As of Nov 3, 2026. Rebuilt every trading night.
UST daily tracking
Over the 90 days to Nov 4, 2026, UST missed two times 7-10 Year Treasury's daily return by 2.3 basis points a day on average, on its NAV.
All 8
8 of 8 · click a column to sort| # | Window | Read on | Average daily miss, bp | Signed average, bp | Tracking error | Up days, bp | Down days, bp | Up less down, bp | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 days to Nov 4, 2026: 20 of 22 days, from Oct 7, 2026 | NAV (stated) | 2.5 | −1.4 | 0.51% | −1.6 (13 days) | −1.2 (7 days) | −0.4 | Not enough days | |
| 30 days to Nov 4, 2026, 22 daily returns | closing price | 9.3 | −1.6 | 1.78% | 0.0 (14 days) | −4.6 (8 days) | +4.6 | Not enough days | |
| 90 days to Nov 4, 2026: 60 of 63 days, from Aug 7, 2026 | NAV (stated) | 2.3 | −1.5 | 0.43% | −1.4 (28 days) | −1.6 (32 days) | +0.1 | Not significant (t 0.2) | |
| 90 days to Nov 4, 2026, 63 daily returns | closing price | 8.2 | −1.8 | 1.56% | −2.4 (29 days) | −1.4 (34 days) | −1.0 | Not significant (t −0.4) | |
| 180 days to Nov 4, 2026: 121 of 124 days, from May 11, 2026 | NAV (stated) | 2.7 | −1.5 | 0.66% | −1.4 (61 days) | −1.6 (60 days) | +0.3 | Not significant (t 0.4) | |
| 180 days to Nov 4, 2026, 124 daily returns | closing price | 8.6 | −1.6 | 1.93% | −1.8 (61 days) | −1.3 (62 days) | −0.4 | Not significant (t −0.2) | |
| 1 year to Nov 4, 2026: 246 of 251 days, from Nov 5, 2025 | NAV (stated) | 2.4 | −1.5 | 0.53% | −1.4 (121 days) | −1.7 (125 days) | +0.3 | Not significant (t 0.7) | |
| 1 year to Nov 4, 2026, 251 daily returns | closing price | 7.1 | −1.6 | 1.55% | −2.5 (122 days) | −0.7 (126 days) | −1.8 | Not significant (t −1.4) |
UST's largest daily misses
The 5 days UST strayed furthest from its daily target in the 1 year to Nov 4, 2026, each on its NAV where ETFIQ holds it, else its closing price.
| # | Day | Read on | 7-10 Year Treasury moved | Target | UST returned | Miss |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nov 4, 2026 | closing price | +0.55% | +1.10% | +0.88% | −0.22 pts |
| 2 | May 22, 2026 | NAV | +0.08% | +0.16% | −0.05% | −0.21 pts |
| 3 | Jul 2, 2026 | NAV | +0.08% | +0.16% | −0.04% | −0.21 pts |
| 4 | May 26, 2026 | NAV | +0.41% | +0.83% | +0.99% | +0.16 pts |
| 5 | Oct 6, 2026 | closing price | +0.23% | +0.46% | +0.62% | +0.15 pts |
The daily miss is UST's return each day less two times 7-10 Year Treasury's return that day. A basis point is a hundredth of a percentage point. Each window is read twice where ETFIQ holds both NAVs: on NAVs, and on closing prices. UST ranks 14 of 494 2x leveraged ETFs on its 90-day average daily miss. Up days and down days split the miss by whether 7-10 Year Treasury rose or fell; Significant means the gap is at least two standard errors from zero. The average miss carries its sign: a negative one is what the fund kept below its target each day, its fees and financing among it. 7-10 Year Treasury is itself an ETF, so its own fee and tracking are inside the miss. 2 NAV days were held out, where the NAV and the closing price disagreed about the day: Nov 11, 2025, Nov 12, 2025.
The rest of the method
Not every fund here has traded for a year, and a number over eight months does not order against one over twelve. This page lists each fund with its window and dates instead of ranking them. It becomes a ranking on the night four of them share a full year. Every window ETFIQ can measure for UST is listed.
Links are sources, not endorsements. A ranking is not a recommendation or an opinion.
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ETFIQ, UST daily tracking, listed by window, data as of Nov 3, 2026. https://etfiq.com/funds/ust/tracking/
ETFIQ. (Nov 3, 2026). UST daily tracking, listed by window. Retrieved from https://etfiq.com/funds/ust/tracking/
[UST daily tracking, listed by window (ETFIQ, Nov 3, 2026)](https://etfiq.com/funds/ust/tracking/)
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