Data as of Nov 4, 2026.
CAOS vs HEGD: Correlation to the S&P 500
Over the year to Nov 4, 2026, CAOS moved less with the S&P 500 than HEGD: correlation −0.15 against +0.98.
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Net assets: $728m on Nov 3, 2026 for Alpha Architect Tail Risk ETF, and $735m on Aug 31, 2026 for Swan Hedged Equity US Large Cap ETF.
CAOS in the 26 weeks SPY fell, year to Nov 4, 2026: SPY averaged −1.07%, CAOS +0.04%.
HEGD in the 26 weeks SPY fell, year to Nov 4, 2026: SPY averaged −1.07%, HEGD −0.76%.
Pair scorecard
CAOS costs 0.24 points a year less; their one-year returns differ by 5.5 points.
| Measure | CAOS | HEGD |
|---|---|---|
| Return | ||
| Total return, 1 year | +1.3% | +6.8% |
| Against its benchmark | ||
| Treasury bills, 52 weeks | +3.7% | |
| Cost and size | ||
| Expense ratio | 0.63% | 0.87% |
| Net assets, CAOS as of Nov 3, 2026 and HEGD as of Aug 31, 2026 | $728m | $735m |
| Holdings | ||
| Holdings in common | not published | |
| Risk | ||
| Beta to the S&P 500 | −0.01: about 0.01% for each 1% | +0.66: about 0.66% for each 1% |
| Its average week when the S&P 500 fell | rose 0.04% | fell 0.76% |
How much it diversifies a stock portfolio, ranked against 22 equity hedged alternatives ETFs with a full year. 100 is best. How it is computed
One year of weekly moves against the S&P 500, within one strategy; it ignores what the fund returned. All alternatives ETFs ranked by it →
Risk and return
Mar 17, 2023 to Oct 30, 2026 · 189 weekly returnsFrom Mar 2023 to Oct 2026, HEGD returned more: +56.7% to +21.5%. CAOS swung less: 2.7% to 7.8%. CAOS fell less at its worst: −2.5% to −7.1%.
Full scorecard
9 measures, with how each is measured Open ↓
| Measure | CAOS | HEGD | Edge | How it is measured |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Return | ||||
| Total return | +21.5% | +56.7% | HEGD | Price change plus distributions, reinvested. |
| Annualized | +5.5% | +13.2% | HEGD | Total return as a yearly rate. |
| Price return | +21.5% | +54.9% | HEGD | Price change alone, distributions left out. |
| Risk | ||||
| Volatility | 2.7% | 7.8% | CAOS | Spread of weekly returns, annualized. Lower is steadier. |
| Downside deviation | 1.4% | 4.9% | CAOS | Like volatility, counting only weeks below the Treasury bill rate. |
| Max drawdown | −2.5% | −7.1% | CAOS | Deepest fall from a high to the low after it. |
| Risk-adjusted | ||||
| Sharpe | 0.29 | 1.04 | HEGD | Return above Treasury bills per unit of volatility. |
| Sortino | 0.56 | 1.67 | HEGD | Return above Treasury bills per unit of downside deviation. |
| Calmar | 2.23 | 1.86 | CAOS | Annualized return divided by the max drawdown. |
Computed by ETFIQ from Tiingo daily prices and ETFIQ's distribution records, 189 weekly returns. Cash rate: the 13-week Treasury bill.
Window by window
| Total return | vs its benchmark | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Window | CAOS | HEGD | CAOS | HEGD |
| 3 months | +1.0% | −1.2% | not measured | −1.1 pts vs VOO |
| 6 months | +0.8% | +1.6% | not measured | −3.4 pts vs VOO |
| 1 year | +1.3% | +6.8% | not measured | −8.0 pts vs VOO |
| 3 years | +10.5% | +49.5% | not measured | −33.8 pts vs VOO |
| Since launchNot the same days: CAOS Mar 2023 · HEGD Dec 2020 | +18.5% | +66.7% | not measured | −59.3 pts vs VOO |
Side by side
As of Nov 4, 2026. Source: ETFIQ.
One strategy, two funds
CAOS and HEGD both run a hedged equity strategy. Over the same 52 weeks to Nov 4, 2026, CAOS’s weekly returns had a correlation of −0.15 with the S&P 500 and HEGD’s +0.98. In the 26 weeks the index fell, by 1.07% a week on average, CAOS averaged +0.04% and HEGD −0.76%. Over the same weeks, CAOS finished 2.3 percentage points behind cash and HEGD finished 3.2 points ahead of cash.
Client brief:
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CAOS
CAOS is a hedged equity fund. ETFIQ measures what every alternatives fund is sold on: whether it moves differently from the stock market. Over the year to Nov 4, 2026, its weekly returns had a correlation of −0.15 with the S&P 500’s and a beta of −0.01, so for each 1% the index moved it moved about 0.01% the other way. The S&P 500 fell in 26 of those 52 weeks, by 1.07% on average. In the same weeks CAOS rose 0.04% on average, a down-week capture of −3.3%. Over the same 52 weeks CAOS returned +1.3% and a Treasury bill fund +3.7%, so it finished 2.3 percentage points behind cash.
HEGD
HEGD is a hedged equity fund. Over the year to Nov 4, 2026, its weekly returns had a correlation of +0.98 with the S&P 500’s and a beta of +0.66, so for each 1% the index moved it moved about 0.66% the same way. In the same weeks HEGD fell 0.76% on average, a down-week capture of 71.4%. Over the same 52 weeks HEGD returned +6.8% and a Treasury bill fund +3.7%, so it finished 3.2 percentage points ahead of cash.
Questions people ask
- Which moved less with the S&P 500, CAOS or HEGD?
- Over the 52 weeks to Nov 4, 2026, CAOS’s weekly returns had a correlation of −0.15 with the S&P 500 and HEGD’s +0.98, so CAOS moved less with the index.
- Which did better when the S&P 500 fell, CAOS or HEGD?
- In the 26 weeks the S&P 500 fell, by 1.07% a week on average, CAOS averaged +0.04% and HEGD −0.76%, so CAOS returned more in those weeks.
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How this is computed
It is a place in a set, not a rating or a recommendation.
Every number is an ETFIQ calculation with distributions reinvested.
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ETFIQ, CAOS against HEGD, data as of Nov 4, 2026. https://etfiq.com/compare/alternatives/caos-vs-hegd
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