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What alternatives ETFs did when stocks fell

Of the 67 alternatives ETFs ETFIQ measured over the year to Oct 16, 2026, 24 rose on average in the weeks the S&P 500 fell, and the median fund fell 22% as much as the index. These funds are sold on behaving differently from stocks, and this is that promise measured.

The S&P 500 fell in 22 of the 52 weeks, by 1.22% in its average down week. Down-week capture is a fund's own average in those weeks as a share of that, so below zero means it rose. Holding up is not the same as earning. 50 of the 67 finished ahead of T-bills over the same weeks, and 13 of the 24 that rose also did that. The strategies are not alike. The median hedged equity fund had a correlation of +0.90 with the S&P 500 and the median managed futures fund +0.31, so the table by strategy comes first.

Rose when the S&P 500 fell, by strategy

24 of 67 alternatives ETFs rose on average in the weeks the S&P 500 fell, over the year to Oct 16, 2026.

ETFIQ Narrative

Over the year to Oct 16, 2026, ETFIQ measured 67 alternatives ETFs against the S&P 500's weekly moves. The index fell in 22 of the 52 weeks, losing an average of 1.22% in those weeks. Across the group, 24 of the 67 funds rose, on average, in those same weeks, and the median fund's down-week capture was 22%, meaning it lost about a fifth as much as the index typically did when the index fell. Behaving differently from stocks is the thing these funds are sold on, and that number is one way of checking whether they did.

The eight strategies behaved in very different ways, so looking at the whole group together can mislead. Hedged equity, the largest group with 21 funds, had a median correlation of +0.90 with the S&P 500 and a median down-week capture of 57.5%, so most of these funds still fell alongside the index, just by less. Managed futures, with 17 funds, had a much lower median correlation of +0.31 and a median down-week capture of 3.7%, with 8 of the 17 funds rising on average in down weeks. Volatility funds, as a group, had a negative median correlation of −0.63 and a median down-week capture of −61.9%, meaning the typical fund in this group rose when the index fell, and by a wide margin. Long-short equity and multi-strategy funds sat in between, with positive correlations and down-week captures of 35.0% and 23.6%. The smaller groups, event driven, market neutral and global macro, each had only one to three funds, so their medians reflect very few funds.

At the fund level, the ETFs with the largest average gains in down weeks were volatility funds. UVXY, ProShares Ultra VIX Short-Term Futures ETF, averaged +4.59% in weeks the S&P 500 fell, with a down-week capture of −377.4%, and VXX and VIXY also posted average gains above 3% with similarly negative captures. At the other end, hedged equity funds with high correlations, such as XTR, Global X S&P 500 Tail Risk ETF, at +0.99 correlation, and QTR, Global X NASDAQ 100 Tail Risk ETF, at +0.90, had down-week captures above 100%, meaning they lost more than the index did in its average down week.

Falling less, or rising, in down weeks is not the same as producing a return ahead of cash. Of the 67 funds, 50 finished ahead of T-bills over the same 52 weeks. Among the 24 funds that rose on average when the index fell, only 13 also beat T-bills. UVXY, for example, averaged +4.59% in down weeks but finished 73.1 percentage points behind T-bills over the full year, while CTA, Simplify Managed Futures Strategy ETF, rose an average of 0.97% in down weeks and finished 7.9 points ahead of T-bills. The two measures answer different questions: one is about behavior during stock market declines, the other about the return earned over the whole period.

Readers can look up any individual fund's correlation, down-week capture and performance against T-bills on ETFIQ's fund pages.

Ahead of T-bills, by strategy

50 of 67 alternatives ETFs finished ahead of T-bills over the year to Oct 16, 2026.

By strategy, most funds first

By strategy, most funds first
StrategyFundsRose when it fellMedian correlationMedian down-week captureAhead of T-bills
Hedged equity214 of 21+0.9057.5%15 of 21
Managed futures178 of 17+0.313.7%16 of 17
Volatility95 of 9−0.63−61.9%4 of 9
Long-short equity81 of 8+0.5935.0%7 of 8
Multi-strategy62 of 6+0.3223.6%5 of 6
Event driven32 of 3+0.10−3.8%1 of 3
Market neutral22 of 2−0.48−71.1%1 of 2
Global macro10 of 1+0.8064.2%1 of 1

