MRNX Defiance Daily Target 2X Long MRNA ETF
One month to Oct 2, 2026: MRNX returned +49.4% where its own daily promise gave +52.9%, 3.4 points short.
Over the 1 month to Oct 2, 2026, MRNX returned +49.4%, where 2 times that move implies +52.0%. The difference is −2.6 pts.
MRNX finished 18.1 points short of what +2 times MRNA’s daily move would have given, compounded through the same days.
Did it keep up with its own daily multiple, compounded day by day?
That is the share of the 470 leveraged ETFs, long, over three months sitting at or below MRNX.
A position in this set, not a rating: it moves when the set moves, and it is not a figure to average against another desk's.
| Window | Fund | MRNA | +2x the move | Difference | MRNA moved about |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1M Sep 2 – Oct 2, 2026 | +49.4% | +26.0% | +52.0% | −2.6 pts | 69% |
| 3M Jul 2 – Oct 2, 2026 | +146.5% | +138.2% | not meaningful over this window | not meaningful over this window | 360% |
| 6M Apr 2 – Oct 2, 2026 | +455.2% | +286.2% | not meaningful over this window | not meaningful over this window | 261% |
| Since launch Feb 4 – Oct 2, 2026 | +566.3% | +344.3% | not meaningful over this window | not meaningful over this window | 230% |
MRNX over each window to Oct 2, 2026. Every figure is an ETFIQ calculation. Source: ETFIQ.
In plain words
Questions people ask about MRNX
- Did MRNX return +2 times MRNA?
- Over the window to Oct 2, 2026, MRNA moved +26.0% and MRNX returned +49.4%. 2 times that move is +52.0%, so the fund came out 2.6 points short of it.
- Why does MRNX not return +2 times over a year?
- Because it resets daily. MRNX aims at +2 times each day's move, and daily results compound. Over a run where the underlying falls and comes back, compounding a levered daily return leaves a holder behind what +2 times the period move would suggest; over a steady run in one direction it can leave them ahead. The longer the holding, and the more the underlying moves about, the further apart the two figures get.
ETFIQ links to the documents behind every figure. It is not affiliated with any issuer, and a link is not an endorsement.
ETFIQ, MRNX, leveraged ETFs, data as of Oct 2, 2026. https://etfiq.com/funds/mrnx
ETFIQ. (Oct 2, 2026). MRNX, leveraged ETFs. Retrieved from https://etfiq.com/funds/mrnx
[MRNX, leveraged ETFs (ETFIQ, Oct 2, 2026)](https://etfiq.com/funds/mrnx)
Free to use with attribution; the underlying files are at Open data.