SPXS vs UPRO: which held to its multiple?
Over three months against its own daily promise, SPXS finished 3.4 points over and UPRO 2.6 points short. Direxion Daily S&P 500(R) Bear 3X ETF and ProShares UltraPro S&P500.
SPXS returned −5.5% while −3 times SPY's move would have been −7.6%
UPRO returned +4.1% while 3 times SPY's move would have been +7.6%
SPXS among the 125 inverse ETFs over three months
UPRO among the 470 leveraged ETFs, long, over three months
A percentile among the 125 inverse ETFs over three months. UPRO is a percentile among the 470 leveraged ETFs, long, over three months, a different set, so the two marks are not on one scale. It is a position in a set, not a rating, and neither end of it is a recommendation. All leveraged ETFs ranked by it → How it is computed →
Performance, window by window
| Total return | Multiple would give | Difference | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Window | SPXS | UPRO | SPXS | UPRO | SPXS | UPRO |
| 1 month | +1.6% | −2.0% | +1.0% | −1.0% | +0.7 pts | −1.0 pts |
| 3 months | −5.5% | +4.1% | −7.6% | +7.6% | +2.1 pts | −3.4 pts |
| 6 months | −35.9% | +48.8% | −50.9% | +50.9% | +15.0 pts | −2.1 pts |
| 1 year | −32.3% | +33.0% | −47.1% | +47.1% | +14.8 pts | −14.1 pts |
| 3 years | −82.2% | +267.2% | −254.9% | +254.9% | +172.8 pts | +12.3 pts |
| Since launch SPXS Jan 2010 · UPRO Jan 2010 | −100.0% | +7040.0% | not meaningful | not meaningful | not meaningful | not meaningful |
SPXS and UPRO over each window. Every figure is an ETFIQ calculation with distributions reinvested. Source: ETFIQ. Open the live comparison on ETFIQ →
On the same fields
SPXS and UPRO on the same fields, as of Sep 30, 2026. Source: ETFIQ.
SPXS in plain words
Three months to Sep 30, 2026: SPXS returned −5.5% where its own daily promise gave −8.9%, 3.4 points over. Read the multiple against the whole window instead and −3 times SPY's 2.5% implies −7.6%, which makes SPXS look 2.1 points over. 1.3 of that is daily compounding, which happens to any −3 times fund over the same path, and the rest is the fund. SPXS aims to return -3 times SPY's move each day, then resets. Over one day it does that. Over longer, the daily results compound, so the total is not -3 times the period's move: in a market that falls and comes back it is reliably less, and in a steady run it can be more. SPY moved at 11% annualized over that window. That is what decides how far the two figures separate: the same fund on a calm underlying and a violent one is a different product.
UPRO in plain words
Three months to Sep 30, 2026: UPRO returned +4.1% where its own daily promise gave +6.8%, 2.6 points short. Read the multiple against the whole window instead and 3 times SPY's 2.5% implies +7.6%, which makes UPRO look 3.4 points short. 0.8 of that is daily compounding, which happens to any 3 times fund over the same path, and the rest is the fund. UPRO aims to return +3 times SPY's move each day, then resets. Over longer, the daily results compound, so the total is not +3 times the period's move: in a market that falls and comes back it is reliably less, and in a steady run it can be more.
Questions people ask
- Which came closer to its stated multiple, SPXS or UPRO?
- Over the window to Sep 30, 2026, SPXS finished 2.1 points from what its multiple implies and UPRO finished 3.4 points from its own, so SPXS came closer. Neither figure predicts the next window: it depends on how much the underlying moves about.
- Are SPXS and UPRO levered on the same thing?
- Yes. Both are levered on the S&P 500, SPXS at -3 times and UPRO at +3 times the daily move.
- Which one decays faster, SPXS or UPRO?
- Decay follows how much the underlying moves about. Over this window SPXS’s moved at 11% annualized and UPRO’s at 11%, so SPXS has the rougher ride and, at the same multiple, loses more to compounding.
- Can I hold SPXS or UPRO for a year?
- Both reset every day, so the multiple in the name applies to a single day and the daily results compound. Over a year the total is not the multiple times the year’s move, and in a market that falls and comes back it is reliably less. ETFIQ makes no recommendation either way.
ETFIQ links to the documents behind every figure. It is not affiliated with any issuer, and a link is not an endorsement. A comparison is not a recommendation.
ETFIQ, SPXS against UPRO, data as of Sep 30, 2026. https://etfiq.com/compare/leverage/spxs-vs-upro
Free to use with attribution. Every figure is calculated from a named public source; the method is at etfiq.com/methodology.
Cite this page. ETFIQ, SPXS against UPRO, data as of Sep 30, 2026. https://etfiq.com/compare/leverage/spxs-vs-upro Free to use with attribution; the underlying files are at Open data.
Other forms
- Plain
- ETFIQ, SPXS against UPRO, data as of Sep 30, 2026. https://etfiq.com/compare/leverage/spxs-vs-upro
- APA
- ETFIQ. (Sep 30, 2026). SPXS against UPRO. Retrieved from https://etfiq.com/compare/leverage/spxs-vs-upro
- Markdown
- [SPXS against UPRO (ETFIQ, Sep 30, 2026)](https://etfiq.com/compare/leverage/spxs-vs-upro)