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What alternatives ETFs did when stocks fell

Of the 67 alternatives ETFs ETFIQ measured over the year to Oct 21, 2026, 16 rose on average in the weeks the S&P 500 fell, and the median fund fell 37% as much as the index. These funds are sold on behaving differently from stocks, and this is that promise measured.

The S&P 500 fell in 25 of the 52 weeks, by 1.14% in its average down week. Down-week capture is a fund's own average in those weeks as a share of that, so below zero means it rose. Holding up is not the same as earning. 50 of the 67 finished ahead of T-bills over the same weeks, and 6 of the 16 that rose also did that. The strategies are not alike. The median hedged equity fund had a correlation of +0.91 with the S&P 500 and the median managed futures fund +0.46, so the table by strategy comes first.

Rose when the S&P 500 fell, by strategy

16 of 67 alternatives ETFs rose on average in the weeks the S&P 500 fell, over the year to Oct 21, 2026.

ETFIQ Narrative

Over the year to October 21, 2026, ETFIQ tracked 67 alternatives ETFs through 52 weekly closes, 25 of which were down weeks for the S&P 500, with the index falling an average of 1.14% in those weeks. Sixteen of the 67 funds rose, on average, during those same weeks, and across the group the median fund's down-week return came to 37% of the index's decline. That number, down-week capture, measures a fund's own average return in the S&P 500's down weeks as a share of the index's average fall in those weeks; a negative number means the fund rose while the index fell.

The strategies behaved differently from one another, which is why the data is grouped that way. Volatility funds had the strongest showing against falling stocks: 5 of 9 rose when the index fell, and the group's median correlation to the S&P 500 was −0.66, with a median down-week capture of −43.5%. Market neutral funds, just two in the set, both rose when the index fell, with a median capture of −103.3%. Hedged equity, the largest group at 21 funds, moved much more closely with the market: median correlation of +0.91 and median down-week capture of 60.5%, with only 4 of 21 funds rising in down weeks. Managed futures funds, 17 in total, had a lower median correlation of +0.46 and a median capture of 36.5%, with 3 of 17 rising. Long-short equity funds, 8 in the set, had none rise during down weeks, with a median capture of 59.0%. Multi-strategy, event driven and the single global macro fund sat at various points in between, as the table shows.

Individual funds within a strategy did not all move alike. Among volatility funds, UVXY rose an average of 2.98% in down weeks, a capture of −261.7%, while SVXY, built to move opposite the VIX, fell 1.18% in those same weeks, a capture of 103.5%. In market neutral, BTAL rose 1.89% in down weeks (capture −166.3%) while MKTN rose a smaller 0.46% (capture −40.3%). In managed futures, CTA rose 0.36% in down weeks while RSST fell 1.74%, a capture of 153.0%. In hedged equity, QBER's average down-week return was +0.17% against XTR's −1.12%, spanning the strategy's wide range.

Rising in down weeks did not always mean beating cash. Of the 67 funds, 50 finished ahead of T-bills over the full 52 weeks, but among the 16 funds that rose when the index fell, only 6 also cleared that bar. UVXY, VXX, VIXY, VIXM, VXZ and BTAL, each a fund that rose during market declines, finished behind T-bills over the year by margins ranging from 19.8 to 72.5 percentage points. Managed futures funds, despite lower down-week sensitivity, mostly finished ahead of T-bills, with 16 of 17 doing so.

Readers can check any fund's own correlation, down-week capture and performance against T-bills, along with its strategy classification, on its page at ETFIQ.

Ahead of T-bills, by strategy

50 of 67 alternatives ETFs finished ahead of T-bills over the year to Oct 21, 2026.

By strategy, most funds first

By strategy, most funds first
StrategyFundsRose when it fellMedian correlationMedian down-week captureAhead of T-bills
Hedged equity214 of 21+0.9160.5%15 of 21
Managed futures173 of 17+0.4636.5%16 of 17
Volatility95 of 9−0.66−43.5%4 of 9
Long-short equity80 of 8+0.7059.0%7 of 8
Multi-strategy61 of 6+0.4640.1%5 of 6
Event driven31 of 3+0.210.4%1 of 3
Market neutral22 of 2−0.39−103.3%1 of 2
Global macro10 of 1+0.86104.7%1 of 1

