Data as of Nov 4, 2026.

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Alternative ETFs

HOLD vs IMF: Correlation to the S&P 500

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Over the year to Nov 4, 2026, IMF moved less with the S&P 500 than HOLD: correlation +0.38 against +0.66.

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Net assets: $3.9m on Nov 4, 2026 for Harbor Alpha Layering ETF, and $304m on Nov 3, 2026 for Invesco Managed Futures Strategy ETF.

At a glance
+0.66
HOLD correlation with the S&P 500
+0.38
IMF correlation with the S&P 500
120.5%
HOLD down-week capture
13.0%
IMF down-week capture
HOLD Fell more than the S&P 500
Fell more than the S&P 500HOLD in the 26 weeks SPY fell, year to Nov 4, 2026: SPY averaged −1.07%, HOLD −1.29%.SPY−1.07%HOLD−1.29%Average week when SPY fell: 26 of 52, year to Nov 4, 2026Fell more than the S&P 500HOLD in the 26 weeks SPY fell, year to Nov 4, 2026: SPY averaged −1.07%, HOLD −1.29%.SPY−1.07%HOLD−1.29%Average week when SPY fell

HOLD in the 26 weeks SPY fell, year to Nov 4, 2026: SPY averaged −1.07%, HOLD −1.29%.

IMF Fell 13% as much as the S&P 500
Fell 13% as much as the S&P 500IMF in the 26 weeks SPY fell, year to Nov 4, 2026: SPY averaged −1.07%, IMF −0.14%.SPY−1.07%IMF−0.14%Average week when SPY fell: 26 of 52, year to Nov 4, 2026Fell 13% as much as the S&P 500IMF in the 26 weeks SPY fell, year to Nov 4, 2026: SPY averaged −1.07%, IMF −0.14%.SPY−1.07%IMF−0.14%Average week when SPY fell

IMF in the 26 weeks SPY fell, year to Nov 4, 2026: SPY averaged −1.07%, IMF −0.14%.

Pair scorecard

IMF costs 0.05 points a year less; their one-year returns differ by 19.3 points; IMF is far larger, $304m against $3.9m.

HOLD vs IMF: Correlation to the S&P 500
MeasureHOLDIMF
Return
Total return, 1 year+0.8%+20.1%
Against its benchmark
Treasury bills, 52 weeks+3.7%
Cost and size
Expense ratio0.70%0.65%
Net assets, as of Nov 3, 2026$3.9m$304m
Holdings
Holdings in commonnot published
Risk
Beta to the S&P 500+0.81: about 0.81% for each 1%+0.24: about 0.24% for each 1%
Its average week when the S&P 500 fellfell 1.29%fell 0.14%
ETFIQ Stock Diversification Score · IMF scores higher How much does it diversify a stock portfolio?
IQ Alternatives Score17.6HOLD70.6IMF

How much it diversifies a stock portfolio, ranked against 17 systematic trend alternatives ETFs with a full year. 100 is best. How it is computed

2.9, the lowest in this set 94.2, the highest

One year of weekly moves against the S&P 500, within one strategy; it ignores what the fund returned. All alternatives ETFs ranked by it →

Method

Window by window

Window by window: HOLD vs IMF: Correlation to the S&P 500
Total returnvs its benchmark
WindowHOLDIMFHOLDIMF
3 months−3.1%+0.4%−3.0 pts vs VOOnot measured
6 months−7.5%0.0%−12.5 pts vs VOOnot measured
1 year+0.8%+20.1%−14.0 pts vs VOOnot measured
Since launchNot the same days: HOLD Aug 2025 · IMF Mar 2025+10.3%+4.3%−10.3 pts vs VOOnot measured

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Side by side

HOLD Harbor Alpha Layering ETF · Managed futures fund: follows price trends in futures on stocks, bonds, currencies and commodities, and can bet on falls as well as rises IMF Invesco Managed Futures Strategy ETF · Managed futures fund: follows price trends in futures on stocks, bonds, currencies and commodities, and can bet on falls as well as rises
Strategy Managed futures Managed futures
Correlation with the S&P 500 +0.66 +0.38
Beta to the S&P 500 +0.81 +0.24
Down-week capture 120.5% 13.0%
Average week when the S&P 500 fell −1.29% −0.14%
The S&P 500 in those weeks −1.07% −1.07%
Total return, same 52 weeks +0.3% +19.2%
Against T-bills, percentage points −3.3 pts +15.6 pts
Expense ratio 0.70% 0.65%
First traded Aug 14, 2025 Mar 19, 2025
Net assets, HOLD as of Nov 4, 2026 and IMF as of Nov 3, 2026 $3.9m $304m

As of Nov 4, 2026. Source: ETFIQ.

One strategy, two funds

HOLD and IMF both run a managed futures strategy. Over the same 52 weeks to Nov 4, 2026, HOLD’s weekly returns had a correlation of +0.66 with the S&P 500 and IMF’s +0.38. In the 26 weeks the index fell, by 1.07% a week on average, HOLD averaged −1.29% and IMF −0.14%. Over the same weeks, HOLD finished 3.3 percentage points behind cash and IMF finished 15.6 points ahead of cash.

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About each fund
HOLD

HOLD is a managed futures fund. ETFIQ measures what every alternatives fund is sold on: whether it moves differently from the stock market. Over the year to Nov 4, 2026, its weekly returns had a correlation of +0.66 with the S&P 500’s and a beta of +0.81, so for each 1% the index moved it moved about 0.81% the same way. The S&P 500 fell in 26 of those 52 weeks, by 1.07% on average. In the same weeks HOLD fell 1.29% on average, a down-week capture of 120.5%. Over the same 52 weeks HOLD returned +0.3% and a Treasury bill fund +3.7%, so it finished 3.3 percentage points behind cash.

IMF

IMF is a managed futures fund. Over the year to Nov 4, 2026, its weekly returns had a correlation of +0.38 with the S&P 500’s and a beta of +0.24, so for each 1% the index moved it moved about 0.24% the same way. In the same weeks IMF fell 0.14% on average, a down-week capture of 13.0%. Over the same 52 weeks IMF returned +19.2% and a Treasury bill fund +3.7%, so it finished 15.6 percentage points ahead of cash.

Questions people ask

Which moved less with the S&P 500, HOLD or IMF?
Over the 52 weeks to Nov 4, 2026, HOLD’s weekly returns had a correlation of +0.66 with the S&P 500 and IMF’s +0.38, so IMF moved less with the index.
Which did better when the S&P 500 fell, HOLD or IMF?
In the 26 weeks the S&P 500 fell, by 1.07% a week on average, HOLD averaged −1.29% and IMF −0.14%, so IMF returned more in those weeks.
Which earned more than cash, HOLD or IMF?
Over the same weeks, HOLD finished 3.3 percentage points behind cash and IMF finished 15.6 percentage points ahead of cash. Cash here is BIL, a fund of Treasury bills.
Which is cheaper, HOLD or IMF?
HOLD charges 0.70% a year and IMF charges 0.65%, so IMF is cheaper. Fees come from each fund's prospectus.
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ETFIQ, HOLD against IMF, data as of Nov 4, 2026. https://etfiq.com/compare/alternatives/hold-vs-imf

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