ETFIQ Research · rebuilt every trading night

What alternatives ETFs did when stocks fell

Of the 63 alternatives ETFs ETFIQ measured over the year to Sep 18, 2026, 20 rose on average in the weeks the S&P 500 fell, and the median fund fell 30% as much as the index. These funds are sold on behaving differently from stocks, and this is that promise measured.

The S&P 500 fell in 22 of the 52 weeks, by 1.24% in its average down week. Down-week capture is a fund's own average in those weeks as a share of that, so below zero means it rose. Holding up is not the same as earning. 50 of the 63 finished ahead of T-bills over the same weeks, and 13 of the 20 that rose also did that. The strategies are not alike. The median hedged equity fund had a correlation of +0.91 with the S&P 500 and the median managed futures fund +0.30, so the table by strategy comes first.

Rose when the S&P 500 fell, by strategy

20 of 63 alternatives ETFs rose on average in the weeks the S&P 500 fell, over the year to Sep 18, 2026.

ETFIQ Narrative

The S&P 500 fell in 22 of the 52 weeks to Sep 18, 2026, by an average of 1.24% in those down weeks. ETFIQ tracked 63 alternatives ETFs with a full year of data against that backdrop. Twenty of the 63 rose on average in the weeks the index fell, and the median fund across all 63 captured 30% of the index's average down-week move, meaning it lost less than stocks did in a typical bad week.

The seven strategies behaved differently, which is why the strategy table comes first. The median hedged equity fund, the largest group at 21 funds, had a correlation of +0.91 with the S&P 500 and a median down-week capture of 60.2%, with 4 of 21 rising when the index fell. Managed futures, the next largest group at 18 funds, showed a median correlation of +0.30 and a median down-week capture of 7.8%, with 8 of 18 rising in down weeks. Long-short equity funds carried a median correlation of +0.63 and a 38.3% down-week capture, with 1 of 9 rising. Multi-strategy funds had a median correlation of +0.45 and a 29.0% capture, with 2 of 7 rising. Event driven funds, a smaller group of five, had the lowest median correlation among the multi-fund strategies at +0.15 and a down-week capture of −4.0%, meaning the median fund in this group rose slightly on average in the weeks stocks fell, with 4 of 5 funds rising. The single market neutral fund, BTAL, posted a correlation of −0.69 and a down-week capture of −95.2%, rising an average of 1.18% in the weeks the S&P 500 fell.

Among individual funds, BTAL had the most negative correlation to the index at −0.69 and the largest down-week capture in the negative direction, at −95.2%. CTA and KMLM, both managed futures funds, showed down-week captures of −78.5% and −60.3%. At the other end, QTR and HFEQ posted down-week captures of 134.8% and 139.9%, meaning their average losses in down weeks exceeded the index's average loss.

Holding up in down weeks did not always mean beating cash. Of the 63 funds, 50 finished ahead of T-bills over the same 52 weeks. Among the 20 funds that rose on average when the index fell, 13 also finished ahead of T-bills. BTAL, for example, rose in down weeks but trailed T-bills by 22.7 percentage points over the full year. QIS, a multi-strategy fund, trailed T-bills by 41.5 percentage points despite a down-week capture of 59.6%.

Readers can check any fund's correlation, down-week capture, and result against T-bills on the live desk, updated as new weekly closes arrive.

Ahead of T-bills, by strategy

50 of 63 alternatives ETFs finished ahead of T-bills over the year to Sep 18, 2026.

By strategy, most funds first

StrategyFundsRose when it fellMedian correlationMedian down-week captureAhead of T-bills
Hedged equity214 of 21+0.9160.2%15 of 21
Managed futures188 of 18+0.307.8%17 of 18
Long-short equity91 of 9+0.6338.3%8 of 9
Multi-strategy72 of 7+0.4529.0%6 of 7
Event driven54 of 5+0.15−4.0%2 of 5
Global macro20 of 2+0.6969.1%2 of 2
Market neutral11 of 1−0.69−95.2%0 of 1

