SPYU vs UPRO: which held to its multiple?

Over three months against its own daily promise, SPYU finished 6.9 points short and UPRO 2.6 points short. MAX S&P 500 4X Leveraged ETNs due October 30, 2043 and ProShares UltraPro S&P500.

+1.6%
SPYU returned, 3 months
+4.1%
UPRO returned, 3 months
−8.5 pts
SPYU from its stated multiple
−3.4 pts
UPRO from its stated multiple
SPYU · 3 months to Sep 30, 20268.5 pts short of its stated multiple
8.5 pts short of its stated multipleSPYU returned +1.6% while 4 times SPY's move would have been +10.1%SPY +2.5% ×4 implies+10.1%SPYU returned+1.6%8.5 pts short of its stated multipleSPYU returned +1.6% while 4 times SPY's move would have been +10.1%SPY +2.5% ×4 implies+10.1%SPYU returned+1.6%

SPYU returned +1.6% while 4 times SPY's move would have been +10.1%

UPRO · 3 months to Sep 30, 20263.4 pts short of its stated multiple
3.4 pts short of its stated multipleUPRO returned +4.1% while 3 times SPY's move would have been +7.6%SPY +2.5% ×3 implies+7.6%UPRO returned+4.1%3.4 pts short of its stated multipleUPRO returned +4.1% while 3 times SPY's move would have been +7.6%SPY +2.5% ×3 implies+7.6%UPRO returned+4.1%

UPRO returned +4.1% while 3 times SPY's move would have been +7.6%

ETFIQ Decay Resistance Score · UPRO scores higherDid it keep up with its own daily multiple, compounded day by day?
0.1, the lowest in this set99.9, the highest

A percentile among the 470 leveraged ETFs, long, over three months. It is a position in a set, not a rating, and neither end of it is a recommendation. All leveraged ETFs ranked by it → How it is computed →

Performance, window by window

Total returnMultiple would giveDifference
WindowSPYUUPROSPYUUPROSPYUUPRO
1 month−3.7%−2.0%−1.3%−1.0%−2.4 pts−1.0 pts
3 months+1.6%+4.1%+10.1%+7.6%−8.5 pts−3.4 pts
6 months+57.1%+48.8%+67.9%+50.9%−10.8 pts−2.1 pts
1 year+24.1%+33.0%+62.8%+47.1%−38.8 pts−14.1 pts
3 yearsnot published+267.2%not published+254.9%not published+12.3 pts
Since launch
SPYU Dec 2023 · UPRO Jan 2010
+170.4%+7040.0%+292.7%not meaningful−122.3 ptsnot meaningful

SPYU and UPRO over each window. Every figure is an ETFIQ calculation with distributions reinvested. Source: ETFIQ. Open the live comparison on ETFIQ →

On the same fields

SPYU
MAX S&P 500 4X Leveraged ETNs due October 30, 2043 · Aims to return 4 times the daily move of the S&P 500
UPRO
ProShares UltraPro S&P500 · Aims to return three times the daily move of the S&P 500
Issuer MAX ProShares
Sets out to return +4x +3x
Underlying asset SPY SPY
Segment us large cap us large cap
Fund returned, 3 months or since launch +1.6% +4.1%
Underlying returned, over that window +2.5% +2.5%
What the stated multiple implies, over that window +10.1% +7.6%
Difference from stated, over that window −8.5 pts −3.4 pts
Fund returned, 1 year or since launch +24.1% +33.0%
Difference from stated, over that window −38.8 pts −14.1 pts
Underlying volatility 11% 11%
Difference over the days both have traded no shared window −3.4 pts
Expense ratio not published 0.88%
Launched Dec 5, 2023 Jan 4, 2010
Net assets not published $5.3bn

SPYU and UPRO on the same fields, as of Sep 30, 2026. Source: ETFIQ.

SPYU in plain words

Three months to Sep 30, 2026: SPYU returned +1.6% where its own daily promise gave +8.5%, 6.9 points short. Read the multiple against the whole window instead and 4 times SPY's 2.5% implies +10.1%, which makes SPYU look 8.5 points short. 1.6 of that is daily compounding, which happens to any 4 times fund over the same path, and the rest is the fund. SPYU aims to return +4 times SPY's move each day, then resets. Over one day it does that. Over longer, the daily results compound, so the total is not +4 times the period's move: in a market that falls and comes back it is reliably less, and in a steady run it can be more. SPY moved at 11% annualized over that window. That is what decides how far the two figures separate: the same fund on a calm underlying and a violent one is a different product.

UPRO in plain words

Three months to Sep 30, 2026: UPRO returned +4.1% where its own daily promise gave +6.8%, 2.6 points short. Read the multiple against the whole window instead and 3 times SPY's 2.5% implies +7.6%, which makes UPRO look 3.4 points short. 0.8 of that is daily compounding, which happens to any 3 times fund over the same path, and the rest is the fund. UPRO aims to return +3 times SPY's move each day, then resets. Over longer, the daily results compound, so the total is not +3 times the period's move: in a market that falls and comes back it is reliably less, and in a steady run it can be more.

Questions people ask

Which came closer to its stated multiple, SPYU or UPRO?
Over the window to Sep 30, 2026, SPYU finished 8.5 points from what its multiple implies and UPRO finished 3.4 points from its own, so UPRO came closer. Neither figure predicts the next window: it depends on how much the underlying moves about.
Are SPYU and UPRO levered on the same thing?
Yes. Both are levered on the S&P 500, SPYU at +4 times and UPRO at +3 times the daily move.
Which one decays faster, SPYU or UPRO?
Decay follows how much the underlying moves about. Over this window SPYU’s moved at 11% annualized and UPRO’s at 11%, so SPYU has the rougher ride and, at the same multiple, loses more to compounding.
Can I hold SPYU or UPRO for a year?
Both reset every day, so the multiple in the name applies to a single day and the daily results compound. Over a year the total is not the multiple times the year’s move, and in a market that falls and comes back it is reliably less. ETFIQ makes no recommendation either way.
Cite this page

ETFIQ, SPYU against UPRO, data as of Sep 30, 2026. https://etfiq.com/compare/leverage/spyu-vs-upro

Open data

Free to use with attribution. Every figure is calculated from a named public source; the method is at etfiq.com/methodology.