# The Year Ahead: 10 Crypto Predictions for 2026 (Bitwise)

> Bitwise’s paper “The Year Ahead: 10 Crypto Predictions for 2026”, summarized by ETFIQ with its own data beside it. Summary by ETFIQ.

Data as of Oct 21, 2026. Rebuilt every trading night.

Published Dec 15, 2025 by Bitwise. Summary by ETFIQ as of Oct 21, 2026.

## The Year Ahead: 10 Crypto Predictions for 2026

Bitwise, in its December 2025 outlook, forecasts more than 100 new U.S. crypto-linked ETF launches during 2026, among 10 predictions it calls estimates, not guarantees.

Bitwise · Issuer · Read the full paper at Bitwise ↗

### What it says

Figures as stated by Bitwise, Dec 15, 2025

- Bitwise expects ETFs to absorb more than 100% of the newly created supply of Bitcoin, Ethereum and Solana in 2026 as institutional demand grows. (Bitwise)

- Bitwise also predicts crypto stocks will beat tech stocks and that Polymarket open interest will pass its 2024 election peak. (Bitwise)

- Bitwise predicts Bitcoin will set fresh record highs in 2026, breaking its four-year cycle, and will show lower volatility than Nvidia. (Bitwise)

- Bitwise expects assets in onchain vaults, which it labels "ETFs 2.0", to double, and half of Ivy League endowments to put money into crypto. (Bitwise)

- Bitwise notes that Bitcoin, Ethereum, Solana and XRP all reached record highs in 2025 before falling back sharply by year end. (Bitwise)

### The ETFIQ take

ETFIQ data to Oct 21, 2026 · 50 spot crypto ETFs on Oct 21, 2026

Bitwise reports a forecast of more than 100 new U.S. crypto-linked ETF launches during 2026. On Oct 21, 2026, 40 of 50 spot crypto ETFs ETFIQ can measure finished within a point of the coin they hold, across 11 coins.

40 of 50 spot crypto ETFs within a point of their coin , Oct 21, 2026. ETFIQ

11 coins with a measurable spot ETF , Oct 21, 2026. ETFIQ

Paper: Crypto market and U.S. ETF forecasts for 2026. ETFIQ: 50 spot crypto ETFs on Oct 21, 2026. Each fund’s total return against its coin’s over the same window. The two sets and windows differ; the figures are stated, not reconciled. Method Data

### Related ETFs

The largest crypto ETFs ETFIQ covers, by net assets

- IBIT iShares Bitcoin Trust ETF · Difference against Bitcoin, in percentage points, Oct 21, 2026: −0.1 pts

- FBTC Fidelity Wise Origin Bitcoin Fund · Difference against Bitcoin, in percentage points, Oct 21, 2026: −0.2 pts

- GBTC Grayscale Bitcoin Trust ETF · Difference against Bitcoin, in percentage points, Oct 21, 2026: −1.1 pts

- ETHA iShares Ethereum Trust ETF · Difference against Ether, in percentage points, Oct 21, 2026: −0.2 pts

- BTC Grayscale Bitcoin Mini Trust ETF · Difference against Bitcoin, in percentage points, Oct 21, 2026: 0.0 pts

- BITB Bitwise Bitcoin ETF · Difference against Bitcoin, in percentage points, Oct 21, 2026: −0.2 pts

Each figure is the one its fund’s page states, with that page’s date. All 69 crypto ETFs →

### Related papers

Bitwise · Issuer · Oct 8, 2026 · ETFIQ take

#### Crypto Market Review (Q4 2026)

Bitwise's October 2026 market review reports that its 10 Large Cap Crypto Index gained 46.39% in Q3 2026, with every one of its ten holdings up double digits.

Crypto Read the paper ↗

Bitwise · Issuer · Jan 13, 2026 · ETFIQ take

#### The Bitwise/VettaFi 2026 Benchmark Survey

Bitwise and VettaFi's January 2026 advisor survey found 32% of advisors used crypto in client accounts during 2025, compared with 22% in 2024.

Crypto Read the paper ↗

All 3 papers on crypto →

### Questions people ask

What does the Bitwise paper conclude? Bitwise, in its December 2025 outlook, forecasts more than 100 new U.S. crypto-linked ETF launches during 2026, among 10 predictions it calls estimates, not guarantees. The paper’s own words are at the link above. What does ETFIQ’s data show on the same question? On Oct 21, 2026, 40 of 50 spot crypto ETFs ETFIQ can measure finished within a point of the coin they hold, across 11 coins. ETFIQ states both figures and does not reconcile them. What is a spot crypto ETF? A fund that holds a coin such as bitcoin directly, through a custodian, and is priced on its coin’s value less its costs. Where can I read “The Year Ahead: 10 Crypto Predictions for 2026”? On Bitwise’s own site. ETFIQ summarizes the paper and does not host it.

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Source: ETFIQ, independent ETF data. Recomputed nightly from public filings and prices.
Cite: ETFIQ, The Year Ahead: 10 Crypto Predictions for 2026 (Bitwise), summary and ETFIQ take, as of Oct 21, 2026. https://etfiq.com/research/library/bitwise-the-year-ahead-10-crypto-predictions-for-2026/
Licence: https://etfiq.com/license/ Figures ETFIQ computes are free to use with attribution: ETFIQ (etfiq.com). Issuer data stays under its owner's terms.
HTML: https://etfiq.com/research/library/bitwise-the-year-ahead-10-crypto-predictions-for-2026/
