SIJ vs XLIX: which held to its multiple?

Over three months against its own daily promise, SIJ finished 2.8 points over and XLIX 2.1 points short. ProShares UltraShort Industrials and Corgi U.S. Industrials 2x Daily ETF.

+20.9%
SIJ returned, 3 months
−19.2%
XLIX returned, 3 months
+3.5 pts
SIJ from its stated multiple
−1.8 pts
XLIX from its stated multiple
SIJ · 3 months to Sep 30, 20263.5 pts ahead of its stated multiple
3.5 pts ahead of its stated multipleSIJ returned +20.9% while −2 times XLI's move would have been +17.4%XLI −8.7% ×−2 implies+17.4%SIJ returned+20.9%3.5 pts ahead of its stated multipleSIJ returned +20.9% while −2 times XLI's move would have been +17.4%XLI −8.7% ×−2 implies+17.4%SIJ returned+20.9%

SIJ returned +20.9% while −2 times XLI's move would have been +17.4%

XLIX · 3 months to Sep 30, 20261.8 pts short of its stated multiple
1.8 pts short of its stated multipleXLIX returned −19.2% while 2 times XLI's move would have been −17.4%XLI −8.7% ×2 implies−17.4%XLIX returned−19.2%1.8 pts short of its stated multipleXLIX returned −19.2% while 2 times XLI's move would have been −17.4%XLI −8.7% ×2 implies−17.4%XLIX returned−19.2%

XLIX returned −19.2% while 2 times XLI's move would have been −17.4%

ETFIQ Decay Resistance Score · SIJ scores higherDid it keep up with its own daily multiple, compounded day by day?

SIJ among the 125 inverse ETFs over three months

SIJ 80.4
0.4, the lowest in this set99.6, the highest

XLIX among the 470 leveraged ETFs, long, over three months

XLIX 66.3
0.1, the lowest in this set99.9, the highest

A percentile among the 125 inverse ETFs over three months. XLIX is a percentile among the 470 leveraged ETFs, long, over three months, a different set, so the two marks are not on one scale. It is a position in a set, not a rating, and neither end of it is a recommendation. All leveraged ETFs ranked by it → How it is computed →

Performance, window by window

Total returnMultiple would giveDifference
WindowSIJXLIXSIJXLIXSIJXLIX
1 month+9.7%−9.3%+8.8%−8.8%+0.9 pts−0.6 pts
3 months+20.9%−19.2%+17.4%−17.4%+3.5 pts−1.8 pts
6 months−3.8%not published−4.1%not published+0.3 ptsnot published
1 year−15.5%not published−19.0%not published+3.5 ptsnot published
3 years−62.5%not published−143.4%not published+80.8 ptsnot published
Since launch
SIJ Jan 2010 · XLIX Jun 2026
−99.6%−11.1%not meaningful−7.1%not meaningful−3.9 pts

SIJ and XLIX over each window. Every figure is an ETFIQ calculation with distributions reinvested. Source: ETFIQ. Open the live comparison on ETFIQ →

On the same fields

SIJ
ProShares UltraShort Industrials · Aims to return twice the opposite of the daily move of State Street Industrial Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLI)
XLIX
Corgi U.S. Industrials 2x Daily ETF · Aims to return twice the daily move of State Street Industrial Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLI)
Issuer ProShares Corgi
Sets out to return -2x +2x
Underlying asset XLI XLI
Segment sector sector
Fund returned, 3 months or since launch +20.9% −19.2%
Underlying returned, over that window −8.7% −8.7%
What the stated multiple implies, over that window +17.4% −17.4%
Difference from stated, over that window +3.5 pts −1.8 pts
Fund returned, 1 year or since launch −15.5% −11.1%
Difference from stated, over that window +3.5 pts −3.9 pts
Underlying volatility 14% 14%
Difference over the days both have traded no shared window −1.8 pts
Expense ratio 0.95% 0.45%
Launched Jan 4, 2010 Jun 3, 2026
Net assets $7m $442,906

SIJ and XLIX on the same fields, as of Sep 30, 2026. Source: ETFIQ.

SIJ in plain words

Three months to Sep 30, 2026: SIJ returned +20.9% where its own daily promise gave +18.0%, 2.8 points over. Read the multiple against the whole window instead and −2 times XLI's −8.7% implies +17.4%, which makes SIJ look 3.5 points over. 0.7 of that is daily compounding, which happens to any −2 times fund over the same path, and the rest is the fund. SIJ aims to return -2 times XLI's move each day, then resets. Over one day it does that. Over longer, the daily results compound, so the total is not -2 times the period's move: in a market that falls and comes back it is reliably less, and in a steady run it can be more. XLI moved at 14% annualized over that window. That is what decides how far the two figures separate: the same fund on a calm underlying and a violent one is a different product.

XLIX in plain words

Three months to Sep 30, 2026: XLIX returned −19.2% where its own daily promise gave −17.1%, 2.1 points short. Read the multiple against the whole window instead and 2 times XLI's −8.7% implies −17.4%, which makes XLIX look 1.8 points short. 0.3 of that is daily compounding, which happens to any 2 times fund over the same path, and the rest is the fund. XLIX aims to return +2 times XLI's move each day, then resets. Over longer, the daily results compound, so the total is not +2 times the period's move: in a market that falls and comes back it is reliably less, and in a steady run it can be more.

Questions people ask

Which came closer to its stated multiple, SIJ or XLIX?
Over the window to Sep 30, 2026, SIJ finished 3.5 points from what its multiple implies and XLIX finished 1.8 points from its own, so XLIX came closer. Neither figure predicts the next window: it depends on how much the underlying moves about.
Are SIJ and XLIX levered on the same thing?
Yes. Both are levered on State Street Industrial Select Sector SPDR ETF, SIJ at -2 times and XLIX at +2 times the daily move.
Which one decays faster, SIJ or XLIX?
Decay follows how much the underlying moves about. Over this window SIJ’s moved at 14% annualized and XLIX’s at 14%, so SIJ has the rougher ride and, at the same multiple, loses more to compounding.
Can I hold SIJ or XLIX for a year?
Both reset every day, so the multiple in the name applies to a single day and the daily results compound. Over a year the total is not the multiple times the year’s move, and in a market that falls and comes back it is reliably less. ETFIQ makes no recommendation either way.
Which is cheaper, SIJ or XLIX?
SIJ charges 0.95% a year and XLIX charges 0.45%, so XLIX is cheaper. Fees come from each fund's prospectus.
Cite this page

ETFIQ, SIJ against XLIX, data as of Sep 30, 2026. https://etfiq.com/compare/leverage/sij-vs-xlix

Open data

Free to use with attribution. Every figure is calculated from a named public source; the method is at etfiq.com/methodology.