Data as of .
MSTP vs SMST: which held to its multiple?
Over three months against its own daily promise, MSTP finished 4.6 points short and SMST 2.3 points short.
ETFIQ Decay Resistance Score: MSTP scores higher
Did it keep up with its own daily multiple, compounded day by day?
A percentile among the 391 leveraged ETFs, long, over three months. It is a position in a set, not a rating, and neither end of it is a recommendation. All leveraged ETFs ranked by it · How it is computed
Performance, window by window
| Window | Total return | Multiple would give | Difference | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MSTP | SMST | MSTP | SMST | MSTP | SMST | |
| 1 month | +70.9% | −62.1% | +76.2% | −76.2% | −5.3 pts | +14.1 pts |
| 3 months | −11.2% | −53.5% | +11.3% | −11.3% | −22.5 pts | −42.2 pts |
| 6 months | −41.7% | −61.2% | −12.5% | +12.5% | −29.3 pts | −73.7 pts |
| 1 year | −93.0% | −28.3% | −119.7% | +119.7% | +26.7 pts | −148.0 pts |
| Since launch | −95.7% | −98.8% | −133.0% | +14.8% | +37.4 pts | −113.6 pts |
| MSTP GraniteShares 2x Long MSTR Daily ETF Aims to return twice the daily move of Strategy (MSTR) | SMST Defiance Daily Target 2X Short MSTR ETF Aims to return twice the opposite of the daily move of Strategy (MSTR) | |
|---|---|---|
| Issuer | GraniteShares | Defiance |
| Sets out to return | +2x | -2x |
| On | MSTR | MSTR |
| Segment | company | company |
| Fund returned, 3 months | −11.2% | −53.5% |
| Underlying returned, 3 months | +5.7% | +5.7% |
| What the stated multiple implies, 3 months | +11.3% | −11.3% |
| Difference from stated, 3 months | −22.5 pts | −42.2 pts |
| Fund returned, 1 year or since launch | −93.0% | −28.3% |
| Difference from stated, over that window | +26.7 pts | −148.0 pts |
| Underlying volatility | 88% | 88% |
| Difference over the days both have traded | −5.3 pts | −42.2 pts |
| Expense ratio | 1.50% | 1.38% |
| Launched | Jun 10, 2025 | Aug 21, 2024 |
MSTP in plain words
Three months to Sep 11, 2026: MSTP returned −11.2% where its own daily promise gave −6.6%, 4.6 points short. Read the multiple against the whole window instead and +2 times MSTR's 5.7% implies +11.3%, which makes MSTP look 22.5 points short. 17.9 of that is daily compounding, which happens to any +2 times fund over the same path, and the rest is the fund. MSTP aims to return +2 times MSTR's move each day, then resets. Over one day it does that. Over longer, the daily results compound, so the total is not +2 times the period's move: in a market that falls and comes back it is reliably less, and in a steady run it can be more. MSTR moved at 88% annualized over that window. That is what decides how far the two figures separate: the same fund on a calm underlying and a violent one is a different product.
SMST in plain words
Three months to Sep 11, 2026: SMST returned −53.5% where its own daily promise gave −51.1%, 2.3 points short. Read the multiple against the whole window instead and −2 times MSTR's 5.7% implies −11.3%, which makes SMST look 42.2 points short. 39.8 of that is daily compounding, which happens to any −2 times fund over the same path, and the rest is the fund. SMST aims to return -2 times MSTR's move each day, then resets. Over longer, the daily results compound, so the total is not -2 times the period's move: in a market that falls and comes back it is reliably less, and in a steady run it can be more.
Questions people ask
- Which came closer to its stated multiple, MSTP or SMST?
- Over the window to Sep 11, 2026, MSTP finished 22.5 points from what its multiple implies and SMST finished 42.2 points from its own, so MSTP came closer. Neither figure predicts the next window: it depends on how much the underlying moves about.
- Are MSTP and SMST levered on the same thing?
- Yes. Both are levered on Strategy, MSTP at +2 times and SMST at -2 times the daily move.
- Which one decays faster, MSTP or SMST?
- Decay follows how much the underlying moves about. Over this window MSTP’s moved at 88% annualized and SMST’s at 88%, so MSTP has the rougher ride and, at the same multiple, loses more to compounding.
- Can I hold MSTP or SMST for a year?
- Both reset every day, so the multiple in the name applies to a single day and the daily results compound. Over a year the total is not the multiple times the year’s move, and in a market that falls and comes back it is reliably less. ETFIQ makes no recommendation either way.
- Which is cheaper, MSTP or SMST?
- MSTP charges 1.50% a year and SMST charges 1.38%, so SMST is cheaper. Fees come from each fund's prospectus.
Other comparisons
Where these figures came from
ETFIQ links to the documents behind every figure. It is not affiliated with any issuer, and a link is not an endorsement.
Cite this page. ETFIQ, MSTP against SMST, data as of Sep 11, 2026. https://etfiq.com/compare/leverage/MSTP-SMST Free to use with attribution; the underlying files are at Open data.