Bitcoin Will Not Surpass $100K in 2026: ETFs filed

As of Nov 12, 2026, one fund has been filed on this outcome, and it does not trade. Each holds event contracts that pay $1.00 if the 2026 Bitcoin $100,000 Threshold is not reached, and $0.00 if not, so a holder on the wrong side ends with close to nothing. The filings are not final yet. The earliest of these filings can go effective on Dec 6, 2026, the date Bitwise has asked for after a delay it filed. An issuer can push that date back, and going effective is not the same as starting to trade.

Bitcoin and Ethereum price prediction ETFs

The answerOne drawing that carries it.

How a binary fund pays

Right side: $1.00Wrong side: $0

What each side is worth at settlement, a contract.

How a binary prediction market fund pays, as the filings state it; Data as of Nov 4, 2026.

The evidenceWhy, in charts and cards.

Bitcoin Will Not Surpass $100K in 2026: ETFs filed, as of Nov 4, 2026

Open the table


Bitwise	PredictionShares Bitcoin Will Not Surpass $100K in 2026	not assigned	the 2026 Bitcoin $100,000 Threshold is not reached	May 1, 2026

Bitcoin Will Not Surpass $100K in 2026: ETFs filed, as of Nov 4, 2026. Source: ETFIQ.

Trading

Every name, date and number here is read from the registration statements above. A value a filing leaves blank is shown as blank.

Links are sources, not endorsements.

ETFIQ is an independent publisher and makes no recommendations. Standards and sources

None of these funds trades, so there are no prices, fees or returns.

Read from these filings

Bitwise Funds Trust, form 485APOS, filed May 1, 2026 0001213900-26-051014

1 question

Both sides of each question

Open the table


Whether the 2026 Bitcoin $100,000 Threshold is reached	Yes · 1 fund: PredictionShares Bitcoin Will Surpass $100K in 2026	No · 1 fund: PredictionShares Bitcoin Will Not Surpass $100K in 2026	Bitwise	Filed May 1, 2026

Questions people ask

Is there an ETF for bitcoin will not surpass $100k in 2026?

Not yet. One fund has been filed on it, by 1 issuer, and none of them trades.

How would it pay?

It holds event contracts that settle at $1.00 if the 2026 Bitcoin $100,000 Threshold is not reached, and at $0.00 if that does not happen. A holder on the wrong side ends with close to nothing.

When could these funds launch?

No launch date has been announced. As of Nov 12, 2026 the filing asks to take effect on Dec 6, 2026. Issuers often push that date back, and going effective is not the same as starting to trade.

Is there a fund for the other side?

Yes. Bitcoin Will Surpass $100K in 2026 is the same question the other way round, and it has its own filings.

Sources

SEC EDGAR, full-text search of fund filings SEC Form N-PORT, what a fund filed it holds Rule 19a-1, what a distribution notice must say

More on ETFIQ

Get an email when one lists Open data License Bitwise askIQ about these filings Standards and sources All 39 funds All prediction market filings 39 filed All prediction market filings 39 filed

Counts on this page

1 funds filed

1 funds on the other side

1 issuers

Prediction market ETFs · 39 filed · 0 trading

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ETFIQ, Bitcoin Will Not Surpass $100K in 2026: ETFs filed, data as of Nov 4, 2026. https://etfiq.com/prediction-markets/bitcoin-will-not-surpass-100k-in-2026/

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