SDS vs SPXL: which held to its multiple?

Over three months against its own daily promise, SDS finished 2.5 points over and SPXL 2.6 points short. ProShares UltraShort S&P500 and Direxion Daily S&P 500(R) Bull 3X ETF.

−3.2%
SDS returned, 3 months
+4.2%
SPXL returned, 3 months
+1.8 pts
SDS from its stated multiple
−3.3 pts
SPXL from its stated multiple
SDS · 3 months to Sep 30, 20261.8 pts ahead of its stated multiple
1.8 pts ahead of its stated multipleSDS returned −3.2% while −2 times SPY's move would have been −5.0%SPY +2.5% ×−2 implies−5.0%SDS returned−3.2%1.8 pts ahead of its stated multipleSDS returned −3.2% while −2 times SPY's move would have been −5.0%SPY +2.5% ×−2 implies−5.0%SDS returned−3.2%

SDS returned −3.2% while −2 times SPY's move would have been −5.0%

SPXL · 3 months to Sep 30, 20263.3 pts short of its stated multiple
3.3 pts short of its stated multipleSPXL returned +4.2% while 3 times SPY's move would have been +7.6%SPY +2.5% ×3 implies+7.6%SPXL returned+4.2%3.3 pts short of its stated multipleSPXL returned +4.2% while 3 times SPY's move would have been +7.6%SPY +2.5% ×3 implies+7.6%SPXL returned+4.2%

SPXL returned +4.2% while 3 times SPY's move would have been +7.6%

ETFIQ Decay Resistance Score · SDS scores higherDid it keep up with its own daily multiple, compounded day by day?

SDS among the 125 inverse ETFs over three months

SDS 73.2
0.4, the lowest in this set99.6, the highest

SPXL among the 470 leveraged ETFs, long, over three months

SPXL 51.6
0.1, the lowest in this set99.9, the highest

A percentile among the 125 inverse ETFs over three months. SPXL is a percentile among the 470 leveraged ETFs, long, over three months, a different set, so the two marks are not on one scale. It is a position in a set, not a rating, and neither end of it is a recommendation. All leveraged ETFs ranked by it → How it is computed →

Performance, window by window

Total returnMultiple would giveDifference
WindowSDSSPXLSDSSPXLSDSSPXL
1 month+1.2%−2.1%+0.7%−1.0%+0.6 pts−1.1 pts
3 months−3.2%+4.2%−5.0%+7.6%+1.8 pts−3.3 pts
6 months−24.8%+49.1%−34.0%+50.9%+9.2 pts−1.9 pts
1 year−21.1%+33.5%−31.4%+47.1%+10.4 pts−13.7 pts
3 years−65.3%+268.8%−170.0%+254.9%+104.7 pts+13.8 pts
Since launch
SDS Jan 2010 · SPXL Jan 2010
−99.5%+6824.9%not meaningfulnot meaningfulnot meaningfulnot meaningful

SDS and SPXL over each window. Every figure is an ETFIQ calculation with distributions reinvested. Source: ETFIQ. Open the live comparison on ETFIQ →

On the same fields

SDS
ProShares UltraShort S&P500 · Aims to return twice the opposite of the daily move of the S&P 500
SPXL
Direxion Daily S&P 500(R) Bull 3X ETF · Aims to return three times the daily move of the S&P 500
Issuer ProShares Direxion
Sets out to return -2x +3x
Underlying asset SPY SPY
Segment us large cap us large cap
Fund returned, 3 months or since launch −3.2% +4.2%
Underlying returned, over that window +2.5% +2.5%
What the stated multiple implies, over that window −5.0% +7.6%
Difference from stated, over that window +1.8 pts −3.3 pts
Fund returned, 1 year or since launch −21.1% +33.5%
Difference from stated, over that window +10.4 pts −13.7 pts
Underlying volatility 11% 11%
Difference over the days both have traded no shared window −3.3 pts
Expense ratio 0.91% 0.84%
Launched Jan 4, 2010 Jan 4, 2010
Net assets $350m $6.9bn

SDS and SPXL on the same fields, as of Sep 30, 2026. Source: ETFIQ.

SDS in plain words

Three months to Sep 30, 2026: SDS returned −3.2% where its own daily promise gave −5.7%, 2.5 points over. Read the multiple against the whole window instead and −2 times SPY's 2.5% implies −5.0%, which makes SDS look 1.8 points over. 0.7 of that is daily compounding, which happens to any −2 times fund over the same path, and the rest is the fund. SDS aims to return -2 times SPY's move each day, then resets. Over one day it does that. Over longer, the daily results compound, so the total is not -2 times the period's move: in a market that falls and comes back it is reliably less, and in a steady run it can be more. SPY moved at 11% annualized over that window. That is what decides how far the two figures separate: the same fund on a calm underlying and a violent one is a different product.

SPXL in plain words

Three months to Sep 30, 2026: SPXL returned +4.2% where its own daily promise gave +6.8%, 2.6 points short. Read the multiple against the whole window instead and 3 times SPY's 2.5% implies +7.6%, which makes SPXL look 3.3 points short. 0.8 of that is daily compounding, which happens to any 3 times fund over the same path, and the rest is the fund. SPXL aims to return +3 times SPY's move each day, then resets. Over longer, the daily results compound, so the total is not +3 times the period's move: in a market that falls and comes back it is reliably less, and in a steady run it can be more.

Questions people ask

Which came closer to its stated multiple, SDS or SPXL?
Over the window to Sep 30, 2026, SDS finished 1.8 points from what its multiple implies and SPXL finished 3.3 points from its own, so SDS came closer. Neither figure predicts the next window: it depends on how much the underlying moves about.
Are SDS and SPXL levered on the same thing?
Yes. Both are levered on the S&P 500, SDS at -2 times and SPXL at +3 times the daily move.
Which one decays faster, SDS or SPXL?
Decay follows how much the underlying moves about. Over this window SDS’s moved at 11% annualized and SPXL’s at 11%, so SDS has the rougher ride and, at the same multiple, loses more to compounding.
Can I hold SDS or SPXL for a year?
Both reset every day, so the multiple in the name applies to a single day and the daily results compound. Over a year the total is not the multiple times the year’s move, and in a market that falls and comes back it is reliably less. ETFIQ makes no recommendation either way.
Which is cheaper, SDS or SPXL?
SDS charges 0.91% a year and SPXL charges 0.84%, so SPXL is cheaper. Fees come from each fund's prospectus.
Cite this page

ETFIQ, SDS against SPXL, data as of Sep 30, 2026. https://etfiq.com/compare/leverage/sds-vs-spxl

Open data

Free to use with attribution. Every figure is calculated from a named public source; the method is at etfiq.com/methodology.