GDXU vs NUGT: which held to its multiple?

Over three months against its own daily promise, GDXU finished 9.9 points short and NUGT 1.7 points short. MicroSectors Gold Miners 3X Leveraged ETN and Direxion Daily Gold Miners Index Bull 2X ETF.

+25.4%
GDXU returned, 3 months
+27.6%
NUGT returned, 3 months
−25.5 pts
GDXU from its stated multiple
−6.3 pts
NUGT from its stated multiple
GDXU · 3 months to Sep 30, 202625.5 pts short of its stated multiple
25.5 pts short of its stated multipleGDXU returned +25.4% while 3 times GDX's move would have been +50.9%GDX +17.0% ×3 implies+50.9%GDXU returned+25.4%25.5 pts short of its stated multipleGDXU returned +25.4% while 3 times GDX's move would have been +50.9%GDX +17.0% ×3 implies+50.9%GDXU returned+25.4%

GDXU returned +25.4% while 3 times GDX's move would have been +50.9%

NUGT · 3 months to Sep 30, 20266.3 pts short of its stated multiple
6.3 pts short of its stated multipleNUGT returned +27.6% while 2 times GDX's move would have been +33.9%GDX +17.0% ×2 implies+33.9%NUGT returned+27.6%6.3 pts short of its stated multipleNUGT returned +27.6% while 2 times GDX's move would have been +33.9%GDX +17.0% ×2 implies+33.9%NUGT returned+27.6%

NUGT returned +27.6% while 2 times GDX's move would have been +33.9%

ETFIQ Decay Resistance Score · NUGT scores higherDid it keep up with its own daily multiple, compounded day by day?
0.1, the lowest in this set99.9, the highest

A percentile among the 470 leveraged ETFs, long, over three months. It is a position in a set, not a rating, and neither end of it is a recommendation. All leveraged ETFs ranked by it → How it is computed →

Performance, window by window

Total returnMultiple would giveDifference
WindowGDXUNUGTGDXUNUGTGDXUNUGT
1 month−34.1%−22.0%−32.6%−21.7%−1.4 pts−0.2 pts
3 months+25.4%+27.6%+50.9%+33.9%−25.5 pts−6.3 pts
6 months−53.6%−27.7%−25.6%−17.1%−27.9 pts−10.6 pts
1 year−48.1%−3.7%+47.2%+31.5%−95.3 pts−35.1 pts
3 years+349.3%+474.5%not meaningfulnot meaningfulnot meaningfulnot meaningful
Since launch
GDXU Dec 2020 · NUGT Dec 2010
−56.1%−99.8%not meaningful+134.3%not meaningful−234.1 pts

GDXU and NUGT over each window. Every figure is an ETFIQ calculation with distributions reinvested. Source: ETFIQ. Open the live comparison on ETFIQ →

On the same fields

GDXU
MicroSectors Gold Miners 3X Leveraged ETN · Aims to return three times the daily move of gold miners (GDX)
NUGT
Direxion Daily Gold Miners Index Bull 2X ETF · Aims to return twice the daily move of gold miners (GDX)
Issuer MicroSectors Direxion
Sets out to return +3x +2x
Underlying asset GDX GDX
Segment index metal
Fund returned, 3 months or since launch +25.4% +27.6%
Underlying returned, over that window +17.0% +17.0%
What the stated multiple implies, over that window +50.9% +33.9%
Difference from stated, over that window −25.5 pts −6.3 pts
Fund returned, 1 year or since launch −48.1% −3.7%
Difference from stated, over that window −95.3 pts −35.1 pts
Underlying volatility 48% 48%
Expense ratio not published 1.13%
Launched Dec 3, 2020 Dec 8, 2010
Net assets not published $1.0bn

GDXU and NUGT on the same fields, as of Sep 30, 2026. Source: ETFIQ.

GDXU in plain words

Three months to Sep 30, 2026: GDXU returned +25.4% where its own daily promise gave +35.3%, 9.9 points short. Read the multiple against the whole window instead and 3 times GDX's 17.0% implies +50.9%, which makes GDXU look 25.5 points short. 15.6 of that is daily compounding, which happens to any 3 times fund over the same path, and the rest is the fund. GDXU aims to return +3 times GDX's move each day, then resets. Over one day it does that. Over longer, the daily results compound, so the total is not +3 times the period's move: in a market that falls and comes back it is reliably less, and in a steady run it can be more. GDX moved at 48% annualized over that window. That is what decides how far the two figures separate: the same fund on a calm underlying and a violent one is a different product.

NUGT in plain words

Three months to Sep 30, 2026: NUGT returned +27.6% where its own daily promise gave +29.3%, 1.7 points short. Read the multiple against the whole window instead and 2 times GDX's 17.0% implies +33.9%, which makes NUGT look 6.3 points short. 4.6 of that is daily compounding, which happens to any 2 times fund over the same path, and the rest is the fund. NUGT aims to return +2 times GDX's move each day, then resets. Over longer, the daily results compound, so the total is not +2 times the period's move: in a market that falls and comes back it is reliably less, and in a steady run it can be more.

Questions people ask

Which came closer to its stated multiple, GDXU or NUGT?
Over the window to Sep 30, 2026, GDXU finished 25.5 points from what its multiple implies and NUGT finished 6.3 points from its own, so NUGT came closer. Neither figure predicts the next window: it depends on how much the underlying moves about.
Are GDXU and NUGT levered on the same thing?
Yes. Both are levered on gold miners, GDXU at +3 times and NUGT at +2 times the daily move.
Which one decays faster, GDXU or NUGT?
Decay follows how much the underlying moves about. Over this window GDXU’s moved at 48% annualized and NUGT’s at 48%, so GDXU has the rougher ride and, at the same multiple, loses more to compounding.
Can I hold GDXU or NUGT for a year?
Both reset every day, so the multiple in the name applies to a single day and the daily results compound. Over a year the total is not the multiple times the year’s move, and in a market that falls and comes back it is reliably less. ETFIQ makes no recommendation either way.
Other comparisons
Where these figures came from

ETFIQ links to the documents behind every figure. It is not affiliated with any issuer, and a link is not an endorsement. A comparison is not a recommendation.

Cite this page

ETFIQ, GDXU against NUGT, data as of Sep 30, 2026. https://etfiq.com/compare/leverage/gdxu-vs-nugt

Open data

Free to use with attribution. Every figure is calculated from a named public source; the method is at etfiq.com/methodology.