Every fund with a full year, held up best first

Every fund with a full year, held up best first
TickerFundStrategyCorrelationAverage week when SPY fellDown-week captureAgainst T-bills
UVXYProShares Ultra VIX Short-Term Futures ETFVolatility−0.73+4.59%−377.4%−73.1 pts
VXXiPath Series B S&P 500 VIX Short-Term FutureVolatility−0.74+3.13%−257.3%−53.9 pts
VIXYProShares VIX Short-Term Futures ETFVolatility−0.74+3.12%−256.4%−54.1 pts
BTALAGF U.S. Market Neutral Anti-Beta FundMarket neutral−0.68+1.42%−116.6%−18.1 pts
CTASimplify Managed Futures Strategy ETFManaged futures−0.27+0.97%−79.9%+7.9 pts
VIXMProShares VIX Mid-Term Futures ETFVolatility−0.63+0.76%−62.3%−24.9 pts
VXZiPath Series B S&P 500 VIX Mid-Term FuturesVolatility−0.65+0.75%−61.9%−24.4 pts
KMLMKraneShares Mount Lucas Managed Futures IndeManaged futures−0.23+0.73%−59.8%+16.0 pts
LSEQHarbor Long-Short Equity ETFLong-short equity+0.01+0.71%−58.4%+20.7 pts
TAILCambria Tail Risk ETFHedged equity−0.76+0.40%−32.6%−18.3 pts
MKTNFederated Hermes MDT Market Neutral ETFMarket neutral−0.29+0.31%−25.7%+13.6 pts
FFUTFidelity Managed Futures ETFManaged futures−0.03+0.31%−25.6%+19.4 pts
DBMFiMGP DBi Managed Futures Strategy ETFManaged futures+0.21+0.27%−21.8%+18.7 pts
IMFInvesco Managed Futures Strategy ETFManaged futures+0.22+0.22%−17.7%+15.6 pts
QBERTrueShares Quarterly Bear Hedge ETFHedged equity−0.69+0.19%−15.9%−3.9 pts
FLSPFranklin Systematic Style Premia ETFMulti-strategy−0.01+0.14%−11.1%+9.7 pts
LALTFirst Trust Multi-Strategy Alternative ETFMulti-strategy+0.23+0.13%−10.5%+9.5 pts
MRGRProShares Merger ETFEvent driven−0.01+0.13%−10.5%+1.7 pts
FMFFirst Trust Managed Futures Strategy FundManaged futures+0.19+0.09%−7.1%+6.8 pts
CAOSAlpha Architect Tail Risk ETFHedged equity−0.39+0.08%−6.7%−2.3 pts
ISMFiShares Managed Futures Active ETFManaged futures+0.28+0.07%−6.1%+10.1 pts
CCORCore Alternative ETFHedged equity+0.04+0.07%−5.6%−3.2 pts
MNANYLIM Merger Arbitrage ETFEvent driven+0.10+0.05%−3.8%−1.1 pts
MFUTCambria Chesapeake Pure Trend ETFManaged futures+0.31+0.02%−1.7%+21.0 pts
WTMFWisdomTree Managed Futures Strategy FundManaged futures+0.46−0.04%3.7%+9.6 pts
ASMFVirtus AlphaSimplex Managed Futures ETFManaged futures+0.32−0.10%7.9%+11.6 pts
RSBAReturn Stacked Bonds & Merger Arbitrage ETFEvent driven+0.30−0.17%13.8%−7.5 pts
ORRMilitia Long/Short Equity ETFLong-short equity+0.35−0.19%15.7%+20.8 pts
QALTSEI DBi Multi-Strategy Alternative ETFMulti-strategy+0.41−0.20%16.5%+4.6 pts
BTRNGlobal X Bitcoin Trend Strategy ETFManaged futures+0.23−0.21%17.3%−5.7 pts
AHLTAHL Trend ETFManaged futures+0.40−0.23%18.9%+19.0 pts
RSBTReturn Stacked Bonds & Managed Futures ETFManaged futures+0.40−0.25%20.4%+6.4 pts
CBLSClough Hedged Equity ETFLong-short equity+0.36−0.26%21.0%+0.9 pts
HEDGEquable Shares Hedged Equity ETFHedged equity+0.87−0.26%21.5%+6.2 pts
QBULTrueShares Quarterly Bull Hedge ETFHedged equity+0.85−0.34%28.2%−2.9 pts
PHEQParametric Hedged Equity ETFHedged equity+0.91−0.36%29.2%+8.4 pts
HDGProShares Hedge Replication ETFMulti-strategy+0.82−0.37%30.6%+2.8 pts
TFPNBlueprint Chesapeake Multi-Asset Trend ETFManaged futures+0.46−0.38%31.1%+15.5 pts
