Data as of Oct 27, 2026.
TAIL vs TOAK: Correlation to the S&P 500
Over the year to Oct 27, 2026, TAIL moved less with the S&P 500 than TOAK: correlation −0.67 against +0.17.
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askIQ about TAIL and TOAKNet assets: $147m on Jul 31, 2026 for Cambria Tail Risk ETF, and $90m on May 31, 2026 for Manager Directed Portfolios Twin Oak Short Horizon Absolute Return ETF.
TAIL in the 25 weeks SPY fell, year to Oct 27, 2026: SPY averaged −1.10%, TAIL +0.09%.
TOAK in the 25 weeks SPY fell, year to Oct 27, 2026: SPY averaged −1.10%, TOAK −0.02%.
Pair scorecard
TOAK costs 0.34 points a year less; their one-year returns differ by 17.0 points.
| Measure | TAIL | TOAK |
|---|---|---|
| Return | ||
| Total return, 1 year | −13.4% | +3.6% |
| Against its benchmark | ||
| Treasury bills, 52 weeks | +3.7% | |
| Cost and size | ||
| Expense ratio | 0.60% | 0.26% |
| Net assets, TAIL as of Jul 31, 2026 and TOAK as of May 31, 2026 | $147m | $90m |
| Holdings | ||
| Holdings in common | not published | |
| Risk | ||
| Beta to the S&P 500 | −0.34: about 0.34% for each 1% | +0.04: about 0.04% for each 1% |
| Its average week when the S&P 500 fell | rose 0.09% | fell 0.02% |
How much it diversifies a stock portfolio, ranked against 22 equity hedged alternatives ETFs with a full year. 100 is best. How it is computed
A percentile among the 22 equity hedged alternatives ETFs with a full year. One year of weekly moves against the S&P 500, within one strategy; it ignores what the fund returned. All alternatives ETFs ranked by it →
Window by window
| Total return | vs its benchmark | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Window | TAIL | TOAK | TAIL | TOAK |
| 3 months | −4.8% | +0.9% | −9.0 pts vs VOO | not measured |
| 6 months | −8.7% | +1.8% | −17.4 pts vs VOO | not measured |
| 1 year | −13.4% | +3.6% | −27.0 pts vs VOO | not measured |
| 3 years | −17.4% | – | −112.2 pts vs VOO | – |
| Since launchNot the same days: TAIL Jun 2017 · TOAK Aug 2024 | −51.8% | +8.9% | −318.6 pts vs VOO | not measured |
Source: ETFIQ. – means no data for this window. Open this comparison in the app →
Side by side
As of Oct 27, 2026. Source: ETFIQ.
One strategy, two funds
TAIL and TOAK both run a hedged equity strategy. Over the same 52 weeks to Oct 27, 2026, TAIL’s weekly returns had a correlation of −0.67 with the S&P 500 and TOAK’s +0.17. In the 25 weeks the index fell, by 1.10% a week on average, TAIL averaged +0.09% and TOAK −0.02%. Over the same weeks, TAIL finished 17.2 percentage points behind cash and TOAK finished 0.1 points behind cash.
TAIL
TAIL is a hedged equity fund. ETFIQ measures what every alternatives fund is sold on: whether it moves differently from the stock market. Over the year to Oct 27, 2026, its weekly returns had a correlation of −0.67 with the S&P 500’s and a beta of −0.34, so for each 1% the index moved it moved about 0.34% the other way. The S&P 500 fell in 25 of those 52 weeks, by 1.10% on average. In the same weeks TAIL rose 0.09% on average, a down-week capture of −8.5%. Over the same 52 weeks TAIL returned −13.6% and a Treasury bill fund +3.7%, so it finished 17.2 percentage points behind cash.
TOAK
TOAK is a hedged equity fund. Over the year to Oct 27, 2026, its weekly returns had a correlation of +0.17 with the S&P 500’s and a beta of +0.04, so for each 1% the index moved it moved about 0.04% the same way. In the same weeks TOAK fell 0.02% on average, a down-week capture of 1.9%. Over the same 52 weeks TOAK returned +3.6% and a Treasury bill fund +3.7%, so it finished 0.1 percentage points behind cash.
Questions people ask
- Which moved less with the S&P 500, TAIL or TOAK?
- Over the 52 weeks to Oct 27, 2026, TAIL’s weekly returns had a correlation of −0.67 with the S&P 500 and TOAK’s +0.17, so TAIL moved less with the index.
- Which did better when the S&P 500 fell, TAIL or TOAK?
- In the 25 weeks the S&P 500 fell, by 1.10% a week on average, TAIL averaged +0.09% and TOAK −0.02%, so TAIL returned more in those weeks.
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How this is computed
It is a place in a set, not a rating or a recommendation.
Every number is an ETFIQ calculation with distributions reinvested.
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ETFIQ, TAIL against TOAK, data as of Oct 27, 2026. https://etfiq.com/compare/alternatives/tail-vs-toak
ETFIQ. (Oct 27, 2026). TAIL against TOAK. Retrieved from https://etfiq.com/compare/alternatives/tail-vs-toak
[TAIL against TOAK (ETFIQ, Oct 27, 2026)](https://etfiq.com/compare/alternatives/tail-vs-toak)
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