Every fund with a full year, held up best first

Every fund with a full year, held up best first
TickerFundStrategyCorrelationAverage week when SPY fellDown-week captureAgainst T-bills
UVXYProShares Ultra VIX Short-Term Futures ETFVolatility−0.81+2.98%−261.7%−72.5 pts
VXXiPath Series B S&P 500 VIX Short-Term FutureVolatility−0.81+2.14%−187.9%−52.9 pts
VIXYProShares VIX Short-Term Futures ETFVolatility−0.80+2.09%−184.0%−53.6 pts
BTALAGF U.S. Market Neutral Anti-Beta FundMarket neutral−0.76+1.89%−166.3%−19.8 pts
VIXMProShares VIX Mid-Term Futures ETFVolatility−0.66+0.50%−43.9%−23.2 pts
VXZiPath Series B S&P 500 VIX Mid-Term FuturesVolatility−0.67+0.50%−43.5%−22.6 pts
MKTNFederated Hermes MDT Market Neutral ETFMarket neutral−0.02+0.46%−40.3%+13.4 pts
CTASimplify Managed Futures Strategy ETFManaged futures−0.22+0.36%−31.9%+8.3 pts
KMLMKraneShares Mount Lucas Managed Futures IndeManaged futures−0.14+0.32%−27.9%+16.9 pts
FLSPFranklin Systematic Style Premia ETFMulti-strategy−0.13+0.27%−23.9%+9.7 pts
QBERTrueShares Quarterly Bear Hedge ETFHedged equity−0.72+0.17%−15.1%−4.2 pts
TAILCambria Tail Risk ETFHedged equity−0.76+0.10%−8.6%−19.0 pts
CCORCore Alternative ETFHedged equity−0.17+0.07%−6.3%−2.9 pts
CAOSAlpha Architect Tail Risk ETFHedged equity−0.19+0.04%−3.6%−2.4 pts
MRGRProShares Merger ETFEvent driven+0.10+0.04%−3.5%+1.5 pts
FFUTFidelity Managed Futures ETFManaged futures+0.07+0.02%−2.0%+19.5 pts
MNANYLIM Merger Arbitrage ETFEvent driven+0.210.00%0.4%−0.7 pts
FMFFirst Trust Managed Futures Strategy FundManaged futures+0.09−0.03%3.0%+7.1 pts
LALTFirst Trust Multi-Strategy Alternative ETFMulti-strategy+0.30−0.04%3.4%+9.2 pts
IMFInvesco Managed Futures Strategy ETFManaged futures+0.32−0.07%6.3%+16.2 pts
ORRMilitia Long/Short Equity ETFLong-short equity+0.37−0.15%13.5%+20.3 pts
HEDGEquable Shares Hedged Equity ETFHedged equity+0.86−0.18%16.1%+6.5 pts
DBMFiMGP DBi Managed Futures Strategy ETFManaged futures+0.25−0.22%19.4%+18.9 pts
RSBAReturn Stacked Bonds & Merger Arbitrage ETFEvent driven+0.37−0.27%23.4%−7.3 pts
ISMFiShares Managed Futures Active ETFManaged futures+0.49−0.28%24.3%+10.9 pts
LSEQHarbor Long-Short Equity ETFLong-short equity+0.19−0.28%24.4%+22.9 pts
QBULTrueShares Quarterly Bull Hedge ETFHedged equity+0.85−0.29%25.6%−2.7 pts
PHEQParametric Hedged Equity ETFHedged equity+0.95−0.35%30.9%+8.5 pts
WTMFWisdomTree Managed Futures Strategy FundManaged futures+0.63−0.36%31.9%+9.9 pts
FTLSFirst Trust Long/Short EquityLong-short equity+0.84−0.41%36.0%+9.3 pts
ASMFVirtus AlphaSimplex Managed Futures ETFManaged futures+0.39−0.42%36.5%+11.9 pts
VYLDInverse VIX Short-Term Futures ETNs due MarcVolatility+0.80−0.42%36.8%+12.7 pts
ZVOLVolatility Premium Plus ETFVolatility+0.63−0.42%36.9%+20.7 pts
BTRNGlobal X Bitcoin Trend Strategy ETFManaged futures+0.27−0.42%37.0%−6.2 pts
HDGProShares Hedge Replication ETFMulti-strategy+0.85−0.44%38.5%+3.4 pts
KSPYKraneShares Hedgeye Hedged Equity Index ETFHedged equity+0.91−0.45%39.1%+9.2 pts
HOLAJPMorgan International Hedged Equity LaddereHedged equity+0.69−0.45%39.3%+5.7 pts
QALTSEI DBi Multi-Strategy Alternative ETFMulti-strategy+0.62−0.47%41.7%+4.6 pts
