{"url":"https://etfiq.com/prediction-markets/economy/","section":"prediction-markets","title":"Recession and tech layoffs prediction ETFs filed | ETFIQ","description":"8 recession and tech layoffs prediction market ETFs filed with the SEC by 2 issuers, with the date each filing asks to take effect. None trades yet.","as_of":"Sep 25, 2026","structured_data":[{"@type":"FAQPage","mainEntity":[{"@type":"Question","name":"Is there a recession and tech layoffs ETF?","acceptedAnswer":{"@type":"Answer","text":"Not one that trades. As of Oct 9, 2026, 8 recession and tech layoffs prediction market funds have been filed with the SEC by 2 issuers (Bitwise, Roundhill), and none of them trades yet."}},{"@type":"Question","name":"When will recession and tech layoffs prediction ETFs launch?","acceptedAnswer":{"@type":"Answer","text":"No launch date has been announced. As of Oct 9, 2026 the filings ask to take effect on these dates: Bitwise, Oct 31, 2026; Roundhill, Nov 1, 2026. Issuers often push these dates back with a further filing, and going effective is not the same as starting to trade."}},{"@type":"Question","name":"How would these funds pay?","acceptedAnswer":{"@type":"Answer","text":"Each holds event contracts that settle at $1.00 if the stated outcome happens and $0.00 if it does not, so a holder on the wrong side ends with close to nothing."}}]},{"@type":"Dataset","name":"Recession and tech layoffs prediction ETFs filed","description":"8 recession and tech layoffs prediction market ETFs filed with the SEC by 2 issuers, with the date each filing asks to take effect. None trades yet.","url":"https://etfiq.com/prediction-markets/economy/","dateModified":"2026-10-09","inLanguage":"en","creator":{"@id":"https://etfiq.com/#org"},"publisher":{"@id":"https://etfiq.com/#org"},"license":"https://etfiq.com/license/","isAccessibleForFree":true,"creativeWorkStatus":"Published","distribution":[{"@type":"DataDownload","encodingFormat":"application/json","contentUrl":"https://etfiq.com/data/alternatives.json"},{"@type":"DataDownload","encodingFormat":"application/json","contentUrl":"https://etfiq.com/data/core.json"},{"@type":"DataDownload","encodingFormat":"application/json","contentUrl":"https://etfiq.com/data/crypto.json"},{"@type":"DataDownload","encodingFormat":"application/json","contentUrl":"https://etfiq.com/data/funds.json"},{"@type":"DataDownload","encodingFormat":"application/json","contentUrl":"https://etfiq.com/data/income.json"},{"@type":"DataDownload","encodingFormat":"application/json","contentUrl":"https://etfiq.com/data/leverage.json"},{"@type":"DataDownload","encodingFormat":"application/json","contentUrl":"https://etfiq.com/data/thematic.json"}]},{"@type":"BreadcrumbList","itemListElement":[{"@type":"ListItem","position":1,"name":"ETFIQ","item":"https://etfiq.com/"},{"@type":"ListItem","position":2,"name":"Prediction market ETFs","item":"https://etfiq.com/prediction-markets/"},{"@type":"ListItem","position":3,"name":"Recession and tech layoffs ETFs","item":"https://etfiq.com/prediction-markets/economy/"}]},{"@type":"WebPage","name":"Recession and tech layoffs prediction ETFs filed","description":"8 recession and tech layoffs prediction market ETFs filed with the SEC by 2 issuers, with the date each filing asks to take effect. None trades yet.","url":"https://etfiq.com/prediction-markets/economy/","dateModified":"2026-10-09","isPartOf":{"@type":"WebSite","name":"ETFIQ","url":"https://etfiq.com"},"speakable":{"@type":"SpeakableSpecification","cssSelector":[".lede",".faq"]},"publisher":{"@id":"https://etfiq.com/#org"}}],"characters":4285,"truncated":false,"content":"ETFIQ / Prediction market ETFs / Recession and tech layoffs ETFs \n \n Data as of Sep 25, 2026 .\n Recession and tech layoffs prediction ETFs filed\n As of Oct 9, 2026, 8 recession and tech layoffs prediction market funds have been filed with the SEC by 2 issuers, and none of them trades. Their filings have been pushed back 12 times. The earliest of these filings can go effective on Oct 31, 2026, the date Bitwise has asked for after a delay it filed. An issuer can push that date back with a further filing, and going effective is not the same as starting to trade.