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What alternatives ETFs did when stocks fell

Of the 66 alternatives ETFs ETFIQ measured over the year to Oct 22, 2026, 13 rose on average in the weeks the S&P 500 fell, and the median fund fell 45% as much as the index. These funds are sold on behaving differently from stocks, and this is that promise measured.

The S&P 500 fell in 20 of the 52 weeks, by 1.45% in its average down week. Down-week capture is a fund's own average in those weeks as a share of that, so below zero means it rose. Holding up is not the same as earning. 48 of the 66 finished ahead of T-bills over the same weeks, and 4 of the 13 that rose also did that. The strategies are not alike. The median hedged equity fund had a correlation of +0.89 with the S&P 500 and the median managed futures fund +0.43, so the table by strategy comes first.

Rose when the S&P 500 fell, by strategy

13 of 66 alternatives ETFs rose on average in the weeks the S&P 500 fell, over the year to Oct 22, 2026.

ETFIQ Narrative

ETFIQ measured 66 alternatives ETFs over the year to October 22, 2026. The S&P 500 fell in 20 of the 52 weeks, losing an average of 1.45% in those weeks. Across the full group, 13 funds rose on average during those same weeks, and the median fund's decline came to 45% of the index's, a number the data calls down-week capture. A reading below zero means a fund rose while the index fell.

The strategies behave differently enough that looking at the whole group first would hide more than it shows. Volatility funds, as a group, moved opposite the S&P 500 most often: five of the nine had a negative median correlation of −0.64, and the group's median down-week capture was −65.7%, meaning the typical volatility fund gained more than half again what the index lost. Two of the two market-neutral funds also rose, with a median correlation of −0.32 and a median down-week capture of −63.6%. At the other end, hedged equity funds carried a median correlation of +0.89 with the S&P 500, moving largely in step with it, and their median down-week capture was 58.2%. The 20 managed futures funds sat in between, with a median correlation of +0.43 and median down-week capture of 47.4%, and three of eight long-short equity funds and none of six multi-strategy funds rose in the index's down weeks.

Among individual funds, the three VIX short-term and mid-term futures ETFs, UVXY, VIXY and VXX, rose the most in the index's down weeks, with average weekly moves of +5.15%, +3.56% and +3.50% against the S&P 500's own −1.45% average, producing down-week capture numbers of −356.5%, −246.2% and −241.8%. BTAL, a market-neutral fund, averaged +1.64% in those weeks. At the other extreme, RSST, a managed futures fund, averaged −2.40% in the index's down weeks, a down-week capture of 166.4%, meaning it fell more than the index did on those weeks.

Rising in down weeks is not the same as outrunning cash. Of the 66 funds, 48 finished ahead of T-bills over the same 52 weeks, but among the 13 funds that rose when the index fell, only 4 also beat T-bills. UVXY and VIXY, for example, each rose sharply in down weeks yet trailed T-bills by 68.4 and 49.4 percentage points over the full year, while KMLM, a managed futures fund with a smaller down-week capture of −19.2%, finished 15.6 points ahead of T-bills. The pattern repeats across strategies: 14 of 20 hedged equity funds and 15 of 17 managed futures funds beat T-bills despite most of them rising alongside the index, not against it, while only 4 of 9 volatility funds and 1 of 2 market-neutral funds did, despite being the groups most likely to rise when stocks fell.

Readers can look up any fund's correlation, down-week capture and performance against T-bills, by strategy, on ETFIQ's fund pages.

Ahead of T-bills, by strategy

48 of 66 alternatives ETFs finished ahead of T-bills over the year to Oct 22, 2026.

By strategy, most funds first

By strategy, most funds first
StrategyFundsRose when it fellMedian correlationMedian down-week captureAhead of T-bills
Hedged equity203 of 20+0.8958.2%14 of 20
Managed futures172 of 17+0.4347.4%15 of 17
Volatility95 of 9−0.64−65.7%4 of 9
Long-short equity80 of 8+0.6257.0%7 of 8
Multi-strategy60 of 6+0.4332.5%5 of 6
Event driven31 of 3+0.224.3%1 of 3
Market neutral22 of 2−0.32−63.6%1 of 2
Global macro10 of 1+0.7794.2%1 of 1

