MUD vs MUZ: which held to its multiple?

Over three months against its own daily promise, MUD finished 1.6 points over and MUZ 3.1 points short. Direxion Daily MU Bear 1X ETF and Defiance Daily Target 2X Short MU ETF.

−14.5%
MUD returned, 3 months
−43.2%
MUZ returned, 3 months
−11.3 pts
MUD from its stated multiple
−36.8 pts
MUZ from its stated multiple
MUD · 3 months to Sep 30, 202611.3 pts short of its stated multiple
11.3 pts short of its stated multipleMUD returned −14.5% while −1 times MU's move would have been −3.2%MU +3.2% ×−1 implies−3.2%MUD returned−14.5%11.3 pts short of its stated multipleMUD returned −14.5% while −1 times MU's move would have been −3.2%MU +3.2% ×−1 implies−3.2%MUD returned−14.5%

MUD returned −14.5% while −1 times MU's move would have been −3.2%

MUZ · 3 months to Sep 30, 202636.8 pts short of its stated multiple
36.8 pts short of its stated multipleMUZ returned −43.2% while −2 times MU's move would have been −6.4%MU +3.2% ×−2 implies−6.4%MUZ returned−43.2%36.8 pts short of its stated multipleMUZ returned −43.2% while −2 times MU's move would have been −6.4%MU +3.2% ×−2 implies−6.4%MUZ returned−43.2%

MUZ returned −43.2% while −2 times MU's move would have been −6.4%

ETFIQ Decay Resistance Score · MUD scores higherDid it keep up with its own daily multiple, compounded day by day?
0.4, the lowest in this set99.6, the highest

A percentile among the 125 inverse ETFs over three months. It is a position in a set, not a rating, and neither end of it is a recommendation. All leveraged ETFs ranked by it → How it is computed →

Performance, window by window

Total returnMultiple would giveDifference
WindowMUDMUZMUDMUZMUDMUZ
1 month−11.7%−25.8%−11.1%−22.2%−0.6 pts−3.6 pts
3 months−14.5%−43.2%−3.2%−6.4%−11.3 pts−36.8 pts
6 months−76.7%not publishednot meaningfulnot publishednot meaningfulnot published
1 year−91.5%not publishednot meaningfulnot publishednot meaningfulnot published
Since launch
MUD Oct 2024 · MUZ Jun 2026
−96.0%−67.1%not meaningful−27.6%not meaningful−39.5 pts

MUD and MUZ over each window. Every figure is an ETFIQ calculation with distributions reinvested. Source: ETFIQ. Open the live comparison on ETFIQ →

On the same fields

MUD
Direxion Daily MU Bear 1X ETF · Aims to return 1 times the opposite of the daily move of Micron Technology (MU)
MUZ
Defiance Daily Target 2X Short MU ETF · Aims to return twice the opposite of the daily move of Micron Technology (MU)
Issuer Direxion Defiance
Sets out to return -1x -2x
Underlying asset MU MU
Segment company company
Fund returned, 3 months or since launch −14.5% −43.2%
Underlying returned, over that window +3.2% +3.2%
What the stated multiple implies, over that window −3.2% −6.4%
Difference from stated, over that window −11.3 pts −36.8 pts
Fund returned, 1 year or since launch −91.5% −67.1%
Difference from stated, over that window not available −39.5 pts
Underlying volatility 76% 76%
Expense ratio 1.02% 1.31%
Launched Oct 10, 2024 Jun 9, 2026
Net assets $31m $43m

MUD and MUZ on the same fields, as of Sep 30, 2026. Source: ETFIQ.

MUD in plain words

Three months to Sep 30, 2026: MUD returned −14.5% where its own daily promise gave −16.1%, 1.6 points over. Read the multiple against the whole window instead and −1 times MU's 3.2% implies −3.2%, which makes MUD look 11.3 points short. 12.9 of that is daily compounding, which happens to any −1 times fund over the same path, and the rest is the fund. MUD aims to return -1 times MU's move each day, then resets. Over one day it does that. Over longer, the daily results compound, so the total is not -1 times the period's move: in a market that falls and comes back it is reliably less, and in a steady run it can be more. MU moved at 76% annualized over that window. That is what decides how far the two figures separate: the same fund on a calm underlying and a violent one is a different product.

MUZ in plain words

Three months to Sep 30, 2026: MUZ returned −43.2% where its own daily promise gave −40.1%, 3.1 points short. Read the multiple against the whole window instead and −2 times MU's 3.2% implies −6.4%, which makes MUZ look 36.8 points short. 33.7 of that is daily compounding, which happens to any −2 times fund over the same path, and the rest is the fund. MUZ aims to return -2 times MU's move each day, then resets. Over longer, the daily results compound, so the total is not -2 times the period's move: in a market that falls and comes back it is reliably less, and in a steady run it can be more.

Questions people ask

Which came closer to its stated multiple, MUD or MUZ?
Over the window to Sep 30, 2026, MUD finished 11.3 points from what its multiple implies and MUZ finished 36.8 points from its own, so MUD came closer. Neither figure predicts the next window: it depends on how much the underlying moves about.
Are MUD and MUZ levered on the same thing?
Yes. Both are levered on Micron Technology, MUD at -1 times and MUZ at -2 times the daily move.
Which one decays faster, MUD or MUZ?
Decay follows how much the underlying moves about. Over this window MUD’s moved at 76% annualized and MUZ’s at 76%, so MUD has the rougher ride and, at the same multiple, loses more to compounding.
Can I hold MUD or MUZ for a year?
Both reset every day, so the multiple in the name applies to a single day and the daily results compound. Over a year the total is not the multiple times the year’s move, and in a market that falls and comes back it is reliably less. ETFIQ makes no recommendation either way.
Which is cheaper, MUD or MUZ?
MUD charges 1.02% a year and MUZ charges 1.31%, so MUD is cheaper. Fees come from each fund's prospectus.
Cite this page

ETFIQ, MUD against MUZ, data as of Sep 30, 2026. https://etfiq.com/compare/leverage/mud-vs-muz

Open data

Free to use with attribution. Every figure is calculated from a named public source; the method is at etfiq.com/methodology.