\n Recession and tech layoffs prediction ETFs filed, as of Sep 25, 2026. Source: ETFIQ. Outcome Issuer Fund Ticker Filed Can go effective \n Fewer Tech Layoffs in 2026 Than 2025 Bitwise PredictionShares Fewer Tech Layoffs in 2026 Than 2025 not assigned Apr 23, 2026 Oct 31, 2026 \n More Tech Layoffs in 2026 Than 2025 Bitwise PredictionShares More Tech Layoffs in 2026 Than 2025 not assigned Apr 23, 2026 Oct 31, 2026 \n There Will Not Be A Recession in 2026 Roundhill RPM Recession No ETF not assigned Apr 24, 2026 Nov 1, 2026 \n There Will Be A Recession in 2026 Roundhill RPM Recession Yes ETF not assigned Apr 24, 2026 Nov 1, 2026 \n Fewer Tech Layoffs in 2026 Than 2025 Roundhill RPM Tech Layoffs Down ETF not assigned Apr 24, 2026 Nov 1, 2026 \n More Tech Layoffs in 2026 Than 2025 Roundhill RPM Tech Layoffs Up ETF not assigned Apr 24, 2026 Nov 1, 2026 \n There Will Be A Recession in 2026 Bitwise PredictionShares There Will Be A Recession in 2026 not assigned Apr 23, 2026 Oct 31, 2026 \n There Will Not Be A Recession in 2026 Bitwise PredictionShares There Will Not Be A Recession in 2026 not assigned Apr 23, 2026 Oct 31, 2026 \n \n Questions people ask\n Is there a recession and tech layoffs ETF? Not one that trades. As of Oct 9, 2026, 8 recession and tech layoffs prediction market funds have been filed with the SEC by 2 issuers (Bitwise, Roundhill), and none of them trades yet. When will recession and tech layoffs prediction ETFs launch? No launch date has been announced. As of Oct 9, 2026 the filings ask to take effect on these dates: Bitwise, Oct 31, 2026; Roundhill, Nov 1, 2026. Issuers often push these dates back with a further filing, and going effective is not the same as starting to trade. How would these funds pay? Each holds event contracts that settle at $1.00 if the stated outcome happens and $0.00 if it does not, so a holder on the wrong side ends with close to nothing. Read from these filings\n Bitwise Funds Trust, form 485APOS, filed Apr 23, 2026 accession 0001213900-26-047140 \n Roundhill ETF Trust, form 485APOS, filed Apr 24, 2026 accession 0001398344-26-007212 \n Roundhill ETF Trust, form 485APOS, filed Apr 24, 2026 accession 0001398344-26-007216 \n Every name, date and figure on this page is read from the registration statements above. Where a filing leaves a value blank, this page says so rather than showing a placeholder. None of these funds trades, so there are no prices, fees or returns here.\n Where to next\n US election prediction ETFs Bitcoin and Ethereum price prediction ETFs Oil price prediction ETFs Portfolio of contracts prediction ETFs All prediction market ETFs How a binary fund pays Where these figures came from\n SEC EDGAR, full-text search of fund filings SEC Form N-PORT, what a fund filed it holds Rule 19a-1, what a distribution notice must say ETFIQ links to the documents behind every figure; a link is not an endorsement.\n ETFIQ is an independent publisher and makes no recommendations; every figure is calculated from published data. Standards and sources \n Cite this page. ETFIQ, Recession and tech layoffs prediction ETFs filed, data as of Sep 25, 2026. https://etfiq.com/prediction-markets/economy/ Free to use with attribution for figures ETFIQ computes; issuer data stays under its owner's terms. The underlying files are at Open data .\n Other forms Plain ETFIQ, Recession and tech layoffs prediction ETFs filed, data as of Sep 25, 2026. https://etfiq.com/prediction-markets/economy/ APA ETFIQ. (Sep 25, 2026). Recession and tech layoffs prediction ETFs filed. Retrieved from https://etfiq.com/prediction-markets/economy/ Markdown [Recession and tech layoffs prediction ETFs filed (ETFIQ, Sep 25, 2026)](https://etfiq.com/prediction-markets/economy/)","source":"ETFIQ, independent ETF data. Recomputed nightly from public filings and prices.","publisher":{"@id":"https://etfiq.com/#org","name":"ETFIQ","url":"https://etfiq.com"},"license":"https://etfiq.com/license/","license_text":"Figures ETFIQ computes are free to use with attribution: ETFIQ (etfiq.com). Issuer data stays under its owner's terms.","citation":"ETFIQ, Recession and tech layoffs prediction ETFs filed, data as of Sep 25, 2026. https://etfiq.com/prediction-markets/economy/"}