Every fund with a full year, held up best first

Every fund with a full year, held up best first
TickerFundStrategyCorrelationAverage week when SPY fellDown-week captureAgainst T-bills
UVXYProShares Ultra VIX Short-Term Futures ETFVolatility−0.78+5.15%−356.5%−68.4 pts
VIXYProShares VIX Short-Term Futures ETFVolatility−0.78+3.56%−246.2%−49.4 pts
VXXiPath Series B S&P 500 VIX Short-Term FutureVolatility−0.77+3.50%−241.8%−48.4 pts
BTALAGF U.S. Market Neutral Anti-Beta FundMarket neutral−0.61+1.64%−113.5%−14.5 pts
VIXMProShares VIX Mid-Term Futures ETFVolatility−0.65+0.98%−67.5%−21.5 pts
VXZiPath Series B S&P 500 VIX Mid-Term FuturesVolatility−0.64+0.95%−65.7%−21.0 pts
CTASimplify Managed Futures Strategy ETFManaged futures−0.13+0.56%−39.1%+9.8 pts
TAILCambria Tail Risk ETFHedged equity−0.78+0.50%−34.4%−16.8 pts
KMLMKraneShares Mount Lucas Managed Futures IndeManaged futures−0.06+0.28%−19.2%+15.6 pts
QBERTrueShares Quarterly Bear Hedge ETFHedged equity−0.62+0.26%−17.8%−3.7 pts
MKTNFederated Hermes MDT Market Neutral ETFMarket neutral−0.02+0.20%−13.7%+12.8 pts
MRGRProShares Merger ETFEvent driven+0.07+0.11%−7.3%+1.9 pts
CAOSAlpha Architect Tail Risk ETFHedged equity−0.43+0.09%−6.5%−2.3 pts
FLSPFranklin Systematic Style Premia ETFMulti-strategy+0.17−0.04%2.4%+9.6 pts
LSEQHarbor Long-Short Equity ETFLong-short equity+0.07−0.05%3.7%+20.9 pts
MNANYLIM Merger Arbitrage ETFEvent driven+0.29−0.06%4.3%−0.7 pts
CCORCore Alternative ETFHedged equity+0.18−0.08%5.3%−1.0 pts
RSBAReturn Stacked Bonds & Merger Arbitrage ETFEvent driven+0.22−0.09%6.1%−6.0 pts
FFUTFidelity Managed Futures ETFManaged futures+0.12−0.12%8.1%+17.4 pts
FMFFirst Trust Managed Futures Strategy FundManaged futures+0.18−0.26%18.3%+7.2 pts
IMFInvesco Managed Futures Strategy ETFManaged futures+0.32−0.29%19.9%+15.1 pts
LALTFirst Trust Multi-Strategy Alternative ETFMulti-strategy+0.38−0.30%21.0%+8.5 pts
HEDGEquable Shares Hedged Equity ETFHedged equity+0.87−0.34%23.8%+5.5 pts
QBULTrueShares Quarterly Bull Hedge ETFHedged equity+0.81−0.38%26.3%−2.8 pts
ISMFiShares Managed Futures Active ETFManaged futures+0.43−0.41%28.5%+9.5 pts
DBMFiMGP DBi Managed Futures Strategy ETFManaged futures+0.37−0.44%30.2%+17.1 pts
QALTSEI DBi Multi-Strategy Alternative ETFMulti-strategy+0.49−0.45%31.2%+3.7 pts
PHEQParametric Hedged Equity ETFHedged equity+0.94−0.48%33.5%+7.9 pts
HDGProShares Hedge Replication ETFMulti-strategy+0.82−0.49%33.8%+2.4 pts
WTMFWisdomTree Managed Futures Strategy FundManaged futures+0.57−0.54%37.1%+8.6 pts
KSPYKraneShares Hedgeye Hedged Equity Index ETFHedged equity+0.88−0.63%43.3%+7.6 pts
ORRMilitia Long/Short Equity ETFLong-short equity+0.38−0.64%44.0%+19.0 pts
VYLDInverse VIX Short-Term Futures ETNs due MarcVolatility+0.79−0.64%44.5%+10.9 pts
QAINYLIM Hedge Multi-Strategy Tracker ETFMulti-strategy+0.83−0.66%45.8%+3.3 pts
BTRNGlobal X Bitcoin Trend Strategy ETFManaged futures+0.17−0.69%47.4%−6.7 pts
FTLSFirst Trust Long/Short EquityLong-short equity+0.79−0.69%47.8%+7.3 pts
CLSEConvergence Long/Short Equity ETFLong-short equity+0.65−0.74%50.9%+25.4 pts
