LOFD vs SPAL: which held to its multiple?

Over a month against its own daily promise, LOFD finished 1.0 points over and SPAL 0.7 points short. Direxion Daily SpaceX Bear 2X ETF and GraniteShares 2x Long SpaceX Daily ETF.

−51.5%
LOFD returned, since launch
−21.1%
SPAL returned, 3 months
+11.0 pts
LOFD from its stated multiple
−12.6 pts
SPAL from its stated multiple
LOFD · 1 month to Sep 30, 20262.7 pts short of its stated multiple
2.7 pts short of its stated multipleLOFD returned −12.7% while −2 times SPCX's move would have been −10.0%SPCX +5.0% ×−2 implies−10.0%LOFD returned−12.7%2.7 pts short of its stated multipleLOFD returned −12.7% while −2 times SPCX's move would have been −10.0%SPCX +5.0% ×−2 implies−10.0%LOFD returned−12.7%

LOFD returned −12.7% while −2 times SPCX's move would have been −10.0%

SPAL · 3 months to Sep 30, 202612.6 pts short of its stated multiple
12.6 pts short of its stated multipleSPAL returned −21.1% while 2 times SPCX's move would have been −8.5%SPCX −4.2% ×2 implies−8.5%SPAL returned−21.1%12.6 pts short of its stated multipleSPAL returned −21.1% while 2 times SPCX's move would have been −8.5%SPCX −4.2% ×2 implies−8.5%SPAL returned−21.1%

SPAL returned −21.1% while 2 times SPCX's move would have been −8.5%

Performance, window by window

Total returnMultiple would giveDifference
WindowLOFDSPALLOFDSPALLOFDSPAL
1 month−12.7%+7.8%−10.0%+10.0%−2.7 pts−2.2 pts
3 monthsnot published−21.1%not published−8.5%not published−12.6 pts
Since launch
LOFD Aug 2026 · SPAL Jun 2026
−51.5%−50.8%−62.5%−43.3%+11.0 pts−7.6 pts

LOFD and SPAL over each window. Every figure is an ETFIQ calculation with distributions reinvested. Source: ETFIQ. Open the live comparison on ETFIQ →

On the same fields

LOFD
Direxion Daily SpaceX Bear 2X ETF · Aims to return twice the opposite of the daily move of Space Exploration Technologies (SPCX)
SPAL
GraniteShares 2x Long SpaceX Daily ETF · Aims to return twice the daily move of Space Exploration Technologies (SPCX)
Issuer Direxion GraniteShares
Sets out to return -2x +2x
Underlying asset SPCX SPCX
Segment company company
Fund returned, 3 months or since launch −12.7% −21.1%
Underlying returned, over that window +5.0% −4.2%
What the stated multiple implies, over that window −10.0% −8.5%
Difference from stated, over that window −2.7 pts −12.6 pts
Fund returned, 1 year or since launch −51.5% −50.8%
Difference from stated, over that window +11.0 pts −7.6 pts
Underlying volatility 44% 70%
Difference over the days both have traded −2.7 pts −12.6 pts
Expense ratio 0.97% 1.50%
Launched Aug 6, 2026 Jun 15, 2026
Net assets $2m $38m

LOFD and SPAL on the same fields, as of Sep 30, 2026. Source: ETFIQ.

LOFD in plain words

One month to Sep 30, 2026: LOFD returned −12.7% where its own daily promise gave −13.6%, 1.0 points over. Read the multiple against the whole window instead and −2 times SPCX's 5.0% implies −10.0%, which makes LOFD look 2.7 points short. 3.6 of that is daily compounding, which happens to any −2 times fund over the same path, and the rest is the fund. LOFD aims to return -2 times SPCX's move each day, then resets. Over one day it does that. Over longer, the daily results compound, so the total is not -2 times the period's move: in a market that falls and comes back it is reliably less, and in a steady run it can be more. SPCX moved at 44% annualized over that window. That is what decides how far the two figures separate: the same fund on a calm underlying and a violent one is a different product.

SPAL in plain words

Three months to Sep 30, 2026: SPAL returned −21.1% where its own daily promise gave −18.6%, 2.4 points short. Read the multiple against the whole window instead and 2 times SPCX's −4.2% implies −8.5%, which makes SPAL look 12.6 points short. 10.2 of that is daily compounding, which happens to any 2 times fund over the same path, and the rest is the fund. SPAL aims to return +2 times SPCX's move each day, then resets. Over longer, the daily results compound, so the total is not +2 times the period's move: in a market that falls and comes back it is reliably less, and in a steady run it can be more. SPCX moved at 70% annualized over that window.

Questions people ask

Which came closer to its stated multiple, LOFD or SPAL?
Over the window to Sep 30, 2026, LOFD finished 2.7 points from what its multiple implies and SPAL finished 12.6 points from its own, so LOFD came closer. Neither figure predicts the next window: it depends on how much the underlying moves about.
Are LOFD and SPAL levered on the same thing?
Yes. Both are levered on Space Exploration Technologies, LOFD at -2 times and SPAL at +2 times the daily move.
Which one decays faster, LOFD or SPAL?
Decay follows how much the underlying moves about. Over this window LOFD’s moved at 44% annualized and SPAL’s at 70%, so SPAL has the rougher ride and, at the same multiple, loses more to compounding.
Can I hold LOFD or SPAL for a year?
Both reset every day, so the multiple in the name applies to a single day and the daily results compound. Over a year the total is not the multiple times the year’s move, and in a market that falls and comes back it is reliably less. ETFIQ makes no recommendation either way.
Which is cheaper, LOFD or SPAL?
LOFD charges 0.97% a year and SPAL charges 1.50%, so LOFD is cheaper. Fees come from each fund's prospectus.
Cite this page

ETFIQ, LOFD against SPAL, data as of Sep 30, 2026. https://etfiq.com/compare/leverage/lofd-vs-spal

Open data

Free to use with attribution. Every figure is calculated from a named public source; the method is at etfiq.com/methodology.