# Prediction market ETFs holding a portfolio

> 6 prediction market ETFs holding a portfolio of contracts filed with the SEC by 2 issuers, with the date each filing asks to take effect. None trades yet.

Data as of Sep 25, 2026. Rebuilt every trading night.

Data as of Sep 25, 2026 .

## Prediction market ETFs holding a portfolio

As of Oct 9, 2026, 6 prediction market funds holding a portfolio of contracts have been filed with the SEC by 2 issuers, and none of them trades. Their filings have been pushed back 2 times. The earliest of these filings can go effective on Oct 16, 2026, the date Hedgeye has asked for after a delay it filed. An issuer can push that date back with a further filing, and going effective is not the same as starting to trade.

| Outcome | Issuer | Fund | Ticker | Filed | Can go effective |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| AI Doomsday Prediction Markets | Direxion | Direxion AI Doomsday Prediction Markets ETF | not assigned | Sep 21, 2026 | Dec 5, 2026 |
| AI Prosperity Prediction Markets | Direxion | Direxion AI Prosperity Prediction Markets ETF | not assigned | Sep 21, 2026 | Dec 5, 2026 |
| Democratic Party | Hedgeye | Hedgeye Democratic Party ETF | HDEM | Jul 23, 2026 | Oct 16, 2026 |
| El Niño | Direxion | Direxion El Niño ETF | not assigned | Sep 21, 2026 | Dec 5, 2026 |
| La Niña | Direxion | Direxion La Niña ETF | not assigned | Sep 21, 2026 | Dec 5, 2026 |
| Republican Party | Hedgeye | Hedgeye Republican Party ETF | HREP | Jul 23, 2026 | Oct 16, 2026 |

### Questions people ask

Is there a prediction market ETF holding a portfolio of contracts? Not one that trades. As of Oct 9, 2026, 6 prediction market funds holding a portfolio of contracts have been filed with the SEC by 2 issuers (Direxion, Hedgeye), and none of them trades yet. When will these funds launch? No launch date has been announced. As of Oct 9, 2026 the filings ask to take effect on these dates: Hedgeye, Oct 16, 2026; Direxion, Dec 5, 2026. Issuers often push these dates back with a further filing, and going effective is not the same as starting to trade. How would these funds pay? Each holds a portfolio of event contracts rather than one, so no single outcome settles the fund.

### Read from these filings

- Direxion Shares ETF Trust, form 485APOS, filed Sep 21, 2026 accession 0001193125-26-396805

- ETF Opportunities Trust, form 485APOS, filed Jul 23, 2026 accession 0001771146-26-001498

Every name, date and figure on this page is read from the registration statements above. Where a filing leaves a value blank, this page says so rather than showing a placeholder. None of these funds trades, so there are no prices, fees or returns here.

### Where to next

### Where these figures came from

ETFIQ links to the documents behind every figure; a link is not an endorsement.

ETFIQ is an independent publisher and makes no recommendations; every figure is calculated from published data. Standards and sources

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Source: ETFIQ, independent ETF data. Recomputed nightly from public filings and prices.
Cite: ETFIQ, Prediction market ETFs holding a portfolio, data as of Sep 25, 2026. https://etfiq.com/prediction-markets/portfolios/
Licence: https://etfiq.com/license/ Figures ETFIQ computes are free to use with attribution: ETFIQ (etfiq.com). Issuer data stays under its owner's terms.
HTML: https://etfiq.com/prediction-markets/portfolios/