CLSEConvergence Long/Short Equity ETFLong-short equity+0.61−0.40%32.9%+28.6 pts
QAINYLIM Hedge Multi-Strategy Tracker ETFMulti-strategy+0.84−0.44%35.9%+3.6 pts
QISSimplify Multi-QIS Alternative ETFMulti-strategy−0.19−0.44%35.9%−39.9 pts
FTLSFirst Trust Long/Short EquityLong-short equity+0.79−0.45%37.0%+8.2 pts
KSPYKraneShares Hedgeye Hedged Equity Index ETFHedged equity+0.87−0.50%41.2%+8.4 pts
HEQTSimplify Hedged Equity ETFHedged equity+0.94−0.57%46.6%+7.6 pts
HOLAJPMorgan International Hedged Equity LaddereHedged equity+0.69−0.57%46.9%+5.2 pts
EHLSEven Herd Long Short ETFLong-short equity+0.57−0.62%50.7%+0.2 pts
VYLDInverse VIX Short-Term Futures ETNs due MarcVolatility+0.75−0.62%50.9%+12.8 pts
HELOJPMorgan Hedged Equity Laddered Overlay ETFHedged equity+0.95−0.70%57.5%+3.6 pts
HOLDHarbor Alpha Layering ETFManaged futures+0.60−0.70%57.9%+1.3 pts
ZVOLVolatility Premium Plus ETFVolatility+0.65−0.75%61.6%+23.5 pts
SHDGSoundwatch Hedged Equity ETFHedged equity+0.86−0.75%61.7%+2.8 pts
HEGDSwan Hedged Equity US Large Cap ETFHedged equity+0.97−0.76%62.1%+4.5 pts
PRAEPlanRock Equity Plus Alternatives ETFManaged futures+0.75−0.77%63.5%+12.7 pts
ASGMVirtus AlphaSimplex Global Macro ETFGlobal macro+0.80−0.78%64.2%+21.9 pts
FFLSThe Future Fund Long/Short ETFLong-short equity+0.68−0.87%71.5%−3.7 pts
THEQT. Rowe Price Hedged Equity ETFHedged equity+0.97−0.87%71.8%+5.8 pts
XCLRGlobal X S&P 500 Collar 95-110 ETFHedged equity+0.92−0.89%72.9%+3.3 pts
SVOLSimplify Volatility Premium ETFVolatility+0.74−0.92%75.8%+13.6 pts
HEQQJPMorgan Nasdaq Hedged Equity Laddered OverlHedged equity+0.90−0.95%77.7%+3.4 pts
ACIOAptus Collared Investment Opportunity ETFHedged equity+0.98−1.00%82.3%+4.7 pts
QCLRGlobal X NASDAQ 100 Collar 95-110 ETFHedged equity+0.87−1.11%91.2%−3.0 pts
FHEQFidelity Hedged Equity ETFHedged equity+0.97−1.11%91.3%+7.2 pts
XTRGlobal X S&P 500 Tail Risk ETFHedged equity+0.99−1.18%96.9%+7.9 pts
CSMProShares Large Cap Core PlusLong-short equity+0.98−1.19%98.1%+11.6 pts
RSSTReturn Stacked U.S. Stocks & Managed FuturesManaged futures+0.87−1.36%111.4%+26.2 pts
SVXYProShares Short VIX Short-Term Futures ETFVolatility+0.77−1.72%141.2%+26.4 pts
QTRGlobal X NASDAQ 100 Tail Risk ETFHedged equity+0.90−1.74%142.7%+7.3 pts
Method

ETFIQ calculations from Tiingo end-of-day closes for each fund, for SPY and for BIL, over 52 weekly returns ending on one date. Correlation and beta are computed on those weeks. Down-week capture is a fund’s average return in the weeks SPY fell as a share of SPY’s, on the unrounded averages. Against T-bills is the fund’s total return minus BIL’s over the same weeks. Strategies are read from each fund’s own prospectus. Thinly quoted funds are left out. Medians across funds. Rebuilt every trading night.

Data file: alternatives.json. ETFIQ is an independent publisher and makes no recommendations. Standards →

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ETFIQ Research, What alternatives ETFs did when stocks fell, data as of Oct 16, 2026. https://etfiq.com/research/2026-10-16/alternatives-down-weeks

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