BTCU vs SBIT: which held to its multiple?

Over three months against its own daily promise, BTCU finished 5.3 points short and SBIT 0.8 points over. Direxion Daily Bitcoin Bull 2X ETF and ProShares UltraShort Bitcoin ETF.

+81.8%
BTCU returned, 3 months
−53.4%
SBIT returned, 3 months
+3.3 pts
BTCU from its stated multiple
+25.1 pts
SBIT from its stated multiple
BTCU · 3 months to Sep 30, 20263.3 pts ahead of its stated multiple
3.3 pts ahead of its stated multipleBTCU returned +81.8% while 2 times IBIT's move would have been +78.5%IBIT +39.2% ×2 implies+78.5%BTCU returned+81.8%3.3 pts ahead of its stated multipleBTCU returned +81.8% while 2 times IBIT's move would have been +78.5%IBIT +39.2% ×2 implies+78.5%BTCU returned+81.8%

BTCU returned +81.8% while 2 times IBIT's move would have been +78.5%

SBIT · 3 months to Sep 30, 202625.1 pts ahead of its stated multiple
25.1 pts ahead of its stated multipleSBIT returned −53.4% while −2 times IBIT's move would have been −78.5%IBIT +39.2% ×−2 implies−78.5%SBIT returned−53.4%25.1 pts ahead of its stated multipleSBIT returned −53.4% while −2 times IBIT's move would have been −78.5%IBIT +39.2% ×−2 implies−78.5%SBIT returned−53.4%

SBIT returned −53.4% while −2 times IBIT's move would have been −78.5%

ETFIQ Decay Resistance Score · SBIT scores higherDid it keep up with its own daily multiple, compounded day by day?

BTCU among the 470 leveraged ETFs, long, over three months

BTCU 12.4
0.1, the lowest in this set99.9, the highest

SBIT among the 125 inverse ETFs over three months

SBIT 26.8
0.4, the lowest in this set99.6, the highest

A percentile among the 470 leveraged ETFs, long, over three months. SBIT is a percentile among the 125 inverse ETFs over three months, a different set, so the two marks are not on one scale. It is a position in a set, not a rating, and neither end of it is a recommendation. All leveraged ETFs ranked by it → How it is computed →

Performance, window by window

Total returnMultiple would giveDifference
WindowBTCUSBITBTCUSBITBTCUSBIT
1 month+9.6%−14.6%+12.0%−12.0%−2.4 pts−2.7 pts
3 months+81.8%−53.4%+78.5%−78.5%+3.3 pts+25.1 pts
6 monthsnot published−44.6%not published−45.0%not published+0.4 pts
1 yearnot published+10.6%not published+54.3%not published−43.7 pts
Since launch
BTCU May 2026 · SBIT Apr 2024
+12.8%−85.3%+23.0%−51.8%−10.2 pts−33.5 pts

BTCU and SBIT over each window. Every figure is an ETFIQ calculation with distributions reinvested. Source: ETFIQ. Open the live comparison on ETFIQ →

On the same fields

BTCU
Direxion Daily Bitcoin Bull 2X ETF · Aims to return twice the daily move of bitcoin (IBIT)
SBIT
ProShares UltraShort Bitcoin ETF · Aims to return twice the opposite of the daily move of bitcoin (IBIT)
Issuer Direxion ProShares
Sets out to return +2x -2x
Underlying asset IBIT IBIT
Segment crypto crypto
Fund returned, 3 months or since launch +81.8% −53.4%
Underlying returned, over that window +39.2% +39.2%
What the stated multiple implies, over that window +78.5% −78.5%
Difference from stated, over that window +3.3 pts +25.1 pts
Fund returned, 1 year or since launch +12.8% +10.6%
Difference from stated, over that window −10.2 pts −43.7 pts
Underlying volatility 38% 38%
Difference over the days both have traded +3.3 pts +25.1 pts
Expense ratio 1.13% 0.95%
Launched May 27, 2026 Apr 2, 2024
Net assets $6m $128m

BTCU and SBIT on the same fields, as of Sep 30, 2026. Source: ETFIQ.

BTCU in plain words

Three months to Sep 30, 2026: BTCU returned +81.8% where its own daily promise gave +87.1%, 5.3 points short. Read the multiple against the whole window instead and 2 times IBIT's 39.2% implies +78.5%, which makes BTCU look 3.3 points over. 8.6 of that is daily compounding, which happens to any 2 times fund over the same path, and the rest is the fund. BTCU aims to return +2 times IBIT's move each day, then resets. Over one day it does that. Over longer, the daily results compound, so the total is not +2 times the period's move: in a market that falls and comes back it is reliably less, and in a steady run it can be more. IBIT moved at 38% annualized over that window. That is what decides how far the two figures separate: the same fund on a calm underlying and a violent one is a different product.

SBIT in plain words

Three months to Sep 30, 2026: SBIT returned −53.4% where its own daily promise gave −54.2%, 0.8 points over. Read the multiple against the whole window instead and −2 times IBIT's 39.2% implies −78.5%, which makes SBIT look 25.1 points over. 24.3 of that is daily compounding, which happens to any −2 times fund over the same path, and the rest is the fund. SBIT aims to return -2 times IBIT's move each day, then resets. Over longer, the daily results compound, so the total is not -2 times the period's move: in a market that falls and comes back it is reliably less, and in a steady run it can be more.

Questions people ask

Which came closer to its stated multiple, BTCU or SBIT?
Over the window to Sep 30, 2026, BTCU finished 3.3 points from what its multiple implies and SBIT finished 25.1 points from its own, so BTCU came closer. Neither figure predicts the next window: it depends on how much the underlying moves about.
Are BTCU and SBIT levered on the same thing?
Yes. Both are levered on bitcoin, BTCU at +2 times and SBIT at -2 times the daily move.
Which one decays faster, BTCU or SBIT?
Decay follows how much the underlying moves about. Over this window BTCU’s moved at 38% annualized and SBIT’s at 38%, so BTCU has the rougher ride and, at the same multiple, loses more to compounding.
Can I hold BTCU or SBIT for a year?
Both reset every day, so the multiple in the name applies to a single day and the daily results compound. Over a year the total is not the multiple times the year’s move, and in a market that falls and comes back it is reliably less. ETFIQ makes no recommendation either way.
Which is cheaper, BTCU or SBIT?
BTCU charges 1.13% a year and SBIT charges 0.95%, so SBIT is cheaper. Fees come from each fund's prospectus.
Cite this page

ETFIQ, BTCU against SBIT, data as of Sep 30, 2026. https://etfiq.com/compare/leverage/btcu-vs-sbit

Open data

Free to use with attribution. Every figure is calculated from a named public source; the method is at etfiq.com/methodology.