MUD vs MUG: which held to its multiple?
Over a month against its own daily promise, MUD finished 0.1 points over and MUG 0.4 points over. Direxion Daily MU Bear 1X ETF and Leverage Shares 2X Long MU Daily ETF.
MUD returned −14.5% while −1 times MU's move would have been −3.2%
MUG returned +21.4% while 2 times MU's move would have been +22.2%
Performance, window by window
| Total return | Multiple would give | Difference | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Window | MUD | MUG | MUD | MUG | MUD | MUG |
| 1 month | −11.7% | +21.4% | −11.1% | +22.2% | −0.6 pts | −0.8 pts |
| 3 months | −14.5% | not published | −3.2% | not published | −11.3 pts | not published |
| 6 months | −76.7% | not published | not meaningful | not published | not meaningful | not published |
| 1 year | −91.5% | not published | not meaningful | not published | not meaningful | not published |
| Since launch MUD Oct 2024 · MUG Aug 2026 | −96.0% | +28.5% | not meaningful | +27.3% | not meaningful | +1.2 pts |
MUD and MUG over each window. Every figure is an ETFIQ calculation with distributions reinvested. Source: ETFIQ. Open the live comparison on ETFIQ →
On the same fields
MUD and MUG on the same fields, as of Sep 30, 2026. Source: ETFIQ.
MUD in plain words
Three months to Sep 30, 2026: MUD returned −14.5% where its own daily promise gave −16.1%, 1.6 points over. Read the multiple against the whole window instead and −1 times MU's 3.2% implies −3.2%, which makes MUD look 11.3 points short. 12.9 of that is daily compounding, which happens to any −1 times fund over the same path, and the rest is the fund. MUD aims to return -1 times MU's move each day, then resets. Over one day it does that. Over longer, the daily results compound, so the total is not -1 times the period's move: in a market that falls and comes back it is reliably less, and in a steady run it can be more. MU moved at 76% annualized over that window. That is what decides how far the two figures separate: the same fund on a calm underlying and a violent one is a different product.
MUG in plain words
One month to Sep 30, 2026: MUG returned +21.4% where its own daily promise gave +21.0%, 0.4 points over. Read the multiple against the whole window instead and 2 times MU's 11.1% implies +22.2%, which makes MUG look 0.8 points short. 1.2 of that is daily compounding, which happens to any 2 times fund over the same path, and the rest is the fund. MUG aims to return +2 times MU's move each day, then resets. Over longer, the daily results compound, so the total is not +2 times the period's move: in a market that falls and comes back it is reliably less, and in a steady run it can be more. MU moved at 49% annualized over that window.
Questions people ask
- Which came closer to its stated multiple, MUD or MUG?
- Over the window to Sep 30, 2026, MUD finished 11.3 points from what its multiple implies and MUG finished 0.8 points from its own, so MUG came closer. Neither figure predicts the next window: it depends on how much the underlying moves about.
- Are MUD and MUG levered on the same thing?
- Yes. Both are levered on Micron Technology, MUD at -1 times and MUG at +2 times the daily move.
- Which one decays faster, MUD or MUG?
- Decay follows how much the underlying moves about. Over this window MUD’s moved at 76% annualized and MUG’s at 49%, so MUD has the rougher ride and, at the same multiple, loses more to compounding.
- Can I hold MUD or MUG for a year?
- Both reset every day, so the multiple in the name applies to a single day and the daily results compound. Over a year the total is not the multiple times the year’s move, and in a market that falls and comes back it is reliably less. ETFIQ makes no recommendation either way.
ETFIQ links to the documents behind every figure. It is not affiliated with any issuer, and a link is not an endorsement. A comparison is not a recommendation.
ETFIQ, MUD against MUG, data as of Sep 30, 2026. https://etfiq.com/compare/leverage/mud-vs-mug
Free to use with attribution. Every figure is calculated from a named public source; the method is at etfiq.com/methodology.
Cite this page. ETFIQ, MUD against MUG, data as of Sep 30, 2026. https://etfiq.com/compare/leverage/mud-vs-mug Free to use with attribution; the underlying files are at Open data.
Other forms
- Plain
- ETFIQ, MUD against MUG, data as of Sep 30, 2026. https://etfiq.com/compare/leverage/mud-vs-mug
- APA
- ETFIQ. (Sep 30, 2026). MUD against MUG. Retrieved from https://etfiq.com/compare/leverage/mud-vs-mug
- Markdown
- [MUD against MUG (ETFIQ, Sep 30, 2026)](https://etfiq.com/compare/leverage/mud-vs-mug)