ORCS vs ORCX: which held to its multiple?

Over three months against its own daily promise, ORCS finished 1.4 points over and ORCX 3.2 points short. Direxion Daily ORCL Bear 1X ETF and Defiance Daily Target 2X Long ORCL ETF.

−2.6%
ORCS returned, 3 months
−16.3%
ORCX returned, 3 months
−5.9 pts
ORCS from its stated multiple
−9.7 pts
ORCX from its stated multiple
ORCS · 3 months to Sep 30, 20265.9 pts short of its stated multiple
5.9 pts short of its stated multipleORCS returned −2.6% while −1 times ORCL's move would have been +3.3%ORCL −3.3% ×−1 implies+3.3%ORCS returned−2.6%5.9 pts short of its stated multipleORCS returned −2.6% while −1 times ORCL's move would have been +3.3%ORCL −3.3% ×−1 implies+3.3%ORCS returned−2.6%

ORCS returned −2.6% while −1 times ORCL's move would have been +3.3%

ORCX · 3 months to Sep 30, 20269.7 pts short of its stated multiple
9.7 pts short of its stated multipleORCX returned −16.3% while 2 times ORCL's move would have been −6.6%ORCL −3.3% ×2 implies−6.6%ORCX returned−16.3%9.7 pts short of its stated multipleORCX returned −16.3% while 2 times ORCL's move would have been −6.6%ORCL −3.3% ×2 implies−6.6%ORCX returned−16.3%

ORCX returned −16.3% while 2 times ORCL's move would have been −6.6%

ETFIQ Decay Resistance Score · ORCS scores higherDid it keep up with its own daily multiple, compounded day by day?

ORCS among the 125 inverse ETFs over three months

ORCS 37.2
0.4, the lowest in this set99.6, the highest

ORCX among the 470 leveraged ETFs, long, over three months

ORCX 35
0.1, the lowest in this set99.9, the highest

A percentile among the 125 inverse ETFs over three months. ORCX is a percentile among the 470 leveraged ETFs, long, over three months, a different set, so the two marks are not on one scale. It is a position in a set, not a rating, and neither end of it is a recommendation. All leveraged ETFs ranked by it → How it is computed →

Performance, window by window

Total returnMultiple would giveDifference
WindowORCSORCXORCSORCXORCSORCX
1 month+6.7%−18.0%+7.9%−15.9%−1.3 pts−2.1 pts
3 months−2.6%−16.3%+3.3%−6.6%−5.9 pts−9.7 pts
6 months−10.5%−29.6%+4.8%−9.6%−15.3 pts−20.0 pts
1 yearnot published−84.6%not published−101.2%not published+16.6 pts
Since launch
ORCS Nov 2025 · ORCX Feb 2025
+27.7%−70.2%+38.5%−39.9%−10.9 pts−30.4 pts

ORCS and ORCX over each window. Every figure is an ETFIQ calculation with distributions reinvested. Source: ETFIQ. Open the live comparison on ETFIQ →

On the same fields

ORCS
Direxion Daily ORCL Bear 1X ETF · Aims to return 1 times the opposite of the daily move of Oracle (ORCL)
ORCX
Defiance Daily Target 2X Long ORCL ETF · Aims to return twice the daily move of Oracle (ORCL)
Issuer Direxion Defiance
Sets out to return -1x +2x
Underlying asset ORCL ORCL
Segment company company
Fund returned, 3 months or since launch −2.6% −16.3%
Underlying returned, over that window −3.3% −3.3%
What the stated multiple implies, over that window +3.3% −6.6%
Difference from stated, over that window −5.9 pts −9.7 pts
Fund returned, 1 year or since launch +27.7% −84.6%
Difference from stated, over that window −10.9 pts +16.6 pts
Underlying volatility 54% 54%
Difference over the days both have traded no shared window −9.7 pts
Expense ratio 0.97% 1.31%
Launched Nov 19, 2025 Feb 7, 2025
Net assets $7m $235m

ORCS and ORCX on the same fields, as of Sep 30, 2026. Source: ETFIQ.

ORCS in plain words

Three months to Sep 30, 2026: ORCS returned −2.6% where its own daily promise gave −4.0%, 1.4 points over. Read the multiple against the whole window instead and −1 times ORCL's −3.3% implies +3.3%, which makes ORCS look 5.9 points short. 7.3 of that is daily compounding, which happens to any −1 times fund over the same path, and the rest is the fund. ORCS aims to return -1 times ORCL's move each day, then resets. Over one day it does that. Over longer, the daily results compound, so the total is not -1 times the period's move: in a market that falls and comes back it is reliably less, and in a steady run it can be more. ORCL moved at 54% annualized over that window. That is what decides how far the two figures separate: the same fund on a calm underlying and a violent one is a different product.

ORCX in plain words

Three months to Sep 30, 2026: ORCX returned −16.3% where its own daily promise gave −13.1%, 3.2 points short. Read the multiple against the whole window instead and 2 times ORCL's −3.3% implies −6.6%, which makes ORCX look 9.7 points short. 6.5 of that is daily compounding, which happens to any 2 times fund over the same path, and the rest is the fund. ORCX aims to return +2 times ORCL's move each day, then resets. Over longer, the daily results compound, so the total is not +2 times the period's move: in a market that falls and comes back it is reliably less, and in a steady run it can be more.

Questions people ask

Which came closer to its stated multiple, ORCS or ORCX?
Over the window to Sep 30, 2026, ORCS finished 5.9 points from what its multiple implies and ORCX finished 9.7 points from its own, so ORCS came closer. Neither figure predicts the next window: it depends on how much the underlying moves about.
Are ORCS and ORCX levered on the same thing?
Yes. Both are levered on Oracle, ORCS at -1 times and ORCX at +2 times the daily move.
Which one decays faster, ORCS or ORCX?
Decay follows how much the underlying moves about. Over this window ORCS’s moved at 54% annualized and ORCX’s at 54%, so ORCS has the rougher ride and, at the same multiple, loses more to compounding.
Can I hold ORCS or ORCX for a year?
Both reset every day, so the multiple in the name applies to a single day and the daily results compound. Over a year the total is not the multiple times the year’s move, and in a market that falls and comes back it is reliably less. ETFIQ makes no recommendation either way.
Which is cheaper, ORCS or ORCX?
ORCS charges 0.97% a year and ORCX charges 1.31%, so ORCS is cheaper. Fees come from each fund's prospectus.
Cite this page

ETFIQ, ORCS against ORCX, data as of Sep 30, 2026. https://etfiq.com/compare/leverage/orcs-vs-orcx

Open data

Free to use with attribution. Every figure is calculated from a named public source; the method is at etfiq.com/methodology.