MUD vs MULL: which held to its multiple?

Over three months against its own daily promise, MUD finished 1.6 points over and MULL 5.1 points short. Direxion Daily MU Bear 1X ETF and GraniteShares 2x Long MU Daily ETF.

−14.5%
MUD returned, 3 months
−12.3%
MULL returned, 3 months
−11.3 pts
MUD from its stated multiple
−18.7 pts
MULL from its stated multiple
MUD · 3 months to Sep 30, 202611.3 pts short of its stated multiple
11.3 pts short of its stated multipleMUD returned −14.5% while −1 times MU's move would have been −3.2%MU +3.2% ×−1 implies−3.2%MUD returned−14.5%11.3 pts short of its stated multipleMUD returned −14.5% while −1 times MU's move would have been −3.2%MU +3.2% ×−1 implies−3.2%MUD returned−14.5%

MUD returned −14.5% while −1 times MU's move would have been −3.2%

MULL · 3 months to Sep 30, 202618.7 pts short of its stated multiple
18.7 pts short of its stated multipleMULL returned −12.3% while 2 times MU's move would have been +6.4%MU +3.2% ×2 implies+6.4%MULL returned−12.3%18.7 pts short of its stated multipleMULL returned −12.3% while 2 times MU's move would have been +6.4%MU +3.2% ×2 implies+6.4%MULL returned−12.3%

MULL returned −12.3% while 2 times MU's move would have been +6.4%

ETFIQ Decay Resistance Score · MUD scores higherDid it keep up with its own daily multiple, compounded day by day?

MUD among the 125 inverse ETFs over three months

MUD 49.2
0.4, the lowest in this set99.6, the highest

MULL among the 470 leveraged ETFs, long, over three months

MULL 13.5
0.1, the lowest in this set99.9, the highest

A percentile among the 125 inverse ETFs over three months. MULL is a percentile among the 470 leveraged ETFs, long, over three months, a different set, so the two marks are not on one scale. It is a position in a set, not a rating, and neither end of it is a recommendation. All leveraged ETFs ranked by it → How it is computed →

Performance, window by window

Total returnMultiple would giveDifference
WindowMUDMULLMUDMULLMUDMULL
1 month−11.7%+19.8%−11.1%+22.2%−0.6 pts−2.4 pts
3 months−14.5%−12.3%−3.2%+6.4%−11.3 pts−18.7 pts
6 months−76.7%+409.9%not meaningfulnot meaningfulnot meaningfulnot meaningful
1 year−91.5%+1674.5%not meaningfulnot meaningfulnot meaningfulnot meaningful
Since launch
MUD Oct 2024 · MULL Nov 2024
−96.0%+2717.1%not meaningfulnot meaningfulnot meaningfulnot meaningful

MUD and MULL over each window. Every figure is an ETFIQ calculation with distributions reinvested. Source: ETFIQ. Open the live comparison on ETFIQ →

On the same fields

MUD
Direxion Daily MU Bear 1X ETF · Aims to return 1 times the opposite of the daily move of Micron Technology (MU)
MULL
GraniteShares 2x Long MU Daily ETF · Aims to return twice the daily move of Micron Technology (MU)
Issuer Direxion GraniteShares
Sets out to return -1x +2x
Underlying asset MU MU
Segment company company
Fund returned, 3 months or since launch −14.5% −12.3%
Underlying returned, over that window +3.2% +3.2%
What the stated multiple implies, over that window −3.2% +6.4%
Difference from stated, over that window −11.3 pts −18.7 pts
Fund returned, 1 year or since launch −91.5% +1674.5%
Difference from stated, over that window not available not available
Underlying volatility 76% 76%
Difference over the days both have traded no shared window −2.4 pts
Expense ratio 1.02% 1.50%
Launched Oct 10, 2024 Nov 12, 2024
Net assets $31m $779m

MUD and MULL on the same fields, as of Sep 30, 2026. Source: ETFIQ.

MUD in plain words

Three months to Sep 30, 2026: MUD returned −14.5% where its own daily promise gave −16.1%, 1.6 points over. Read the multiple against the whole window instead and −1 times MU's 3.2% implies −3.2%, which makes MUD look 11.3 points short. 12.9 of that is daily compounding, which happens to any −1 times fund over the same path, and the rest is the fund. MUD aims to return -1 times MU's move each day, then resets. Over one day it does that. Over longer, the daily results compound, so the total is not -1 times the period's move: in a market that falls and comes back it is reliably less, and in a steady run it can be more. MU moved at 76% annualized over that window. That is what decides how far the two figures separate: the same fund on a calm underlying and a violent one is a different product.

MULL in plain words

Three months to Sep 30, 2026: MULL returned −12.3% where its own daily promise gave −7.2%, 5.1 points short. Read the multiple against the whole window instead and 2 times MU's 3.2% implies +6.4%, which makes MULL look 18.7 points short. 13.6 of that is daily compounding, which happens to any 2 times fund over the same path, and the rest is the fund. MULL aims to return +2 times MU's move each day, then resets. Over longer, the daily results compound, so the total is not +2 times the period's move: in a market that falls and comes back it is reliably less, and in a steady run it can be more.

Questions people ask

Which came closer to its stated multiple, MUD or MULL?
Over the window to Sep 30, 2026, MUD finished 11.3 points from what its multiple implies and MULL finished 18.7 points from its own, so MUD came closer. Neither figure predicts the next window: it depends on how much the underlying moves about.
Are MUD and MULL levered on the same thing?
Yes. Both are levered on Micron Technology, MUD at -1 times and MULL at +2 times the daily move.
Which one decays faster, MUD or MULL?
Decay follows how much the underlying moves about. Over this window MUD’s moved at 76% annualized and MULL’s at 76%, so MUD has the rougher ride and, at the same multiple, loses more to compounding.
Can I hold MUD or MULL for a year?
Both reset every day, so the multiple in the name applies to a single day and the daily results compound. Over a year the total is not the multiple times the year’s move, and in a market that falls and comes back it is reliably less. ETFIQ makes no recommendation either way.
Which is cheaper, MUD or MULL?
MUD charges 1.02% a year and MULL charges 1.50%, so MUD is cheaper. Fees come from each fund's prospectus.
Cite this page

ETFIQ, MUD against MULL, data as of Sep 30, 2026. https://etfiq.com/compare/leverage/mud-vs-mull

Open data

Free to use with attribution. Every figure is calculated from a named public source; the method is at etfiq.com/methodology.