Data as of .
STSM vs TSMZ: which held to its multiple?
Over three months against its own daily promise, STSM finished 0.3 points short and TSMZ 1.2 points over.
ETFIQ Decay Resistance Score: TSMZ scores higher
Did it keep up with its own daily multiple, compounded day by day?
A percentile among the 121 inverse ETFs over three months. It is a position in a set, not a rating, and neither end of it is a recommendation. All leveraged ETFs ranked by it · How it is computed
Performance, window by window
| Window | Total return | Multiple would give | Difference | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| STSM | TSMZ | STSM | TSMZ | STSM | TSMZ | |
| 1 month | −3.9% | −1.0% | −1.9% | −0.9% | −2.0 pts | 0.0 pts |
| 3 months | −17.7% | −5.6% | −4.4% | −2.2% | −13.3 pts | −3.4 pts |
| 6 months | −54.9% | −27.4% | −57.4% | −28.7% | +2.6 pts | +1.3 pts |
| 1 year | not published | −46.6% | not published | −69.1% | not published | +22.5 pts |
| Since launch | −73.0% | −66.9% | −114.2% | not meaningful | +41.2 pts | not meaningful |
| STSM Defiance Daily Target 2X Short TSM ETF Aims to return twice the opposite of the daily move of TSM | TSMZ Direxion Daily TSM Bear 1X ETF Aims to return 1 times the opposite of the daily move of TSM | |
|---|---|---|
| Issuer | Defiance | Direxion |
| Sets out to return | -2x | -1x |
| On | TSM | TSM |
| Segment | company | company |
| Fund returned, 3 months | −17.7% | −5.6% |
| Underlying returned, 3 months | +2.2% | +2.2% |
| What the stated multiple implies, 3 months | −4.4% | −2.2% |
| Difference from stated, 3 months | −13.3 pts | −3.4 pts |
| Fund returned, 1 year or since launch | −73.0% | −46.6% |
| Difference from stated, over that window | +41.2 pts | +22.5 pts |
| Underlying volatility | 45% | 45% |
| Expense ratio | 1.30% | not published |
| Launched | Nov 18, 2025 | Oct 3, 2024 |
STSM in plain words
Three months to Sep 11, 2026: STSM returned −17.7% where its own daily promise gave −17.4%, 0.3 points short. Read the multiple against the whole window instead and −2 times TSM's 2.2% implies −4.4%, which makes STSM look 13.3 points short. 13.0 of that is daily compounding, which happens to any −2 times fund over the same path, and the rest is the fund. STSM aims to return -2 times TSM's move each day, then resets. Over one day it does that. Over longer, the daily results compound, so the total is not -2 times the period's move: in a market that falls and comes back it is reliably less, and in a steady run it can be more. TSM moved at 45% annualized over that window. That is what decides how far the two figures separate: the same fund on a calm underlying and a violent one is a different product.
TSMZ in plain words
Three months to Sep 11, 2026: TSMZ returned −5.6% where its own daily promise gave −6.8%, 1.2 points over. Read the multiple against the whole window instead and −1 times TSM's 2.2% implies −2.2%, which makes TSMZ look 3.4 points short. 4.6 of that is daily compounding, which happens to any −1 times fund over the same path, and the rest is the fund. TSMZ aims to return -1 times TSM's move each day, then resets. Over longer, the daily results compound, so the total is not -1 times the period's move: in a market that falls and comes back it is reliably less, and in a steady run it can be more.
Questions people ask
- Which came closer to its stated multiple, STSM or TSMZ?
- Over the window to Sep 11, 2026, STSM finished 13.3 points from what its multiple implies and TSMZ finished 3.4 points from its own, so TSMZ came closer. Neither figure predicts the next window: it depends on how much the underlying moves about.
- Are STSM and TSMZ levered on the same thing?
- Yes. Both are levered on TSM, STSM at -2 times and TSMZ at -1 times the daily move.
- Which one decays faster, STSM or TSMZ?
- Decay follows how much the underlying moves about. Over this window STSM’s moved at 45% annualized and TSMZ’s at 45%, so STSM has the rougher ride and, at the same multiple, loses more to compounding.
- Can I hold STSM or TSMZ for a year?
- Both reset every day, so the multiple in the name applies to a single day and the daily results compound. Over a year the total is not the multiple times the year’s move, and in a market that falls and comes back it is reliably less. ETFIQ makes no recommendation either way.
Other comparisons
Where these figures came from
ETFIQ links to the documents behind every figure. It is not affiliated with any issuer, and a link is not an endorsement.
Cite this page. ETFIQ, STSM against TSMZ, data as of Sep 11, 2026. https://etfiq.com/compare/leverage/STSM-TSMZ Free to use with attribution; the underlying files are at Open data.