Data as of .
MSFD vs MSFX: which held to its multiple?
Over three months against its own daily promise, MSFD finished 1.0 points over and MSFX 3.9 points short.
ETFIQ Decay Resistance Score: MSFD scores higher
Did it keep up with its own daily multiple, compounded day by day?
A percentile among the 121 inverse ETFs over three months. It is a position in a set, not a rating, and neither end of it is a recommendation. All leveraged ETFs ranked by it · How it is computed
Performance, window by window
| Window | Total return | Multiple would give | Difference | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MSFD | MSFX | MSFD | MSFX | MSFD | MSFX | |
| 1 month | −0.8% | +0.5% | −0.8% | +1.7% | 0.0 pts | −1.2 pts |
| 3 months | −23.9% | +51.2% | −27.1% | +54.2% | +3.2 pts | −3.0 pts |
| 6 months | −23.9% | +40.9% | −25.8% | +51.6% | +1.9 pts | −10.7 pts |
| 1 year | −4.3% | −21.1% | +0.3% | −0.5% | −4.5 pts | −20.6 pts |
| 3 years | −34.6% | not published | −52.9% | not published | +18.2 pts | not published |
| Since launch | −51.2% | +2.8% | −98.4% | +63.2% | +47.2 pts | −60.4 pts |
| MSFD Direxion Daily MSFT Bear 1X ETF Aims to return 1 times the opposite of the daily move of Microsoft (MSFT) | MSFX T-REX 2X LONG MICROSOFT DAILY TARGET ETF Aims to return twice the daily move of Microsoft (MSFT) | |
|---|---|---|
| Issuer | Direxion | T-REX |
| Sets out to return | -1x | +2x |
| On | MSFT | MSFT |
| Segment | company | company |
| Fund returned, 3 months | −23.9% | +51.2% |
| Underlying returned, 3 months | +27.1% | +27.1% |
| What the stated multiple implies, 3 months | −27.1% | +54.2% |
| Difference from stated, 3 months | +3.2 pts | −3.0 pts |
| Fund returned, 1 year or since launch | −4.3% | −21.1% |
| Difference from stated, over that window | −4.5 pts | −20.6 pts |
| Underlying volatility | 43% | 43% |
| Difference over the days both have traded | no shared window | −1.2 pts |
| Expense ratio | not published | 1.05% |
| Launched | Sep 7, 2022 | Jan 11, 2024 |
MSFD in plain words
Three months to Sep 11, 2026: MSFD returned −23.9% where its own daily promise gave −24.9%, 1.0 points over. Read the multiple against the whole window instead and −1 times MSFT's 27.1% implies −27.1%, which makes MSFD look 3.2 points over. 2.2 of that is daily compounding, which happens to any −1 times fund over the same path, and the rest is the fund. MSFD aims to return -1 times MSFT's move each day, then resets. Over one day it does that. Over longer, the daily results compound, so the total is not -1 times the period's move: in a market that falls and comes back it is reliably less, and in a steady run it can be more. MSFT moved at 43% annualized over that window. That is what decides how far the two figures separate: the same fund on a calm underlying and a violent one is a different product.
MSFX in plain words
Three months to Sep 11, 2026: MSFX returned +51.2% where its own daily promise gave +55.1%, 3.9 points short. Read the multiple against the whole window instead and +2 times MSFT's 27.1% implies +54.2%, which makes MSFX look 3.0 points short. 1.0 of that is daily compounding, which happens to any +2 times fund over the same path, and the rest is the fund. MSFX aims to return +2 times MSFT's move each day, then resets. Over longer, the daily results compound, so the total is not +2 times the period's move: in a market that falls and comes back it is reliably less, and in a steady run it can be more.
Questions people ask
- Which came closer to its stated multiple, MSFD or MSFX?
- Over the window to Sep 11, 2026, MSFD finished 3.2 points from what its multiple implies and MSFX finished 3.0 points from its own, so MSFX came closer. Neither figure predicts the next window: it depends on how much the underlying moves about.
- Are MSFD and MSFX levered on the same thing?
- Yes. Both are levered on Microsoft, MSFD at -1 times and MSFX at +2 times the daily move.
- Which one decays faster, MSFD or MSFX?
- Decay follows how much the underlying moves about. Over this window MSFD’s moved at 43% annualized and MSFX’s at 43%, so MSFD has the rougher ride and, at the same multiple, loses more to compounding.
- Can I hold MSFD or MSFX for a year?
- Both reset every day, so the multiple in the name applies to a single day and the daily results compound. Over a year the total is not the multiple times the year’s move, and in a market that falls and comes back it is reliably less. ETFIQ makes no recommendation either way.
Other comparisons
Where these figures came from
ETFIQ links to the documents behind every figure. It is not affiliated with any issuer, and a link is not an endorsement.
Cite this page. ETFIQ, MSFD against MSFX, data as of Sep 11, 2026. https://etfiq.com/compare/leverage/MSFD-MSFX Free to use with attribution; the underlying files are at Open data.