CLSEConvergence Long/Short Equity ETFLong-short equity+0.76−0.50%44.2%+29.6 pts
QAINYLIM Hedge Multi-Strategy Tracker ETFMulti-strategy+0.88−0.57%49.7%+4.1 pts
HEQTSimplify Hedged Equity ETFHedged equity+0.96−0.60%52.6%+7.8 pts
HELOJPMorgan Hedged Equity Laddered Overlay ETFHedged equity+0.94−0.69%60.5%+3.9 pts
AHLTAHL Trend ETFManaged futures+0.46−0.74%64.6%+20.1 pts
RSBTReturn Stacked Bonds & Managed Futures ETFManaged futures+0.51−0.76%67.1%+6.2 pts
SHDGSoundwatch Hedged Equity ETFHedged equity+0.90−0.78%68.6%+3.4 pts
SVOLSimplify Volatility Premium ETFVolatility+0.77−0.79%69.7%+12.2 pts
HEGDSwan Hedged Equity US Large Cap ETFHedged equity+0.98−0.80%70.7%+5.3 pts
THEQT. Rowe Price Hedged Equity ETFHedged equity+0.99−0.83%72.8%+6.5 pts
XCLRGlobal X S&P 500 Collar 95-110 ETFHedged equity+0.92−0.89%72.9%+3.3 pts
FFLSThe Future Fund Long/Short ETFLong-short equity+0.68−0.84%73.8%−3.4 pts
MFUTCambria Chesapeake Pure Trend ETFManaged futures+0.52−0.90%79.0%+22.0 pts
ACIOAptus Collared Investment Opportunity ETFHedged equity+0.99−0.94%82.2%+5.4 pts
FHEQFidelity Hedged Equity ETFHedged equity+0.98−0.95%83.5%+7.8 pts
HEQQJPMorgan Nasdaq Hedged Equity Laddered OverlHedged equity+0.90−0.98%85.9%+4.6 pts
CSMProShares Large Cap Core PlusLong-short equity+0.98−1.03%90.7%+12.2 pts
XTRGlobal X S&P 500 Tail Risk ETFHedged equity+1.00−1.12%98.6%+8.8 pts
QCLRGlobal X NASDAQ 100 Collar 95-110 ETFHedged equity+0.85−1.17%102.6%−3.0 pts
SVXYProShares Short VIX Short-Term Futures ETFVolatility+0.80−1.18%103.5%+25.9 pts
HOLDHarbor Alpha Layering ETFManaged futures+0.67−1.18%103.6%+2.2 pts
ASGMVirtus AlphaSimplex Global Macro ETFGlobal macro+0.86−1.19%104.7%+22.9 pts
EHLSEven Herd Long Short ETFLong-short equity+0.72−1.22%107.2%+4.8 pts
TFPNBlueprint Chesapeake Multi-Asset Trend ETFManaged futures+0.76−1.24%109.3%+17.3 pts
PRAEPlanRock Equity Plus Alternatives ETFManaged futures+0.81−1.28%112.3%+13.4 pts
CBLSClough Hedged Equity ETFLong-short equity+0.62−1.44%126.2%+6.5 pts
QISSimplify Multi-QIS Alternative ETFMulti-strategy+0.03−1.60%140.1%−39.8 pts
RSSTReturn Stacked U.S. Stocks & Managed FuturesManaged futures+0.87−1.74%153.0%+27.5 pts
QTRGlobal X NASDAQ 100 Tail Risk ETFHedged equity+0.92−1.76%154.4%+9.4 pts
Method

ETFIQ calculations from Tiingo end-of-day closes for each fund, for SPY and for BIL, over 52 weekly returns ending on one date. Correlation and beta are computed on those weeks. Down-week capture is a fund’s average return in the weeks SPY fell as a share of SPY’s, on the unrounded averages. Against T-bills is the fund’s total return minus BIL’s over the same weeks. Strategies are read from each fund’s own prospectus. Thinly quoted funds are left out. Medians across funds. Rebuilt every trading night.

Data file: alternatives.json. ETFIQ is an independent publisher and makes no recommendations. Standards →

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ETFIQ Research, What alternatives ETFs did when stocks fell, data as of Oct 21, 2026. https://etfiq.com/research/2026-10-21/alternatives-down-weeks

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