TBX vs TYO: which held to its multiple?

Over three months against its own daily promise, TBX finished 1.7 points over and TYO 4.7 points over. ProShares Short 7-10 Year Treasury and Direxion Daily 7-10 Year Treasury Bear 3X ETF.

+6.2%
TBX returned, 3 months
+18.5%
TYO returned, 3 months
+1.8 pts
TBX from its stated multiple
+5.4 pts
TYO from its stated multiple
TBX · 3 months to Sep 30, 20261.8 pts ahead of its stated multiple
1.8 pts ahead of its stated multipleTBX returned +6.2% while −1 times IEF's move would have been +4.3%IEF −4.3% ×−1 implies+4.3%TBX returned+6.2%1.8 pts ahead of its stated multipleTBX returned +6.2% while −1 times IEF's move would have been +4.3%IEF −4.3% ×−1 implies+4.3%TBX returned+6.2%

TBX returned +6.2% while −1 times IEF's move would have been +4.3%

TYO · 3 months to Sep 30, 20265.4 pts ahead of its stated multiple
5.4 pts ahead of its stated multipleTYO returned +18.5% while −3 times IEF's move would have been +13.1%IEF −4.3% ×−3 implies+13.1%TYO returned+18.5%5.4 pts ahead of its stated multipleTYO returned +18.5% while −3 times IEF's move would have been +13.1%IEF −4.3% ×−3 implies+13.1%TYO returned+18.5%

TYO returned +18.5% while −3 times IEF's move would have been +13.1%

ETFIQ Decay Resistance Score · TYO scores higherDid it keep up with its own daily multiple, compounded day by day?
0.4, the lowest in this set99.6, the highest

A percentile among the 125 inverse ETFs over three months. It is a position in a set, not a rating, and neither end of it is a recommendation. All leveraged ETFs ranked by it → How it is computed →

Performance, window by window

Total returnMultiple would giveDifference
WindowTBXTYOTBXTYOTBXTYO
1 month+4.0%+11.9%+3.4%+10.1%+0.6 pts+1.8 pts
3 months+6.2%+18.5%+4.3%+13.1%+1.8 pts+5.4 pts
6 months+7.7%+22.4%+4.4%+13.3%+3.3 pts+9.1 pts
1 year+10.1%+28.8%+3.7%+11.2%+6.3 pts+17.6 pts
3 years+12.8%+19.9%−8.9%−26.8%+21.7 pts+46.6 pts
Since launch
TBX Apr 2011 · TYO Jan 2010
−10.5%−69.5%−35.5%−141.4%+24.9 pts+71.9 pts

TBX and TYO over each window. Every figure is an ETFIQ calculation with distributions reinvested. Source: ETFIQ. Open the live comparison on ETFIQ →

On the same fields

TBX
ProShares Short 7-10 Year Treasury · Aims to return 1 times the opposite of the daily move of 10-year Treasuries (IEF)
TYO
Direxion Daily 7-10 Year Treasury Bear 3X ETF · Aims to return three times the opposite of the daily move of 10-year Treasuries (IEF)
Issuer ProShares Direxion
Sets out to return -1x -3x
Underlying asset IEF IEF
Segment bond bond
Fund returned, 3 months or since launch +6.2% +18.5%
Underlying returned, over that window −4.3% −4.3%
What the stated multiple implies, over that window +4.3% +13.1%
Difference from stated, over that window +1.8 pts +5.4 pts
Fund returned, 1 year or since launch +10.1% +28.8%
Difference from stated, over that window +6.3 pts +17.6 pts
Underlying volatility 5% 5%
Expense ratio 0.95% 1.00%
Launched Apr 5, 2011 Jan 4, 2010
Net assets $19m $11m

TBX and TYO on the same fields, as of Sep 30, 2026. Source: ETFIQ.

TBX in plain words

Three months to Sep 30, 2026: TBX returned +6.2% where its own daily promise gave +4.5%, 1.7 points over. Read the multiple against the whole window instead and −1 times IEF's −4.3% implies +4.3%, which makes TBX look 1.8 points over. 0.1 of that is daily compounding, which happens to any −1 times fund over the same path, and the rest is the fund. TBX aims to return -1 times IEF's move each day, then resets. Over one day it does that. Over longer, the daily results compound, so the total is not -1 times the period's move: in a market that falls and comes back it is reliably less, and in a steady run it can be more. IEF moved at 5% annualized over that window. That is what decides how far the two figures separate: the same fund on a calm underlying and a violent one is a different product.

TYO in plain words

Three months to Sep 30, 2026: TYO returned +18.5% where its own daily promise gave +13.8%, 4.7 points over. Read the multiple against the whole window instead and −3 times IEF's −4.3% implies +13.1%, which makes TYO look 5.4 points over. 0.8 of that is daily compounding, which happens to any −3 times fund over the same path, and the rest is the fund. TYO aims to return -3 times IEF's move each day, then resets. Over longer, the daily results compound, so the total is not -3 times the period's move: in a market that falls and comes back it is reliably less, and in a steady run it can be more.

Questions people ask

Which came closer to its stated multiple, TBX or TYO?
Over the window to Sep 30, 2026, TBX finished 1.8 points from what its multiple implies and TYO finished 5.4 points from its own, so TBX came closer. Neither figure predicts the next window: it depends on how much the underlying moves about.
Are TBX and TYO levered on the same thing?
Yes. Both are levered on 10-year Treasuries, TBX at -1 times and TYO at -3 times the daily move.
Which one decays faster, TBX or TYO?
Decay follows how much the underlying moves about. Over this window TBX’s moved at 5% annualized and TYO’s at 5%, so TBX has the rougher ride and, at the same multiple, loses more to compounding.
Can I hold TBX or TYO for a year?
Both reset every day, so the multiple in the name applies to a single day and the daily results compound. Over a year the total is not the multiple times the year’s move, and in a market that falls and comes back it is reliably less. ETFIQ makes no recommendation either way.
Which is cheaper, TBX or TYO?
TBX charges 0.95% a year and TYO charges 1.00%, so TBX is cheaper. Fees come from each fund's prospectus.
Cite this page

ETFIQ, TBX against TYO, data as of Sep 30, 2026. https://etfiq.com/compare/leverage/tbx-vs-tyo

Open data

Free to use with attribution. Every figure is calculated from a named public source; the method is at etfiq.com/methodology.