{"url":"https://etfiq.com/funds/ust/tracking/","section":"funds","title":"UST Tracking Error: Up vs Down Days | ETFIQ","description":"Over the 90 days to Nov 4, 2026, UST missed two times 7-10 Year Treasury's daily return by 2.3 basis points a day on average, on its NAV.","as_of":"Nov 3, 2026","structured_data":[{"@type":"ItemList","name":"UST daily tracking","numberOfItems":8,"itemListOrder":"https://schema.org/ItemListUnordered","itemListElement":[{"@type":"ListItem","position":1,"name":"30 days to Nov 4, 2026: 20 of 22 days, from Oct 7, 2026"},{"@type":"ListItem","position":2,"name":"30 days to Nov 4, 2026, 22 daily returns"},{"@type":"ListItem","position":3,"name":"90 days to Nov 4, 2026: 60 of 63 days, from Aug 7, 2026"},{"@type":"ListItem","position":4,"name":"90 days to Nov 4, 2026, 63 daily returns"},{"@type":"ListItem","position":5,"name":"180 days to Nov 4, 2026: 121 of 124 days, from May 11, 2026"},{"@type":"ListItem","position":6,"name":"180 days to Nov 4, 2026, 124 daily returns"},{"@type":"ListItem","position":7,"name":"1 year to Nov 4, 2026: 246 of 251 days, from Nov 5, 2025"},{"@type":"ListItem","position":8,"name":"1 year to Nov 4, 2026, 251 daily returns"}]},{"@type":"Dataset","name":"UST daily tracking","description":"Over the 90 days to Nov 4, 2026, UST missed two times 7-10 Year Treasury's daily return by 2.3 basis points a day on average, on its NAV.","url":"https://etfiq.com/funds/ust/tracking/","dateModified":"2026-11-03","creator":{"@id":"https://etfiq.com/#org"},"license":"https://etfiq.com/license/","isAccessibleForFree":true,"creditText":"ETFIQ (etfiq.com)","publisher":{"@id":"https://etfiq.com/#org"},"inLanguage":"en","creativeWorkStatus":"Published","distribution":[{"@type":"DataDownload","encodingFormat":"application/json","contentUrl":"https://etfiq.com/data/leverage.json"}],"variableMeasured":["Stated multiple","Underlying return","What the stated multiple implies","Fund total return","Difference against the label","Volatility of the underlying","Expense ratio"],"keywords":["exchange-traded funds","ETF","Leveraged ETFs","fund data","SEC filings"]},{"@type":"BreadcrumbList","itemListElement":[{"@type":"ListItem","position":1,"name":"ETFIQ","item":"https://etfiq.com/"},{"@type":"ListItem","position":2,"name":"UST","item":"https://etfiq.com/funds/ust"},{"@type":"ListItem","position":3,"name":"Tracking","item":"https://etfiq.com/funds/ust/tracking/"}]},{"@type":"WebPage","name":"UST Tracking Error: Up vs Down Days","description":"Over the 90 days to Nov 4, 2026, UST missed two times 7-10 Year Treasury's daily return by 2.3 basis points a day on average, on its NAV.","url":"https://etfiq.com/funds/ust/tracking/","dateModified":"2026-11-03","isPartOf":{"@type":"WebSite","name":"ETFIQ","url":"https://etfiq.com"},"speakable":{"@type":"SpeakableSpecification","cssSelector":[".lede"]},"publisher":{"@id":"https://etfiq.com/#org"}}],"characters":4547,"truncated":false,"content":"ETFIQ / UST / Tracking \n \n As of Nov 3, 2026 . Rebuilt every trading night.\n UST daily tracking\n Over the 90 days to Nov 4, 2026, UST missed two times 7-10 Year Treasury's daily return by 2.3 basis points a day on average, on its NAV.\n UST daily tracking, listed by window, as of Nov 3, 2026. Each row names its window, its last day and its count of daily returns. Source: ETFIQ. Window Read on Average daily miss, bp Signed average, bp Tracking error Up days, bp Down days, bp Up less down, bp Confidence \n 30 days to Nov 4, 2026: 20 of 22 days, from Oct 7, 2026 NAV (stated) 2.5 \u22121.4 0.51% \u22121.6 (13 days) \u22121.2 (7 days) \u22120.4 Not enough days \n 30 days to Nov 4, 2026, 22 daily returns closing price 9.3 \u22121.6 1.78% 0.0 (14 days) \u22124.6 (8 days) +4.6 Not enough days \n 90 days to Nov 4, 2026: 60 of 63 days, from Aug 7, 2026 NAV (stated) 2.3 \u22121.5 0.43% \u22121.4 (28 days) \u22121.6 (32 days) +0.1 Not significant (t 0.2) \n 90 days to Nov 4, 2026, 63 daily returns closing price 8.2 \u22121.8 1.56% \u22122.4 (29 days) \u22121.4 (34 days) \u22121.0 Not significant (t \u22120.4) \n 180 days to Nov 4, 2026: 121 of 124 days, from May 11, 2026 NAV (stated) 2.7 \u22121.5 0.66% \u22121.4 (61 days) \u22121.6 (60 days) +0.3 Not significant (t 0.4) \n 180 days to Nov 4, 2026, 124 daily returns closing price 8.6 \u22121.6 1.93% \u22121.8 (61 days) \u22121.3 (62 days) \u22120.4 Not significant (t \u22120.2) \n 1 year to Nov 4, 2026: 246 of 251 days, from Nov 5, 2025 NAV (stated) 2.4 \u22121.5 0.53% \u22121.4 (121 days) \u22121.7 (125 days) +0.3 Not significant (t 0.7) \n 1 year to Nov 4, 2026, 251 daily returns closing price 7.1 \u22121.6 1.55% \u22122.5 (122 days) \u22120.7 (126 days) \u22121.8 Not significant (t \u22121.4) \n \n UST's largest daily misses\n The 5 days UST strayed furthest from its daily target in the 1 year to Nov 4, 2026, each on its NAV where ETFIQ holds it, else its closing price.\n UST's largest daily misses, as of Nov 3, 2026. Source: ETFIQ. # Day Read on 7-10 Year Treasury moved Target UST returned Miss \n 1 Nov 4, 2026 closing price +0.55% +1.10% +0.88% \u22120.22 pts \n 2 May 22, 2026 NAV +0.08% +0.16% \u22120.05% \u22120.21 pts \n 3 Jul 2, 2026 NAV +0.08% +0.16% \u22120.04% \u22120.21 pts \n 4 May 26, 2026 NAV +0.41% +0.83% +0.99% +0.16 pts \n 5 Oct 6, 2026 closing price +0.23% +0.46% +0.62% +0.15 pts \n \n Method\n The daily miss is UST's return each day less two times 7-10 Year Treasury's return that day. A basis point is a hundredth of a percentage point. Each window is read twice where ETFIQ holds both NAVs: on NAVs, and on closing prices. UST ranks 14 of 494 2x leveraged ETFs on its 90-day average daily miss. Up days and down days split the miss by whether 7-10 Year Treasury rose or fell; Significant means the gap is at least two standard errors from zero. The average miss carries its sign: a negative one is what the fund kept below its target each day, its fees and financing among it. 7-10 Year Treasury is itself an ETF, so its own fee and tracking are inside the miss. 2 NAV days were held out, where the NAV and the closing price disagreed about the day: Nov 11, 2025, Nov 12, 2025. Not every fund here has traded for a year, and a number over eight months does not order against one over twelve. This page lists each fund with its window and dates instead of ranking them. It becomes a ranking on the night four of them share a full year. Every window ETFIQ can measure for UST is listed.\n Where to next\n UST fund page 2x leveraged ETFs ranked by daily tracking Leveraged ETF tracking by issuer How daily tracking is measured The tracking data file Sources\n The multiple each fund states in its own registered name, from the SEC investment company series and class file SEC EDGAR, full-text search of fund filings SEC Form N-PORT, what a fund filed it holds Rule 19a-1, what a distribution notice must say Links are sources, not endorsements.\n A ranking is not a recommendation or an opinion. ETFIQ is an independent publisher, not an adviser. Standards and sources \n Cite this page. ETFIQ, UST daily tracking, listed by window, data as of Nov 3, 2026. https://etfiq.com/funds/ust/tracking/ Free to use with attribution for data ETFIQ computes; issuer data stays under its owner's terms. The underlying files are at Open data .\n Other forms Plain ETFIQ, UST daily tracking, listed by window, data as of Nov 3, 2026. https://etfiq.com/funds/ust/tracking/ APA ETFIQ. (Nov 3, 2026). UST daily tracking, listed by window. Retrieved from https://etfiq.com/funds/ust/tracking/ Markdown [UST daily tracking, listed by window (ETFIQ, Nov 3, 2026)](https://etfiq.com/funds/ust/tracking/)","source":"ETFIQ, independent ETF data. Recomputed nightly from public filings and prices.","publisher":{"@id":"https://etfiq.com/#org","name":"ETFIQ","url":"https://etfiq.com"},"license":"https://etfiq.com/license/","license_text":"Data ETFIQ computes is free to use with attribution: ETFIQ (etfiq.com). Issuer data stays under its owner's terms.","citation":"ETFIQ, UST daily tracking, listed by window, data as of Nov 3, 2026. https://etfiq.com/funds/ust/tracking/"}