SPAL vs SPCQ: which held to its multiple?

Over three months against its own daily promise, SPAL finished 2.4 points short and SPCQ 6.0 points short. GraniteShares 2x Long SpaceX Daily ETF and Defiance Daily Target 2X Short [SpaceX] ETF.

−21.1%
SPAL returned, 3 months
−31.1%
SPCQ returned, 3 months
−12.6 pts
SPAL from its stated multiple
−39.6 pts
SPCQ from its stated multiple
SPAL · 3 months to Sep 30, 202612.6 pts short of its stated multiple
12.6 pts short of its stated multipleSPAL returned −21.1% while 2 times SPCX's move would have been −8.5%SPCX −4.2% ×2 implies−8.5%SPAL returned−21.1%12.6 pts short of its stated multipleSPAL returned −21.1% while 2 times SPCX's move would have been −8.5%SPCX −4.2% ×2 implies−8.5%SPAL returned−21.1%

SPAL returned −21.1% while 2 times SPCX's move would have been −8.5%

SPCQ · 3 months to Sep 30, 202639.6 pts short of its stated multiple
39.6 pts short of its stated multipleSPCQ returned −31.1% while −2 times SPCX's move would have been +8.5%SPCX −4.2% ×−2 implies+8.5%SPCQ returned−31.1%39.6 pts short of its stated multipleSPCQ returned −31.1% while −2 times SPCX's move would have been +8.5%SPCX −4.2% ×−2 implies+8.5%SPCQ returned−31.1%

SPCQ returned −31.1% while −2 times SPCX's move would have been +8.5%

ETFIQ Decay Resistance Score · SPAL scores higherDid it keep up with its own daily multiple, compounded day by day?

SPAL among the 470 leveraged ETFs, long, over three months

SPAL 57
0.1, the lowest in this set99.9, the highest

SPCQ among the 125 inverse ETFs over three months

SPCQ 4.4
0.4, the lowest in this set99.6, the highest

A percentile among the 470 leveraged ETFs, long, over three months. SPCQ is a percentile among the 125 inverse ETFs over three months, a different set, so the two marks are not on one scale. It is a position in a set, not a rating, and neither end of it is a recommendation. All leveraged ETFs ranked by it → How it is computed →

Performance, window by window

Total returnMultiple would giveDifference
WindowSPALSPCQSPALSPCQSPALSPCQ
1 month+7.8%−14.6%+10.0%−10.0%−2.2 pts−4.7 pts
3 months−21.1%−31.1%−8.5%+8.5%−12.6 pts−39.6 pts
Since launch
SPAL Jun 2026 · SPCQ Jun 2026
−50.8%−12.4%−43.3%+43.3%−7.6 pts−55.7 pts

SPAL and SPCQ over each window. Every figure is an ETFIQ calculation with distributions reinvested. Source: ETFIQ. Open the live comparison on ETFIQ →

On the same fields

SPAL
GraniteShares 2x Long SpaceX Daily ETF · Aims to return twice the daily move of Space Exploration Technologies (SPCX)
SPCQ
Defiance Daily Target 2X Short [SpaceX] ETF · Aims to return twice the opposite of the daily move of Space Exploration Technologies (SPCX)
Issuer GraniteShares Defiance
Sets out to return +2x -2x
Underlying asset SPCX SPCX
Segment company company
Fund returned, 3 months or since launch −21.1% −31.1%
Underlying returned, over that window −4.2% −4.2%
What the stated multiple implies, over that window −8.5% +8.5%
Difference from stated, over that window −12.6 pts −39.6 pts
Fund returned, 1 year or since launch −50.8% −12.4%
Difference from stated, over that window −7.6 pts −55.7 pts
Underlying volatility 70% 70%
Difference over the days both have traded −12.6 pts −4.7 pts
Expense ratio 1.50% 1.31%
Launched Jun 15, 2026 Jun 15, 2026
Net assets $38m $11m

SPAL and SPCQ on the same fields, as of Sep 30, 2026. Source: ETFIQ.

SPAL in plain words

Three months to Sep 30, 2026: SPAL returned −21.1% where its own daily promise gave −18.6%, 2.4 points short. Read the multiple against the whole window instead and 2 times SPCX's −4.2% implies −8.5%, which makes SPAL look 12.6 points short. 10.2 of that is daily compounding, which happens to any 2 times fund over the same path, and the rest is the fund. SPAL aims to return +2 times SPCX's move each day, then resets. Over one day it does that. Over longer, the daily results compound, so the total is not +2 times the period's move: in a market that falls and comes back it is reliably less, and in a steady run it can be more. SPCX moved at 70% annualized over that window. That is what decides how far the two figures separate: the same fund on a calm underlying and a violent one is a different product.

SPCQ in plain words

Three months to Sep 30, 2026: SPCQ returned −31.1% where its own daily promise gave −25.1%, 6.0 points short. Read the multiple against the whole window instead and −2 times SPCX's −4.2% implies +8.5%, which makes SPCQ look 39.6 points short. 33.6 of that is daily compounding, which happens to any −2 times fund over the same path, and the rest is the fund. SPCQ aims to return -2 times SPCX's move each day, then resets. Over longer, the daily results compound, so the total is not -2 times the period's move: in a market that falls and comes back it is reliably less, and in a steady run it can be more.

Questions people ask

Which came closer to its stated multiple, SPAL or SPCQ?
Over the window to Sep 30, 2026, SPAL finished 12.6 points from what its multiple implies and SPCQ finished 39.6 points from its own, so SPAL came closer. Neither figure predicts the next window: it depends on how much the underlying moves about.
Are SPAL and SPCQ levered on the same thing?
Yes. Both are levered on Space Exploration Technologies, SPAL at +2 times and SPCQ at -2 times the daily move.
Which one decays faster, SPAL or SPCQ?
Decay follows how much the underlying moves about. Over this window SPAL’s moved at 70% annualized and SPCQ’s at 70%, so SPAL has the rougher ride and, at the same multiple, loses more to compounding.
Can I hold SPAL or SPCQ for a year?
Both reset every day, so the multiple in the name applies to a single day and the daily results compound. Over a year the total is not the multiple times the year’s move, and in a market that falls and comes back it is reliably less. ETFIQ makes no recommendation either way.
Which is cheaper, SPAL or SPCQ?
SPAL charges 1.50% a year and SPCQ charges 1.31%, so SPCQ is cheaper. Fees come from each fund's prospectus.
Cite this page

ETFIQ, SPAL against SPCQ, data as of Sep 30, 2026. https://etfiq.com/compare/leverage/spal-vs-spcq

Open data

Free to use with attribution. Every figure is calculated from a named public source; the method is at etfiq.com/methodology.