SMN vs XLBX: which held to its multiple?

Over three months against its own daily promise, SMN finished 2.2 points over and XLBX 2.1 points short. ProShares UltraShort Materials and Corgi U.S. Materials 2x Daily ETF.

+8.6%
SMN returned, 3 months
−10.8%
XLBX returned, 3 months
+0.4 pts
SMN from its stated multiple
−2.6 pts
XLBX from its stated multiple
SMN · 3 months to Sep 30, 2026On its stated multiple
On its stated multipleSMN returned +8.6% while −2 times XLB's move would have been +8.2%XLB −4.1% ×−2 implies+8.2%SMN returned+8.6%On its stated multipleSMN returned +8.6% while −2 times XLB's move would have been +8.2%XLB −4.1% ×−2 implies+8.2%SMN returned+8.6%

SMN returned +8.6% while −2 times XLB's move would have been +8.2%

XLBX · 3 months to Sep 30, 20262.6 pts short of its stated multiple
2.6 pts short of its stated multipleXLBX returned −10.8% while 2 times XLB's move would have been −8.2%XLB −4.1% ×2 implies−8.2%XLBX returned−10.8%2.6 pts short of its stated multipleXLBX returned −10.8% while 2 times XLB's move would have been −8.2%XLB −4.1% ×2 implies−8.2%XLBX returned−10.8%

XLBX returned −10.8% while 2 times XLB's move would have been −8.2%

ETFIQ Decay Resistance Score · SMN scores higherDid it keep up with its own daily multiple, compounded day by day?

SMN among the 125 inverse ETFs over three months

SMN 69.2
0.4, the lowest in this set99.6, the highest

XLBX among the 470 leveraged ETFs, long, over three months

XLBX 67.1
0.1, the lowest in this set99.9, the highest

A percentile among the 125 inverse ETFs over three months. XLBX is a percentile among the 470 leveraged ETFs, long, over three months, a different set, so the two marks are not on one scale. It is a position in a set, not a rating, and neither end of it is a recommendation. All leveraged ETFs ranked by it → How it is computed →

Performance, window by window

Total returnMultiple would giveDifference
WindowSMNXLBXSMNXLBXSMNXLBX
1 month+15.9%−14.5%+14.3%−14.3%+1.6 pts−0.2 pts
3 months+8.6%−10.8%+8.2%−8.2%+0.4 pts−2.6 pts
6 months+5.0%not published+5.4%not published−0.4 ptsnot published
1 year−18.2%not published−21.3%not published+3.1 ptsnot published
3 years−37.5%not published−62.6%not published+25.1 ptsnot published
Since launch
SMN Jan 2010 · XLBX Jun 2026
−99.0%−13.6%not meaningful−9.8%not meaningful−3.8 pts

SMN and XLBX over each window. Every figure is an ETFIQ calculation with distributions reinvested. Source: ETFIQ. Open the live comparison on ETFIQ →

On the same fields

SMN
ProShares UltraShort Materials · Aims to return twice the opposite of the daily move of State Street Materials Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLB)
XLBX
Corgi U.S. Materials 2x Daily ETF · Aims to return twice the daily move of State Street Materials Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLB)
Issuer ProShares Corgi
Sets out to return -2x +2x
Underlying asset XLB XLB
Segment sector sector
Fund returned, 3 months or since launch +8.6% −10.8%
Underlying returned, over that window −4.1% −4.1%
What the stated multiple implies, over that window +8.2% −8.2%
Difference from stated, over that window +0.4 pts −2.6 pts
Fund returned, 1 year or since launch −18.2% −13.6%
Difference from stated, over that window +3.1 pts −3.8 pts
Underlying volatility 17% 17%
Difference over the days both have traded no shared window −2.6 pts
Expense ratio 0.95% 0.45%
Launched Jan 4, 2010 Jun 3, 2026
Net assets $4m $324,474

SMN and XLBX on the same fields, as of Sep 30, 2026. Source: ETFIQ.

SMN in plain words

Three months to Sep 30, 2026: SMN returned +8.6% where its own daily promise gave +6.4%, 2.2 points over. Read the multiple against the whole window instead and −2 times XLB's −4.1% implies +8.2%, which makes SMN look 0.4 points over. 1.8 of that is daily compounding, which happens to any −2 times fund over the same path, and the rest is the fund. SMN aims to return -2 times XLB's move each day, then resets. Over one day it does that. Over longer, the daily results compound, so the total is not -2 times the period's move: in a market that falls and comes back it is reliably less, and in a steady run it can be more. XLB moved at 17% annualized over that window. That is what decides how far the two figures separate: the same fund on a calm underlying and a violent one is a different product.

XLBX in plain words

Three months to Sep 30, 2026: XLBX returned −10.8% where its own daily promise gave −8.7%, 2.1 points short. Read the multiple against the whole window instead and 2 times XLB's −4.1% implies −8.2%, which makes XLBX look 2.6 points short. 0.5 of that is daily compounding, which happens to any 2 times fund over the same path, and the rest is the fund. XLBX aims to return +2 times XLB's move each day, then resets. Over longer, the daily results compound, so the total is not +2 times the period's move: in a market that falls and comes back it is reliably less, and in a steady run it can be more.

Questions people ask

Which came closer to its stated multiple, SMN or XLBX?
Over the window to Sep 30, 2026, SMN finished 0.4 points from what its multiple implies and XLBX finished 2.6 points from its own, so SMN came closer. Neither figure predicts the next window: it depends on how much the underlying moves about.
Are SMN and XLBX levered on the same thing?
Yes. Both are levered on State Street Materials Select Sector SPDR ETF, SMN at -2 times and XLBX at +2 times the daily move.
Which one decays faster, SMN or XLBX?
Decay follows how much the underlying moves about. Over this window SMN’s moved at 17% annualized and XLBX’s at 17%, so SMN has the rougher ride and, at the same multiple, loses more to compounding.
Can I hold SMN or XLBX for a year?
Both reset every day, so the multiple in the name applies to a single day and the daily results compound. Over a year the total is not the multiple times the year’s move, and in a market that falls and comes back it is reliably less. ETFIQ makes no recommendation either way.
Which is cheaper, SMN or XLBX?
SMN charges 0.95% a year and XLBX charges 0.45%, so XLBX is cheaper. Fees come from each fund's prospectus.
Cite this page

ETFIQ, SMN against XLBX, data as of Sep 30, 2026. https://etfiq.com/compare/leverage/smn-vs-xlbx

Open data

Free to use with attribution. Every figure is calculated from a named public source; the method is at etfiq.com/methodology.