapeake Pure Trend ETF · Managed futures fund: follows price trends in futures on stocks, bonds, currencies and commodities, and can bet on falls as well as rises TFPN Blueprint Chesapeake Multi-Asset Trend ETF · Managed futures fund: follows price trends in futures on stocks, bonds, currencies and commodities, and can bet on falls as well as rises
Issuer Cambria Blueprint
Strategy Managed futures Managed futures
Correlation with the S&P 500 +0.54 +0.75
Beta to the S&P 500 +0.74 +1.00
Down-week capture 89.9% 123.6%
Average week when the S&P 500 fell −0.96% −1.32%
The S&P 500 in those weeks −1.07% −1.07%
Total return, same 52 weeks +22.8% +14.4%
Against T-bills, percentage points +19.1 pts +10.8 pts
Expense ratio 0.89% 1.13%
First traded May 29, 2024 Jul 12, 2023
Net assets, as of Jun 30, 2026 $39m $170m

As of Nov 4, 2026. Source: ETFIQ.

One strategy, two funds

MFUT and TFPN both run a managed futures strategy. Over the same 52 weeks to Nov 4, 2026, MFUT’s weekly returns had a correlation of +0.54 with the S&P 500 and TFPN’s +0.75. In the 26 weeks the index fell, by 1.07% a week on average, MFUT averaged −0.96% and TFPN −1.32%. Over the same weeks, MFUT finished 19.1 percentage points ahead of cash and TFPN finished 10.8 points ahead of cash.

Client brief:

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About each fund
MFUT

MFUT is a managed futures fund. ETFIQ measures what every alternatives fund is sold on: whether it moves differently from the stock market. Over the year to Nov 4, 2026, its weekly returns had a correlation of +0.54 with the S&P 500’s and a beta of +0.74, so for each 1% the index moved it moved about 0.74% the same way. The S&P 500 fell in 26 of those 52 weeks, by 1.07% on average. In the same weeks MFUT fell 0.96% on average, a down-week capture of 89.9%. Over the same 52 weeks MFUT returned +22.8% and a Treasury bill fund +3.7%, so it finished 19.1 percentage points ahead of cash.

TFPN

TFPN is a managed futures fund. Over the year to Nov 4, 2026, its weekly returns had a correlation of +0.75 with the S&P 500’s and a beta of +1.00, so for each 1% the index moved it moved about 1.00% the same way. In the same weeks TFPN fell 1.32% on average, a down-week capture of 123.6%. Over the same 52 weeks TFPN returned +14.4% and a Treasury bill fund +3.7%, so it finished 10.8 percentage points ahead of cash.

Questions people ask

Which moved less with the S&P 500, MFUT or TFPN?
Over the 52 weeks to Nov 4, 2026, MFUT’s weekly returns had a correlation of +0.54 with the S&P 500 and TFPN’s +0.75, so MFUT moved less with the index.
Which did better when the S&P 500 fell, MFUT or TFPN?
In the 26 weeks the S&P 500 fell, by 1.07% a week on average, MFUT averaged −0.96% and TFPN −1.32%, so MFUT returned more in those weeks.
Which earned more than cash, MFUT or TFPN?
Over the same weeks, MFUT finished 19.1 percentage points ahead of cash and TFPN finished 10.8 percentage points ahead of cash. Cash here is BIL, a fund of Treasury bills.
Which is cheaper, MFUT or TFPN?
MFUT charges 0.89% a year and TFPN charges 1.13%, so MFUT is cheaper. Fees come from each fund's prospectus.
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ETFIQ, MFUT against TFPN, data as of Nov 4, 2026. https://etfiq.com/compare/alternatives/mfut-vs-tfpn

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