Every fund with a full year, held up best first

TickerFundStrategyCorrelationAverage week when SPY fellDown-week captureAgainst T-bills
BTALAGF U.S. Market Neutral Anti-Beta FundMarket neutral−0.69+1.18%−95.2%−22.7 pts
CTASimplify Managed Futures Strategy ETFManaged futures−0.26+0.97%−78.5%+10.1 pts
KMLMKraneShares Mount Lucas Managed Futures IndeManaged futures−0.24+0.75%−60.3%+16.1 pts
LSEQHarbor Long-Short Equity ETFLong-short equity+0.05+0.59%−48.0%+19.2 pts
FFUTFidelity Managed Futures ETFManaged futures−0.04+0.40%−32.3%+23.4 pts
TAILCambria Tail Risk ETFHedged equity−0.75+0.40%−32.1%−16.8 pts
IMFInvesco Managed Futures Strategy ETFManaged futures+0.22+0.28%−22.7%+19.4 pts
DBMFiMGP DBi Managed Futures Strategy ETFManaged futures+0.26+0.21%−16.8%+21.7 pts
FMFFirst Trust Managed Futures Strategy FundManaged futures+0.18+0.20%−16.2%+11.7 pts
MFUTCambria Chesapeake Pure Trend ETFManaged futures+0.29+0.20%−15.9%+27.5 pts
MRGRProShares Merger ETFEvent driven−0.02+0.19%−15.6%+4.7 pts
QBERTrueShares Quarterly Bear Hedge ETFHedged equity−0.69+0.19%−15.4%−4.0 pts
LALTFirst Trust Multi-Strategy Alternative ETFMulti-strategy+0.24+0.18%−14.9%+11.6 pts
FLSPFranklin Systematic Style Premia ETFMulti-strategy+0.01+0.16%−12.6%+10.1 pts
ISMFiShares Managed Futures Active ETFManaged futures+0.32+0.10%−7.8%+14.3 pts
CAOSAlpha Architect Tail Risk ETFHedged equity−0.40+0.08%−6.2%−2.6 pts
EVNTAltShares Event-Driven ETFEvent driven+0.38+0.07%−5.7%+4.9 pts
CCORCore Alternative ETFHedged equity+0.06+0.06%−4.8%−4.6 pts
ARBAltShares Merger Arbitrage ETFEvent driven+0.04+0.05%−4.0%−0.6 pts
MNANYLIM Merger Arbitrage ETFEvent driven+0.15+0.04%−3.1%−0.9 pts
ASMFVirtus AlphaSimplex Managed Futures ETFManaged futures+0.34−0.09%7.5%+12.9 pts
AHLTAHL Trend ETFManaged futures+0.40−0.10%8.0%+27.9 pts
RSBTReturn Stacked Bonds & Managed Futures ETFManaged futures+0.39−0.11%9.2%+14.4 pts
HFMFUnlimited HFMF Managed Futures ETFManaged futures+0.20−0.16%12.7%+5.0 pts
RSBAReturn Stacked Bonds & Merger Arbitrage ETFEvent driven+0.34−0.17%13.6%−6.2 pts
ORRMilitia Long/Short Equity ETFLong-short equity+0.35−0.18%14.3%+17.7 pts
CBLSClough Hedged Equity ETFLong-short equity+0.36−0.18%14.5%+5.7 pts
WTMFWisdomTree Managed Futures Strategy FundManaged futures+0.54−0.19%15.2%+11.3 pts
QALTSEI DBi Multi-Strategy Alternative ETFMulti-strategy+0.45−0.26%21.1%+5.6 pts
TFPNBlueprint Chesapeake Multi-Asset Trend ETFManaged futures+0.46−0.32%25.7%+18.9 pts
HDGProShares Hedge Replication ETFMulti-strategy+0.83−0.36%29.0%+5.2 pts
QBULTrueShares Quarterly Bull Hedge ETFHedged equity+0.86−0.37%29.5%−3.0 pts
PHEQParametric Hedged Equity ETFHedged equity+0.91−0.39%31.7%+7.8 pts
QAINYLIM Hedge Multi-Strategy Tracker ETFMulti-strategy+0.85−0.42%34.0%+5.4 pts
CLSEConvergence Long/Short Equity ETFLong-short equity+0.63−0.45%36.5%+29.5 pts
EHLSEven Herd Long Short ETFLong-short equity+0.55−0.47%38.3%+6.2 pts
