How a prediction market ETF pays

An event contract pays $1.00 if a stated event happens and $0.00 if it does not. Its price in between is the market's chance of the event. A fund holding one side ends at one of two prices, and filings warn it may lose substantially all its value. Issuers differ on whether a fund tracks one event or many, and on how much each says about how it holds them.

All prediction market filings

The answerOne drawing that carries it.

How a binary fund pays

Right side: $1.00Wrong side: $0

What each side is worth at settlement, a contract.

How a binary prediction market fund pays, as the filings state it; Data as of Nov 4, 2026.

The evidenceWhy, in charts and cards.

How a prediction market ETF pays, as of Nov 4, 2026

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Bitwise	one event per fund	16	CFTC-regulated designated contract market	Cayman Islands	yes
Direxion	a portfolio of contracts	4	designated contract market	Cayman Islands	not stated
GraniteShares	one event per fund	7	CFTC-regulated designated contract market	Cayman Islands	yes
Hedgeye	a portfolio of contracts	2	not stated	not stated	yes
Roundhill	one event per fund	10	CFTC-regulated designated contract market	Cayman Islands	yes

How a prediction market ETF pays, as of Nov 4, 2026. Source: ETFIQ.

Trading

Every name, date and number here is read from the registration statements above. A value a filing leaves blank is shown as blank.

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ETFIQ is an independent publisher and makes no recommendations. Standards and sources

None of these funds trades, so there are no prices, fees or returns.

Read from these filings

Sources

SEC EDGAR, full-text search of fund filings SEC Form N-PORT, what a fund filed it holds Rule 19a-1, what a distribution notice must say

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Get an email when one lists Open data License Bitwise Direxion GraniteShares Hedgeye Roundhill askIQ about these filings How a binary fund pays, in full → Standards and sources All 39 funds All prediction market filings 39 filed All prediction market filings 39 filed

Counts on this page

39 funds filed

5 issuers

Prediction market ETFs · 39 filed · 0 trading

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