PALD vs PALU: which held to its multiple?

Over three months against its own daily promise, PALD finished 1.2 points over and PALU 3.0 points short. Direxion Daily PANW Bear 1X ETF and Direxion Daily PANW Bull 2X ETF.

−18.0%
PALD returned, 3 months
+13.9%
PALU returned, 3 months
−5.2 pts
PALD from its stated multiple
−11.8 pts
PALU from its stated multiple
PALD · 3 months to Sep 30, 20265.2 pts short of its stated multiple
5.2 pts short of its stated multiplePALD returned −18.0% while −1 times PANW's move would have been −12.9%PANW +12.9% ×−1 implies−12.9%PALD returned−18.0%5.2 pts short of its stated multiplePALD returned −18.0% while −1 times PANW's move would have been −12.9%PANW +12.9% ×−1 implies−12.9%PALD returned−18.0%

PALD returned −18.0% while −1 times PANW's move would have been −12.9%

PALU · 3 months to Sep 30, 202611.8 pts short of its stated multiple
11.8 pts short of its stated multiplePALU returned +13.9% while 2 times PANW's move would have been +25.7%PANW +12.9% ×2 implies+25.7%PALU returned+13.9%11.8 pts short of its stated multiplePALU returned +13.9% while 2 times PANW's move would have been +25.7%PANW +12.9% ×2 implies+25.7%PALU returned+13.9%

PALU returned +13.9% while 2 times PANW's move would have been +25.7%

ETFIQ Decay Resistance Score · PALU scores higherDid it keep up with its own daily multiple, compounded day by day?

PALD among the 125 inverse ETFs over three months

PALD 31.2
0.4, the lowest in this set99.6, the highest

PALU among the 470 leveraged ETFs, long, over three months

PALU 42.2
0.1, the lowest in this set99.9, the highest

A percentile among the 125 inverse ETFs over three months. PALU is a percentile among the 470 leveraged ETFs, long, over three months, a different set, so the two marks are not on one scale. It is a position in a set, not a rating, and neither end of it is a recommendation. All leveraged ETFs ranked by it → How it is computed →

Performance, window by window

Total returnMultiple would giveDifference
WindowPALDPALUPALDPALUPALDPALU
1 month−7.1%+3.8%−4.0%+7.9%−3.1 pts−4.2 pts
3 months−18.0%+13.9%−12.9%+25.7%−5.2 pts−11.8 pts
6 months−64.8%+399.6%not meaningfulnot meaningfulnot meaningfulnot meaningful
1 year−56.8%+175.9%−95.1%+190.2%+38.4 pts−14.3 pts
Since launch
PALD Mar 2025 · PALU Mar 2025
−62.2%+191.9%not meaningfulnot meaningfulnot meaningfulnot meaningful

PALD and PALU over each window. Every figure is an ETFIQ calculation with distributions reinvested. Source: ETFIQ. Open the live comparison on ETFIQ →

On the same fields

PALD
Direxion Daily PANW Bear 1X ETF · Aims to return 1 times the opposite of the daily move of Palo Alto Networks (PANW)
PALU
Direxion Daily PANW Bull 2X ETF · Aims to return twice the daily move of Palo Alto Networks (PANW)
Issuer Direxion Direxion
Sets out to return -1x +2x
Underlying asset PANW PANW
Segment company company
Fund returned, 3 months or since launch −18.0% +13.9%
Underlying returned, over that window +12.9% +12.9%
What the stated multiple implies, over that window −12.9% +25.7%
Difference from stated, over that window −5.2 pts −11.8 pts
Fund returned, 1 year or since launch −56.8% +175.9%
Difference from stated, over that window +38.4 pts −14.3 pts
Underlying volatility 60% 60%
Difference over the days both have traded no shared window −11.8 pts
Expense ratio 1.02% 1.08%
Launched Mar 26, 2025 Mar 26, 2025
Net assets $3m $41m

PALD and PALU on the same fields, as of Sep 30, 2026. Source: ETFIQ.

PALD in plain words

Three months to Sep 30, 2026: PALD returned −18.0% where its own daily promise gave −19.2%, 1.2 points over. Read the multiple against the whole window instead and −1 times PANW's 12.9% implies −12.9%, which makes PALD look 5.2 points short. 6.3 of that is daily compounding, which happens to any −1 times fund over the same path, and the rest is the fund. PALD aims to return -1 times PANW's move each day, then resets. Over one day it does that. Over longer, the daily results compound, so the total is not -1 times the period's move: in a market that falls and comes back it is reliably less, and in a steady run it can be more. PANW moved at 60% annualized over that window. That is what decides how far the two figures separate: the same fund on a calm underlying and a violent one is a different product.

PALU in plain words

Three months to Sep 30, 2026: PALU returned +13.9% where its own daily promise gave +16.9%, 3.0 points short. Read the multiple against the whole window instead and 2 times PANW's 12.9% implies +25.7%, which makes PALU look 11.8 points short. 8.8 of that is daily compounding, which happens to any 2 times fund over the same path, and the rest is the fund. PALU aims to return +2 times PANW's move each day, then resets. Over longer, the daily results compound, so the total is not +2 times the period's move: in a market that falls and comes back it is reliably less, and in a steady run it can be more.

Questions people ask

Which came closer to its stated multiple, PALD or PALU?
Over the window to Sep 30, 2026, PALD finished 5.2 points from what its multiple implies and PALU finished 11.8 points from its own, so PALD came closer. Neither figure predicts the next window: it depends on how much the underlying moves about.
Are PALD and PALU levered on the same thing?
Yes. Both are levered on Palo Alto Networks, PALD at -1 times and PALU at +2 times the daily move.
Which one decays faster, PALD or PALU?
Decay follows how much the underlying moves about. Over this window PALD’s moved at 60% annualized and PALU’s at 60%, so PALD has the rougher ride and, at the same multiple, loses more to compounding.
Can I hold PALD or PALU for a year?
Both reset every day, so the multiple in the name applies to a single day and the daily results compound. Over a year the total is not the multiple times the year’s move, and in a market that falls and comes back it is reliably less. ETFIQ makes no recommendation either way.
Which is cheaper, PALD or PALU?
PALD charges 1.02% a year and PALU charges 1.08%, so PALD is cheaper. Fees come from each fund's prospectus.
Other comparisons
Where these figures came from

ETFIQ links to the documents behind every figure. It is not affiliated with any issuer, and a link is not an endorsement. A comparison is not a recommendation.

Cite this page

ETFIQ, PALD against PALU, data as of Sep 30, 2026. https://etfiq.com/compare/leverage/pald-vs-palu

Open data

Free to use with attribution. Every figure is calculated from a named public source; the method is at etfiq.com/methodology.