HOLDHarbor Alpha Layering ETFManaged futures+0.57−0.49%39.5%+10.2 pts
KSPYKraneShares Hedgeye Hedged Equity Index ETFHedged equity+0.87−0.49%39.8%+9.5 pts
FTLSFirst Trust Long/Short EquityLong-short equity+0.77−0.52%42.3%+7.7 pts
HEQTSimplify Hedged Equity ETFHedged equity+0.94−0.56%45.1%+7.8 pts
HOLAJPMorgan International Hedged Equity LaddereHedged equity+0.72−0.58%47.0%+8.6 pts
HFNDUnlimited HFND Multi-Strategy Return TrackerMulti-strategy+0.78−0.62%50.0%+4.1 pts
BTRNGlobal X Bitcoin Trend Strategy ETFManaged futures+0.21−0.64%51.2%−15.8 pts
HELOJPMorgan Hedged Equity Laddered Overlay ETFHedged equity+0.95−0.70%56.2%+3.3 pts
QISSimplify Multi-QIS Alternative ETFMulti-strategy−0.15−0.74%59.6%−41.5 pts
HEGDSwan Hedged Equity US Large Cap ETFHedged equity+0.97−0.75%60.2%+4.7 pts
SHDGSoundwatch Hedged Equity ETFHedged equity+0.86−0.75%60.2%+2.6 pts
ASGMVirtus AlphaSimplex Global Macro ETFGlobal macro+0.81−0.80%64.2%+24.6 pts
PRAEPlanRock Equity Plus Alternatives ETFManaged futures+0.75−0.83%66.7%+14.7 pts
HEQQJPMorgan Nasdaq Hedged Equity Laddered OverlHedged equity+0.90−0.89%71.5%+4.7 pts
THEQT. Rowe Price Hedged Equity ETFHedged equity+0.98−0.89%71.5%+5.5 pts
HFGMUnlimited HFGM Global Macro ETFGlobal macro+0.57−0.92%73.9%+9.1 pts
XCLRGlobal X S&P 500 Collar 95-110 ETFHedged equity+0.94−0.95%76.6%+2.1 pts
ACIOAptus Collared Investment Opportunity ETFHedged equity+0.98−1.00%80.3%+4.4 pts
FFLSThe Future Fund Long/Short ETFLong-short equity+0.69−1.05%84.7%−8.3 pts
ZHDGZEGA Buy and Hedge ETFHedged equity+0.96−1.12%90.0%+3.9 pts
FHEQFidelity Hedged Equity ETFHedged equity+0.97−1.14%92.2%+6.9 pts
XTRGlobal X S&P 500 Tail Risk ETFHedged equity+0.99−1.20%96.7%+7.8 pts
QCLRGlobal X NASDAQ 100 Collar 95-110 ETFHedged equity+0.89−1.22%98.4%−5.0 pts
CSMProShares Large Cap Core PlusLong-short equity+0.98−1.24%99.9%+12.1 pts
RSSTReturn Stacked U.S. Stocks & Managed FuturesManaged futures+0.87−1.32%106.4%+32.3 pts
QTRGlobal X NASDAQ 100 Tail Risk ETFHedged equity+0.91−1.67%134.8%+10.5 pts
HFEQUnlimited HFEQ Equity Long/Short ETFLong-short equity+0.82−1.74%139.9%+11.2 pts
Method

ETFIQ calculations from Tiingo end-of-day closes for each fund, for SPY and for BIL, over 52 weekly returns ending on one date. Correlation and beta are computed on those weeks. Down-week capture is a fund’s average return in the weeks SPY fell as a share of SPY’s, on the unrounded averages. Against T-bills is the fund’s total return minus BIL’s over the same weeks. Strategies are read from each fund’s own prospectus. Thinly quoted funds are left out. Medians across funds. Rebuilt every trading night.

Data file: alternatives.json. ETFIQ is an independent publisher and makes no recommendations. Standards →

Cite this page

ETFIQ Research, What alternatives ETFs did when stocks fell, data as of Sep 18, 2026. https://etfiq.com/research/2026-09-19/alternatives-down-weeks

Open data →

Free to use with attribution; the underlying files are at Open data.