HEQTSimplify Hedged Equity ETFHedged equity+0.96−0.76%52.5%+6.9 pts
HOLAJPMorgan International Hedged Equity LaddereHedged equity+0.64−0.82%56.6%+5.2 pts
ASMFVirtus AlphaSimplex Managed Futures ETFManaged futures+0.51−0.82%56.8%+9.2 pts
HELOJPMorgan Hedged Equity Laddered Overlay ETFHedged equity+0.95−0.87%59.8%+2.6 pts
SHDGSoundwatch Hedged Equity ETFHedged equity+0.89−0.89%61.6%+1.9 pts
FFLSThe Future Fund Long/Short ETFLong-short equity+0.61−0.91%63.1%−5.0 pts
HEGDSwan Hedged Equity US Large Cap ETFHedged equity+0.97−0.95%65.8%+3.8 pts
ZVOLVolatility Premium Plus ETFVolatility+0.66−0.96%66.6%+18.4 pts
MFUTCambria Chesapeake Pure Trend ETFManaged futures+0.39−0.99%68.2%+20.4 pts
AHLTAHL Trend ETFManaged futures+0.47−1.06%73.3%+16.0 pts
HEQQJPMorgan Nasdaq Hedged Equity Laddered OverlHedged equity+0.86−1.07%73.9%+2.1 pts
RSBTReturn Stacked Bonds & Managed Futures ETFManaged futures+0.53−1.08%74.4%+4.9 pts
THEQT. Rowe Price Hedged Equity ETFHedged equity+0.98−1.08%74.6%+5.0 pts
SVOLSimplify Volatility Premium ETFVolatility+0.76−1.11%77.0%+10.5 pts
QCLRGlobal X NASDAQ 100 Collar 95-110 ETFHedged equity+0.86−1.17%81.2%−3.5 pts
ACIOAptus Collared Investment Opportunity ETFHedged equity+0.98−1.18%81.6%+3.5 pts
CBLSClough Hedged Equity ETFLong-short equity+0.46−1.23%84.8%+1.1 pts
FHEQFidelity Hedged Equity ETFHedged equity+0.97−1.27%87.7%+6.3 pts
QISSimplify Multi-QIS Alternative ETFMulti-strategy+0.07−1.32%91.6%−40.3 pts
ASGMVirtus AlphaSimplex Global Macro ETFGlobal macro+0.77−1.36%94.2%+20.6 pts
CSMProShares Large Cap Core PlusLong-short equity+0.98−1.38%95.8%+10.5 pts
TFPNBlueprint Chesapeake Multi-Asset Trend ETFManaged futures+0.60−1.40%97.2%+16.2 pts
XTRGlobal X S&P 500 Tail Risk ETFHedged equity+0.99−1.41%97.8%+7.0 pts
EHLSEven Herd Long Short ETFLong-short equity+0.63−1.50%103.5%+0.1 pts
HOLDHarbor Alpha Layering ETFManaged futures+0.64−1.55%107.4%−1.5 pts
PRAEPlanRock Equity Plus Alternatives ETFManaged futures+0.75−1.56%107.8%+11.0 pts
SVXYProShares Short VIX Short-Term Futures ETFVolatility+0.78−1.92%133.1%+20.6 pts
QTRGlobal X NASDAQ 100 Tail Risk ETFHedged equity+0.90−1.94%134.4%+5.9 pts
RSSTReturn Stacked U.S. Stocks & Managed FuturesManaged futures+0.86−2.40%166.4%+22.1 pts
Method

ETFIQ calculations from Tiingo end-of-day closes for each fund, for SPY and for BIL, over 52 weekly returns ending on one date. Correlation and beta are computed on those weeks. Down-week capture is a fund’s average return in the weeks SPY fell as a share of SPY’s, on the unrounded averages. Against T-bills is the fund’s total return minus BIL’s over the same weeks. Strategies are read from each fund’s own prospectus. Thinly quoted funds are left out. Medians across funds. Rebuilt every trading night.

Data file: alternatives.json. ETFIQ is an independent publisher and makes no recommendations. Standards →

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ETFIQ Research, What alternatives ETFs did when stocks fell, data as of Oct 22, 2026. https://etfiq.com/research/2026-10-22/alternatives-down-weeks

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