MVV vs SMDD: which held to its multiple?

Over three months against its own daily promise, MVV finished 1.2 points short and SMDD 4.3 points over. ProShares Ultra MidCap400 and ProShares UltraPro Short MidCap400.

−12.3%
MVV returned, 3 months
+20.7%
SMDD returned, 3 months
−1.2 pts
MVV from its stated multiple
+4.0 pts
SMDD from its stated multiple
MVV · 3 months to Sep 30, 20261.2 pts short of its stated multiple
1.2 pts short of its stated multipleMVV returned −12.3% while 2 times MDY's move would have been −11.1%MDY −5.6% ×2 implies−11.1%MVV returned−12.3%1.2 pts short of its stated multipleMVV returned −12.3% while 2 times MDY's move would have been −11.1%MDY −5.6% ×2 implies−11.1%MVV returned−12.3%

MVV returned −12.3% while 2 times MDY's move would have been −11.1%

SMDD · 3 months to Sep 30, 20264 pts ahead of its stated multiple
4 pts ahead of its stated multipleSMDD returned +20.7% while −3 times MDY's move would have been +16.7%MDY −5.6% ×−3 implies+16.7%SMDD returned+20.7%4 pts ahead of its stated multipleSMDD returned +20.7% while −3 times MDY's move would have been +16.7%MDY −5.6% ×−3 implies+16.7%SMDD returned+20.7%

SMDD returned +20.7% while −3 times MDY's move would have been +16.7%

ETFIQ Decay Resistance Score · SMDD scores higherDid it keep up with its own daily multiple, compounded day by day?

MVV among the 470 leveraged ETFs, long, over three months

MVV 93.8
0.1, the lowest in this set99.9, the highest

SMDD among the 125 inverse ETFs over three months

SMDD 96.4
0.4, the lowest in this set99.6, the highest

A percentile among the 470 leveraged ETFs, long, over three months. SMDD is a percentile among the 125 inverse ETFs over three months, a different set, so the two marks are not on one scale. It is a position in a set, not a rating, and neither end of it is a recommendation. All leveraged ETFs ranked by it → How it is computed →

Performance, window by window

Total returnMultiple would giveDifference
WindowMVVSMDDMVVSMDDMVVSMDD
1 month−8.8%+14.6%−8.4%+12.6%−0.4 pts+2.0 pts
3 months−12.3%+20.7%−11.1%+16.7%−1.2 pts+4.0 pts
6 months+8.9%−15.6%+12.3%−18.4%−3.4 pts+2.8 pts
1 year+15.4%−27.9%+22.8%−34.2%−7.4 pts+6.3 pts
3 years+68.6%−73.3%+98.0%−146.9%−29.4 pts+73.6 pts
Since launch
MVV Jan 2010 · SMDD Feb 2010
+1071.1%−100.0%not meaningfulnot meaningfulnot meaningfulnot meaningful

MVV and SMDD over each window. Every figure is an ETFIQ calculation with distributions reinvested. Source: ETFIQ. Open the live comparison on ETFIQ →

On the same fields

MVV
ProShares Ultra MidCap400 · Aims to return twice the daily move of the S&P MidCap 400
SMDD
ProShares UltraPro Short MidCap400 · Aims to return three times the opposite of the daily move of the S&P MidCap 400
Issuer ProShares ProShares
Sets out to return +2x -3x
Underlying asset MDY MDY
Segment us mid cap us mid cap
Fund returned, 3 months or since launch −12.3% +20.7%
Underlying returned, over that window −5.6% −5.6%
What the stated multiple implies, over that window −11.1% +16.7%
Difference from stated, over that window −1.2 pts +4.0 pts
Fund returned, 1 year or since launch +15.4% −27.9%
Difference from stated, over that window −7.4 pts +6.3 pts
Underlying volatility 12% 12%
Expense ratio 0.95% 0.95%
Launched Jan 4, 2010 Feb 11, 2010
Net assets $139m $2m

MVV and SMDD on the same fields, as of Sep 30, 2026. Source: ETFIQ.

MVV in plain words

Three months to Sep 30, 2026: MVV returned −12.3% where its own daily promise gave −11.1%, 1.2 points short. Read the multiple against the whole window instead and 2 times MDY's −5.6% implies −11.1%, which makes MVV look 1.2 points short. 0.0 of that is daily compounding, which happens to any 2 times fund over the same path, and the rest is the fund. MVV aims to return +2 times MDY's move each day, then resets. Over one day it does that. Over longer, the daily results compound, so the total is not +2 times the period's move: in a market that falls and comes back it is reliably less, and in a steady run it can be more. MDY moved at 12% annualized over that window. That is what decides how far the two figures separate: the same fund on a calm underlying and a violent one is a different product.

SMDD in plain words

Three months to Sep 30, 2026: SMDD returned +20.7% where its own daily promise gave +16.4%, 4.3 points over. Read the multiple against the whole window instead and −3 times MDY's −5.6% implies +16.7%, which makes SMDD look 4.0 points over. 0.3 of that is daily compounding, which happens to any −3 times fund over the same path, and the rest is the fund. SMDD aims to return -3 times MDY's move each day, then resets. Over longer, the daily results compound, so the total is not -3 times the period's move: in a market that falls and comes back it is reliably less, and in a steady run it can be more.

Questions people ask

Which came closer to its stated multiple, MVV or SMDD?
Over the window to Sep 30, 2026, MVV finished 1.2 points from what its multiple implies and SMDD finished 4.0 points from its own, so MVV came closer. Neither figure predicts the next window: it depends on how much the underlying moves about.
Are MVV and SMDD levered on the same thing?
Yes. Both are levered on the S&P MidCap 400, MVV at +2 times and SMDD at -3 times the daily move.
Which one decays faster, MVV or SMDD?
Decay follows how much the underlying moves about. Over this window MVV’s moved at 12% annualized and SMDD’s at 12%, so MVV has the rougher ride and, at the same multiple, loses more to compounding.
Can I hold MVV or SMDD for a year?
Both reset every day, so the multiple in the name applies to a single day and the daily results compound. Over a year the total is not the multiple times the year’s move, and in a market that falls and comes back it is reliably less. ETFIQ makes no recommendation either way.
Which is cheaper, MVV or SMDD?
MVV charges 0.95% a year and SMDD charges 0.95%, so MVV is cheaper. Fees come from each fund's prospectus.
Cite this page

ETFIQ, MVV against SMDD, data as of Sep 30, 2026. https://etfiq.com/compare/leverage/mvv-vs-smdd

Open data

Free to use with attribution. Every figure is calculated from a named public source; the method is at etfiq.com/methodology.