LOFF vs SPCQ: which held to its multiple?

Over three months against its own daily promise, LOFF finished 3.7 points short and SPCQ 6.0 points short. Direxion Daily SpaceX Bull 2X ETF and Defiance Daily Target 2X Short [SpaceX] ETF.

−22.3%
LOFF returned, 3 months
−31.1%
SPCQ returned, 3 months
−13.9 pts
LOFF from its stated multiple
−39.6 pts
SPCQ from its stated multiple
LOFF · 3 months to Sep 30, 202613.9 pts short of its stated multiple
13.9 pts short of its stated multipleLOFF returned −22.3% while 2 times SPCX's move would have been −8.5%SPCX −4.2% ×2 implies−8.5%LOFF returned−22.3%13.9 pts short of its stated multipleLOFF returned −22.3% while 2 times SPCX's move would have been −8.5%SPCX −4.2% ×2 implies−8.5%LOFF returned−22.3%

LOFF returned −22.3% while 2 times SPCX's move would have been −8.5%

SPCQ · 3 months to Sep 30, 202639.6 pts short of its stated multiple
39.6 pts short of its stated multipleSPCQ returned −31.1% while −2 times SPCX's move would have been +8.5%SPCX −4.2% ×−2 implies+8.5%SPCQ returned−31.1%39.6 pts short of its stated multipleSPCQ returned −31.1% while −2 times SPCX's move would have been +8.5%SPCX −4.2% ×−2 implies+8.5%SPCQ returned−31.1%

SPCQ returned −31.1% while −2 times SPCX's move would have been +8.5%

ETFIQ Decay Resistance Score · LOFF scores higherDid it keep up with its own daily multiple, compounded day by day?

LOFF among the 470 leveraged ETFs, long, over three months

LOFF 27.8
0.1, the lowest in this set99.9, the highest

SPCQ among the 125 inverse ETFs over three months

SPCQ 4.4
0.4, the lowest in this set99.6, the highest

A percentile among the 470 leveraged ETFs, long, over three months. SPCQ is a percentile among the 125 inverse ETFs over three months, a different set, so the two marks are not on one scale. It is a position in a set, not a rating, and neither end of it is a recommendation. All leveraged ETFs ranked by it → How it is computed →

Performance, window by window

Total returnMultiple would giveDifference
WindowLOFFSPCQLOFFSPCQLOFFSPCQ
1 month+7.7%−14.6%+10.0%−10.0%−2.3 pts−4.7 pts
3 months−22.3%−31.1%−8.5%+8.5%−13.9 pts−39.6 pts
Since launch
LOFF Jun 2026 · SPCQ Jun 2026
−51.4%−12.4%−43.3%+43.3%−8.1 pts−55.7 pts

LOFF and SPCQ over each window. Every figure is an ETFIQ calculation with distributions reinvested. Source: ETFIQ. Open the live comparison on ETFIQ →

On the same fields

LOFF
Direxion Daily SpaceX Bull 2X ETF · Aims to return twice the daily move of Space Exploration Technologies (SPCX)
SPCQ
Defiance Daily Target 2X Short [SpaceX] ETF · Aims to return twice the opposite of the daily move of Space Exploration Technologies (SPCX)
Issuer Direxion Defiance
Sets out to return +2x -2x
Underlying asset SPCX SPCX
Segment company company
Fund returned, 3 months or since launch −22.3% −31.1%
Underlying returned, over that window −4.2% −4.2%
What the stated multiple implies, over that window −8.5% +8.5%
Difference from stated, over that window −13.9 pts −39.6 pts
Fund returned, 1 year or since launch −51.4% −12.4%
Difference from stated, over that window −8.1 pts −55.7 pts
Underlying volatility 70% 70%
Difference over the days both have traded −13.9 pts −4.7 pts
Expense ratio 0.97% 1.31%
Launched Jun 15, 2026 Jun 15, 2026
Net assets $77m $11m

LOFF and SPCQ on the same fields, as of Sep 30, 2026. Source: ETFIQ.

LOFF in plain words

Three months to Sep 30, 2026: LOFF returned −22.3% where its own daily promise gave −18.6%, 3.7 points short. Read the multiple against the whole window instead and 2 times SPCX's −4.2% implies −8.5%, which makes LOFF look 13.9 points short. 10.2 of that is daily compounding, which happens to any 2 times fund over the same path, and the rest is the fund. LOFF aims to return +2 times SPCX's move each day, then resets. Over one day it does that. Over longer, the daily results compound, so the total is not +2 times the period's move: in a market that falls and comes back it is reliably less, and in a steady run it can be more. SPCX moved at 70% annualized over that window. That is what decides how far the two figures separate: the same fund on a calm underlying and a violent one is a different product.

SPCQ in plain words

Three months to Sep 30, 2026: SPCQ returned −31.1% where its own daily promise gave −25.1%, 6.0 points short. Read the multiple against the whole window instead and −2 times SPCX's −4.2% implies +8.5%, which makes SPCQ look 39.6 points short. 33.6 of that is daily compounding, which happens to any −2 times fund over the same path, and the rest is the fund. SPCQ aims to return -2 times SPCX's move each day, then resets. Over longer, the daily results compound, so the total is not -2 times the period's move: in a market that falls and comes back it is reliably less, and in a steady run it can be more.

Questions people ask

Which came closer to its stated multiple, LOFF or SPCQ?
Over the window to Sep 30, 2026, LOFF finished 13.9 points from what its multiple implies and SPCQ finished 39.6 points from its own, so LOFF came closer. Neither figure predicts the next window: it depends on how much the underlying moves about.
Are LOFF and SPCQ levered on the same thing?
Yes. Both are levered on Space Exploration Technologies, LOFF at +2 times and SPCQ at -2 times the daily move.
Which one decays faster, LOFF or SPCQ?
Decay follows how much the underlying moves about. Over this window LOFF’s moved at 70% annualized and SPCQ’s at 70%, so LOFF has the rougher ride and, at the same multiple, loses more to compounding.
Can I hold LOFF or SPCQ for a year?
Both reset every day, so the multiple in the name applies to a single day and the daily results compound. Over a year the total is not the multiple times the year’s move, and in a market that falls and comes back it is reliably less. ETFIQ makes no recommendation either way.
Which is cheaper, LOFF or SPCQ?
LOFF charges 0.97% a year and SPCQ charges 1.31%, so LOFF is cheaper. Fees come from each fund's prospectus.
Cite this page

ETFIQ, LOFF against SPCQ, data as of Sep 30, 2026. https://etfiq.com/compare/leverage/loff-vs-spcq

Open data

Free to use with attribution. Every figure is calculated from a named public source; the method is at etfiq.com/methodology.