There Will Not Be A Recession in 2026: ETFs filed
As of Oct 9, 2026, 2 funds have been filed on one question: whether the Recession Indicator is not triggered.
Each holds event contracts that settle at $1.00 if that happens and $0.00 if it does not, so a holder on the wrong side of it ends with close to nothing. None of these funds trades, and the filings are marked Subject to Completion. The earliest of these filings can go effective on Oct 31, 2026, the date Bitwise has asked for after a delay it filed. An issuer can push that date back with a further filing, and going effective is not the same as starting to trade.
The outcomes, both sides
Each card is one question. Funds on the left pay if the first side happens; funds on the right pay if the other does.
Every fund filed, as a table
There Will Not Be A Recession in 2026: ETFs filed, as of Sep 25, 2026. Source: ETFIQ.| Issuer | Fund | Ticker | Settles at $1.00 if | Filed |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitwise | PredictionShares There Will Not Be A Recession in 2026 | not assigned | the Recession Indicator is not triggered | Apr 23, 2026 |
| Roundhill | RPM Recession No ETF | not assigned | the Recession Indicator is not triggered | Apr 24, 2026 |
Questions people ask
- Is there an ETF for there will not be a recession in 2026?
- Not yet. 2 funds have been filed on it, by 2 issuers, and none of them trades.
- How would it pay?
- It holds event contracts that settle at $1.00 if the Recession Indicator is not triggered, and at $0.00 if that does not happen. A holder on the wrong side ends with close to nothing.
- When could these funds launch?
- No launch date has been announced. As of Oct 9, 2026 the filings ask to take effect on these dates: Bitwise, Oct 31, 2026; Roundhill, Nov 1, 2026. Issuers often push these dates back with a further filing, and going effective is not the same as starting to trade.
- Is there a fund for the other side?
- Yes. There Will Be A Recession in 2026 is the same question the other way round, and it has its own filings.
Every name, date and figure on this page is read from the registration statements above. Where a filing leaves a value blank, this page says so rather than showing a placeholder. None of these funds trades, so there are no prices, fees or returns here.
ETFIQ links to the documents behind every figure; a link is not an endorsement. ETFIQ is an independent publisher and makes no recommendations; every figure is calculated from published data. Standards and sources
ETFIQ, There Will Not Be A Recession in 2026: ETFs filed, data as of Sep 25, 2026. https://etfiq.com/prediction-markets/there-will-not-be-a-recession-in-2026/
ETFIQ. (Sep 25, 2026). There Will Not Be A Recession in 2026: ETFs filed. Retrieved from https://etfiq.com/prediction-markets/there-will-not-be-a-recession-in-2026/
[There Will Not Be A Recession in 2026: ETFs filed (ETFIQ, Sep 25, 2026)](https://etfiq.com/prediction-markets/there-will-not-be-a-recession-in-2026/)
Free to use with attribution for figures ETFIQ computes; issuer data stays under its owner's terms. The underlying files are at Open data.