Recession and tech layoffs prediction ETFs filed
As of Oct 9, 2026, 8 recession and tech layoffs prediction market funds have been filed with the SEC by 2 issuers, and none of them trades.
Their filings have been pushed back 12 times. The earliest of these filings can go effective on Oct 31, 2026, the date Bitwise has asked for after a delay it filed. An issuer can push that date back with a further filing, and going effective is not the same as starting to trade.
Every fund filed, as a table
Recession and tech layoffs prediction ETFs filed, as of Sep 25, 2026. Source: ETFIQ.| Outcome | Issuer | Fund | Ticker | Filed | Can go effective |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fewer Tech Layoffs in 2026 Than 2025 | Bitwise | PredictionShares Fewer Tech Layoffs in 2026 Than 2025 | not assigned | Apr 23, 2026 | Oct 31, 2026 |
| More Tech Layoffs in 2026 Than 2025 | Bitwise | PredictionShares More Tech Layoffs in 2026 Than 2025 | not assigned | Apr 23, 2026 | Oct 31, 2026 |
| There Will Not Be A Recession in 2026 | Roundhill | RPM Recession No ETF | not assigned | Apr 24, 2026 | Nov 1, 2026 |
| There Will Be A Recession in 2026 | Roundhill | RPM Recession Yes ETF | not assigned | Apr 24, 2026 | Nov 1, 2026 |
| Fewer Tech Layoffs in 2026 Than 2025 | Roundhill | RPM Tech Layoffs Down ETF | not assigned | Apr 24, 2026 | Nov 1, 2026 |
| More Tech Layoffs in 2026 Than 2025 | Roundhill | RPM Tech Layoffs Up ETF | not assigned | Apr 24, 2026 | Nov 1, 2026 |
| There Will Be A Recession in 2026 | Bitwise | PredictionShares There Will Be A Recession in 2026 | not assigned | Apr 23, 2026 | Oct 31, 2026 |
| There Will Not Be A Recession in 2026 | Bitwise | PredictionShares There Will Not Be A Recession in 2026 | not assigned | Apr 23, 2026 | Oct 31, 2026 |
Questions people ask
- Is there a recession and tech layoffs ETF?
- Not one that trades. As of Oct 9, 2026, 8 recession and tech layoffs prediction market funds have been filed with the SEC by 2 issuers (Bitwise, Roundhill), and none of them trades yet.
- When will recession and tech layoffs prediction ETFs launch?
- No launch date has been announced. As of Oct 9, 2026 the filings ask to take effect on these dates: Bitwise, Oct 31, 2026; Roundhill, Nov 1, 2026. Issuers often push these dates back with a further filing, and going effective is not the same as starting to trade.
- How would these funds pay?
- Each holds event contracts that settle at $1.00 if the stated outcome happens and $0.00 if it does not, so a holder on the wrong side ends with close to nothing.
Every name, date and figure on this page is read from the registration statements above. Where a filing leaves a value blank, this page says so rather than showing a placeholder. None of these funds trades, so there are no prices, fees or returns here.
ETFIQ links to the documents behind every figure; a link is not an endorsement. ETFIQ is an independent publisher and makes no recommendations; every figure is calculated from published data. Standards and sources
ETFIQ, Recession and tech layoffs prediction ETFs filed, data as of Sep 25, 2026. https://etfiq.com/prediction-markets/economy/
ETFIQ. (Sep 25, 2026). Recession and tech layoffs prediction ETFs filed. Retrieved from https://etfiq.com/prediction-markets/economy/
[Recession and tech layoffs prediction ETFs filed (ETFIQ, Sep 25, 2026)](https://etfiq.com/prediction-markets/economy/)
Free to use with attribution for figures ETFIQ computes; issuer data stays under its owner's terms. The underlying files are at Open data.